Realized P&L
+$867
Unrealized P&L
-$926
Hit rate
75.4%
Resolved
618
Trades
1,226
lifetime
Volume
$48.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$3.41K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 10-27 03:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Politics
51% 58% +$271
Other
36% 55% +$831
Crypto
7% 55% -$95
Sports
6% 0% -$141
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,584 $2,377 92¢ $2.4K +$13 10-26 11:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,000 $700 70¢ $705 +$5 10-25 08:26
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +248 $169 68¢ $170 +$1 10-27 03:31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +152 $100 66¢ $99 -$1 10-25 19:52
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +41 $34 88¢ $36 +$3 10-26 19:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 67¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:12
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:22
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-17 23:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-04 02:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:17
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-01 22:48
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $333 14¢ $1 -$332 10-22 20:46
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 58¢ $1 $0 09-17 23:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +3 $603 26¢ $1 -$603 10-13 10:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 62¢ $1 $0 09-17 23:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 37¢ $1 $0 10-13 10:13
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2 $13 34¢ $1 -$12 09-04 02:32