Worn-Independent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$140

Unrealized P&L

-$58

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

134

Trades

364

lifetime

Volume

$3.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$86

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-05 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

50% 62% -$2

Politics

36% 69% -$62

Sports

11% 69% -$76

Crypto

2% 71% +$0

Tech

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes		-86	-$28	100¢	$-86	-$58	04-28 14:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	7	$578	400	400	+0	Yes	+$2	03-19 02:07
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	15	$285	874	674	+200	No	-$29	03-22 17:44
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	4	$215	244	134	+110	Yes	-$22	03-22 14:25
nba nop was 2026 01 09	15	$212	113	113	+0	Pelicans	+$4	01-10 01:58
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	2	$184	110	110	+0	Yes	+$14	04-28 14:01
scop hib mot 2026 01 10 hib	13	$115	213	0	+213	No	+$98	01-10 13:55
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	10	$70	67	67	+0	No	-$2	01-12 18:37
will the us invade iran by march 31	6	$67	216	216	+0	No	+$1	03-19 21:21
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	9	$64	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	01-17 20:41
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	5	$60	24	36	-12	No	$0	01-12 15:38
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	7	$60	24	36	-12	No	$0	01-17 20:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$54	72	0	+72	Yes	-$54	03-23 11:07
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	5	$50	27	27	+0	No	+$2	01-17 20:36
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	3	$47	63	40	+23	No	-$8	03-22 08:13
nba okc mem 2026 01 09	5	$46	53	0	+53	Thunder	-$46	01-10 03:01
will gta 6 cost 100	4	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	01-17 20:36
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	5	$42	26	22	+3	No	+$1	01-12 20:07
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	7	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$0	01-17 20:50
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	3	$40	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	01-17 20:43
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	4	$39	18	24	-6	No	+$1	01-17 20:36
will chlo zhao be nominated for best director at the 98th academy awards	3	$39	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	01-17 20:41
cbb cencon lemyn 2026 01 10	4	$33	33	0	+33	Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	+$0	01-10 22:02
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	3	$32	43	43	+0	Broncos	-$8	01-17 23:06
dota2 vp z10 2026 01 09	7	$32	35	0	+35	Zero Tenacity	-$32	01-09 16:27
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	4	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	01-17 20:36
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$0	04-28 14:02
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	2	$30	33	0	+33	Yes	-$30	06-26 22:39
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-16 15:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$30	26	25	+0	Yes	$0	06-14 19:32
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-23 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 13:27:32	Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	9z	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x74b066…
09-29 18:07:44	Spread: England (-1.5)	Czechia	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x1ca318…
09-29 07:17:02	wta marcink frech 2026 09 29 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x7a28d4…
06-28 21:12:35	Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x88f30a…
06-27 22:02:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x185ec6…
06-27 20:49:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe37294…
06-27 15:04:05	Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x129c82…
06-26 22:39:31	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x88dafb…
06-26 22:36:38	Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xa9f7ab…
06-26 22:27:59	Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x0aefa1…
06-24 11:47:10	wta sonmez bejlek 2026 06 24	Sara Bejlek	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x1525a6…
06-24 10:59:13	wta sonmez bejlek 2026 06 24 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x9a15a0…
06-23 21:12:10	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x3e401d…
06-20 15:03:19	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7a38b6…
06-20 12:03:34	wta badosa kraus 2026 06 20	Sinja Kraus	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xda715e…
06-20 12:03:32	wta badosa kraus 2026 06 20 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x84a0c5…
06-20 12:03:32	wta badosa kraus 2026 06 20 set handicap home 1pt5	Kraus	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x29bed5…
06-19 15:01:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x717fa8…
06-16 15:01:13	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2fd864…
06-16 09:37:21	wta boisson yastrem 2026 06 15 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6bb88f…
06-15 21:49:31	Nottingham Open: Harriet Dart vs Katie Boulter	Harriet Dart	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xe34972…
06-15 17:13:45	wta dart boulter 2026 06 15 first set winner Dart vs Boulter	Dart	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x8b5be7…
06-15 12:03:27	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xf1500a…
06-15 12:03:27	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xbfa7d1…
06-15 12:03:27	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x923b7a…
06-15 12:03:27	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x479039…
06-15 12:03:18	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xf2574c…
06-15 12:03:18	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xc88262…
06-14 19:32:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0xb83a8b…
06-14 09:59:52	wta bartunk gauff 2026 06 15 first set winner Bartunkova vs Gauff	Bartunkova	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x90ea14…
06-14 05:42:19	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	Monte	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xa60366…
06-13 11:52:25	wta selekhm rakhimo 2026 06 13	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc204ec…
