Will Dua Lipa and Callum Turner get married by December 31?
open
Total volume
$773
Trades
25
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$237
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-02 14:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+1.4¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $192
vs crowd: 99% YES on $772)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $192 | $1 | +$191 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $569 | $2 | +$568 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | — | $3 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $192 | — | +$192 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $101 | $2 | +$100 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $200 | $0 | +$200 |
| Median | 2 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $3 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| unranked | 1 | $268 | — | +$268 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orderly-Snack 0xc363…9fd8 | Yes | +271 | $268 | $268 | 2 | 06-01 00:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +250 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-01 00:24 |
| Buzzing-Abacus 0x3a32…562e | Yes | +206 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-31 15:46 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | +152 | $151 | $151 | 1 | 06-02 14:43 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +133 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-02 14:24 |
| Joyful-Tassel 0x82e4…14cb | No | +107 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 10:11 |
| Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | +103 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 06-02 14:24 |
| Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | No | +63 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-02 14:43 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +60 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-02 14:43 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 14:43 |
| Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | Yes | +41 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-01 10:11 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +40 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-01 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 15:46 |
| Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 14:43 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 15:46 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 15:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 14:43:06 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 152 | 100¢ | $151 | 0xc1311f… |
| 06-02 14:43:06 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1311f… |
| 06-02 14:43:06 | Wicked-Counterforce 0x997e…0d8e | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1311f… |
| 06-02 14:43:06 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | No | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1311f… |
| 06-02 14:43:06 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1311f… |
| 06-02 14:24:58 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 103 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58d025… |
| 06-02 14:24:58 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | BUY | 103 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x58d025… |
| 06-01 20:33:33 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7079ac… |
| 06-01 20:33:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7079ac… |
| 06-01 10:11:31 | Happy-Default 0x4699…e03c | Yes | BUY | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0x65e211… |
| 06-01 10:11:31 | Joyful-Tassel 0x82e4…14cb | No | BUY | 107 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x65e211… |
| 06-01 10:11:31 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | SELL | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x65e211… |
| 06-01 00:24:29 | Orderly-Snack 0xc363…9fd8 | Yes | BUY | 221 | 99¢ | $219 | 0x6d5eda… |
| 06-01 00:24:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 221 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x6d5eda… |
| 06-01 00:24:15 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0ad637… |
| 06-01 00:24:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0ad637… |
| 06-01 00:24:15 | Orderly-Snack 0xc363…9fd8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0x0ad637… |
| 05-31 15:46:32 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 29 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x79acb7… |
| 05-31 15:46:32 | Blind-Conflict 0xf66c…4ab1 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79acb7… |
| 05-31 15:46:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x79acb7… |
| 05-31 15:46:32 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79acb7… |
| 05-31 15:46:32 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x79acb7… |
| 05-31 15:46:32 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x79acb7… |
| 05-31 15:46:32 | Buzzing-Abacus 0x3a32…562e | Yes | BUY | 206 | 97¢ | $200 | 0x79acb7… |
| 05-31 15:46:32 | Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | No | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x79acb7… |