Occasional-Pest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$363

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

26.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$283

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 09-21 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

77% 40% -$394

Politics

23% 40% +$31

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+15	$3	15¢	$2	-$1	09-21 02:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	2	$1.1K	570	570	+0	No	-$6	06-13 08:04
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	2	$988	520	520	+0	No	+$0	06-12 07:27
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$949	480	480	+0	No	+$0	05-16 05:45
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	2	$949	510	510	+0	open	—	05-21 05:09
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	2	$946	485	485	+0	No	+$0	05-14 05:14
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	2	$939	478	478	+0	No	+$0	05-12 05:10
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	2	$882	460	460	+0	open	—	07-17 06:57
will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	2	$881	470	470	+0	Yes	-$2	07-17 02:37
will trump visit north korea by december 31	2	$855	455	455	+0	open	—	07-08 05:36
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	2	$855	455	455	+0	No	+$0	07-08 06:45
NATO article 5 before 2027?	3	$796	430	430	+0	open	—	06-28 01:04
dota2 ill pr1 2026 06 13 game1 both teams destroy barracks	1	$526	560	0	+560	Yes	-$526	06-13 08:13
Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)	1	$478	495	0	+495	AFC Ajax	+$17	05-21 05:16
Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	1	$470	480	0	+480	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club	+$10	05-14 05:21
Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	1	$470	495	0	+495	SK Brann	+$25	05-16 05:52
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	1	$470	495	0	+495	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	+$25	05-12 05:39
Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)	1	$437	470	0	+470	Brisbane Roar FC	+$33	04-25 07:03
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	1	$400	440	0	+440	Under	+$40	06-12 07:42
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	2	$336	177	177	+0	No	$0	08-29 02:30
Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	2	$333	180	180	+0	No	-$2	08-29 03:23
will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	4	$160	940	940	+0	No	-$9	08-03 07:49
will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	4	$139	940	940	+0	No	+$36	08-03 07:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	4	$61	970	970	+0	No	+$7	05-09 08:41
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$13	111	111	+0	open	—	05-20 09:27
fif hun slv1 2026 03 28 spread away 2pt5	2	$9	405	0	+405	Hungary	-$9	03-28 09:16
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	09-21 02:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 02:38:28	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x7c501a…
08-29 03:23:21	Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	180	92¢	$166	0x9308ae…
08-29 02:50:31	Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	180	93¢	$167	0xd3901a…
08-29 02:30:27	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	177	95¢	$168	0x61b198…
08-29 01:37:40	Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	177	95¢	$168	0xfb8ac9…
08-03 07:49:33	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	Yes	SELL	475	8¢	$38	0x666159…
08-03 07:49:17	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	Yes	SELL	465	8¢	$37	0xa2a767…
08-03 07:13:18	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	Yes	BUY	475	9¢	$43	0xb8c2f1…
08-03 07:12:56	will ukraine re enter hryshyne by september 30	Yes	BUY	465	9¢	$42	0xd97f52…
08-03 07:02:53	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	SELL	485	9¢	$45	0xfa766e…
08-03 07:02:41	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	SELL	455	9¢	$42	0xf56bc0…
08-03 06:18:14	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	485	6¢	$27	0xd1c4d3…
08-03 06:17:57	will ukraine re enter rodynske by september 30 2026 20260724164113824	Yes	BUY	455	6¢	$25	0x62b662…
07-17 06:57:01	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	460	96¢	$441	0x9dd0f3…
07-17 03:09:09	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	460	96¢	$441	0xfd8ce5…
07-17 02:37:27	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	470	94¢	$439	0x6c3c99…
07-17 01:46:57	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	No	BUY	470	94¢	$442	0x63dfa7…
07-08 06:45:04	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	SELL	455	94¢	$428	0x080890…
07-08 05:59:20	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	No	BUY	455	94¢	$428	0x6398c1…
07-08 05:36:11	will trump visit north korea by december 31	No	SELL	455	94¢	$428	0xfe9355…
07-08 04:47:32	will trump visit north korea by december 31	No	BUY	455	94¢	$428	0x0e5567…
06-28 01:04:04	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	SELL	425	93¢	$395	0x7ff9fc…
06-28 01:04:01	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x8b52b3…
06-27 02:35:16	NATO article 5 before 2027?	No	BUY	430	92¢	$396	0xbe23a8…
06-13 08:13:06	dota2 ill pr1 2026 06 13 game1 both teams destroy barracks	No	BUY	560	94¢	$526	0x822e00…
06-13 08:04:54	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	570	93¢	$530	0xf58a1f…
06-13 05:57:31	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	570	94¢	$536	0x234c71…
06-12 07:42:03	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	440	91¢	$400	0x78b918…
06-12 07:27:37	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	SELL	520	95¢	$494	0x5fecd1…
06-12 05:28:22	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	BUY	520	95¢	$494	0x71819b…
05-21 05:16:02	Spread: FC Groningen (-2.5)	AFC Ajax	BUY	495	96¢	$478	0xbd7bd2…
05-21 05:09:58	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	510	93¢	$475	0x793d78…
05-21 02:50:32	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	510	93¢	$474	0x282922…
05-20 09:27:39	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	6¢	$7	0xd0013b…
05-20 09:21:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0xf8571c…
05-16 05:52:39	Spread: KFUM-Kameratene Oslo (-1.5)	SK Brann	BUY	495	95¢	$470	0x3b64ce…
05-16 05:45:49	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	480	99¢	$475	0x12efed…
05-16 03:32:16	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	480	99¢	$475	0x4cac97…
05-14 05:21:45	Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club	BUY	480	98¢	$470	0x5eb173…
05-14 05:14:17	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	485	98¢	$473	0xaa40dd…
05-14 03:22:26	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	485	98¢	$473	0x82e8d3…
05-12 05:39:34	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	BUY	495	95¢	$470	0x2e2b43…
05-12 05:10:59	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	478	98¢	$469	0x1ba8e9…
05-12 03:25:38	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	478	98¢	$469	0x7cdb3f…
05-09 08:41:54	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	490	3¢	$17	0x214778…
05-09 08:41:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	4¢	$17	0xde58bf…
05-08 09:01:12	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	3¢	$14	0x625c41…
05-08 09:00:57	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	3¢	$13	0x7a13da…
04-25 07:03:04	Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)	Brisbane Roar FC	BUY	470	93¢	$437	0xbd452c…
03-28 09:16:35	fif hun slv1 2026 03 28 spread away 2pt5	Slovenia	BUY	205	2¢	$4	0x7cb9fa…
03-28 09:16:33	fif hun slv1 2026 03 28 spread away 2pt5	Slovenia	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x8253ba…