06-13 11:47:13	wta mcnally stojsav 2026 06 13	Mika Stojsavljevic	BUY	29	50¢	$14	0xe729d1…
06-13 05:15:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xa87e6a…
06-11 02:33:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x3181c5…
06-11 02:33:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc9d256…
06-10 12:51:33	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	HEROIC Academy	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x2fee7f…
06-10 12:51:33	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	HEROIC Academy	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x16e010…
06-10 12:51:31	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	HEROIC Academy	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc13316…
06-10 12:51:31	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	Ursa	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4838ff…
06-10 12:51:28	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	Ursa	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x19348d…
06-10 12:51:27	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	Ursa	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xb66c1f…
06-10 12:14:15	cs2 g2a yn 2026 06 10	Young Ninjas	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1b2691…
06-09 12:21:45	wta stojsav kostyuk 2026 06 08 first set winner Stojsavljevic vs Kostyuk	Stojsavljevic	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xb2731d…
05-28 06:16:38	Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Vacherot	Vacherot	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x949e02…
05-28 01:35:23	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf3134a…
05-26 18:48:51	Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2fe4a8…
05-25 18:31:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x87a25b…
05-24 22:40:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe1315d…
05-24 14:15:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xed74cf…
05-23 20:48:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x066778…
05-23 20:48:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x6fab9e…
05-23 20:48:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xc59469…
05-23 20:31:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xbeffc8…
05-23 20:31:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x35a5dc…
05-23 20:31:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x8f88a1…
05-23 18:49:02	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x8f0182…
05-23 16:42:20	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x6558d2…
05-22 10:10:42	Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	SELL	60	19¢	$11	0xfda0f8…
05-21 22:49:29	Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xa2a1a9…
04-30 04:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 1?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x87ae4a…
04-30 03:54:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on May 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5cbf78…
04-29 20:47:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5e2b98…
04-28 16:04:00	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x18e0cc…
04-28 14:02:00	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xddb69f…
04-28 14:01:54	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	86	32¢	$28	0xfd7352…
04-28 14:01:48	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	90¢	$99	0x5cb9f7…
03-26 21:37:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x6bcf49…
03-26 14:32:41	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x3d6dd4…
03-23 11:07:25	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	72	75¢	$54	0xec4db7…
03-22 17:44:45	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0xdce4cf…
03-22 17:42:33	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	274	19¢	$52	0xfc1af8…
03-22 14:50:45	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x92b922…
03-22 14:48:15	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xef0875…
03-22 14:40:07	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x5abbff…
03-22 14:25:27	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	No	BUY	110	24¢	$26	0xb5c864…
03-22 14:25:01	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	Yes	SELL	134	72¢	$96	0x17845c…
03-22 10:22:55	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xa12314…
03-22 10:22:37	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	65	18¢	$12	0x57ced7…
03-22 10:06:35	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	108	19¢	$21	0x94a57e…
03-22 10:06:23	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x1635a4…
03-22 10:02:59	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	90	19¢	$17	0xffb114…
03-22 09:38:55	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xff19c4…
03-22 09:36:41	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7d7933…
03-22 09:32:51	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	163	18¢	$29	0x7244b5…
03-22 09:21:41	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x7f0adc…
03-22 08:13:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xb954eb…
03-22 07:17:07	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	Yes	BUY	110	69¢	$76	0x835f9c…
03-22 07:15:05	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	Yes	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0x849813…
03-22 06:33:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	Yes	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0xf65be5…
03-22 06:31:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x1eaba4…
03-21 14:51:05	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x480721…
03-21 08:16:27	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	77¢	$85	0xef5a19…
03-20 21:40:31	sea gen udi 2026 03 20 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x847cb5…
03-20 21:18:51	epl bou mun 2026 03 20 mun	Yes	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x0172a6…
03-20 21:18:01	epl bou mun 2026 03 20 mun	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x8a6cba…
03-20 01:04:09	nhl chi min 2026 03 19	Wild	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xc3208c…
03-19 21:21:11	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	126	10¢	$12	0xe275f1…
03-19 21:21:03	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x8c838f…
03-19 21:21:03	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	33	10¢	$3	0x3aa2b0…