Mild-Muscle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$555

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$115

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-06 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 36% $-147

Politics

13% — —

Other

12% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No		+150	$73	66¢	$98	+$25	05-05 06:56
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?	No		+31	$20	55¢	$17	$-3	05-05 18:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	40	$179	200	0	+200	Up	$-174	05-06 06:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$73	150	0	+150	open	—	05-05 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	12	$67	68	0	+68	Up	+$1	05-06 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	43	$48	2,281	0	+2,281	Up	$-48	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	10	$36	133	0	+133	Down	+$65	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	10	$21	50	0	+50	Down	+$29	05-05 19:57
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	6	$20	30	0	+30	Down	+$10	05-06 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	13	$16	234	0	+234	Up	$-16	05-06 01:34
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner	3	$15	27	0	+27	HANJIN BRION Challengers	+$9	05-05 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	05-06 06:24
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner	1	$11	16	0	+16	Nongshim Esports Academy	+$5	05-05 09:06
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	2	$10	12	0	+12	Dplus KIA	+$2	05-05 10:30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner	1	$8	13	0	+13	Hanwha Life Esports	+$5	05-05 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	Down	$-7	05-06 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	$-4	05-06 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-06 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$2	158	0	+158	Down	$-2	05-06 00:44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner	1	$1	0	21	-21	Hanwha Life Esports	+$1	05-05 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$1	140	0	+140	Up	$-1	05-06 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$1	102	0	+102	Down	$-1	05-06 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 06:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb780a9…
05-06 06:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xab9aa0…
05-06 06:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf31680…
05-06 06:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc28f49…
05-06 06:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x477c26…
05-06 06:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe999dc…
05-06 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2fc346…
05-06 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x14f68e…
05-06 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xefa42d…
05-06 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfd74a2…
05-06 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x14dd58…
05-06 06:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xde4bcf…
05-06 06:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0f4224…
05-06 06:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa84c88…
05-06 06:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdcae5d…
05-06 06:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9adff1…
05-06 06:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x28b7ba…
05-06 06:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x502f91…
05-06 06:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcfa9b8…
05-06 06:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x803caa…
05-06 06:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xabcb8b…
05-06 06:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x07beeb…
05-06 06:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7fd819…
05-06 06:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd14529…
05-06 06:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfed98e…
05-06 06:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd26ce4…
05-06 06:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x47821f…
05-06 06:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6c37c4…
05-06 06:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1df4f9…
05-06 06:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8e170e…
05-06 06:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x77c5f6…
05-06 06:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf519c8…
05-06 06:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2d3372…
05-06 06:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6ce495…
05-06 06:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x243c0b…
05-06 06:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9166e8…
05-06 06:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x813560…
05-06 06:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4d6d70…
05-06 06:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x30484d…
05-06 06:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x06ab39…
05-06 06:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2973ab…
05-06 06:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfe052d…
05-06 06:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x569276…
05-06 05:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa4f220…
05-06 05:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbf02eb…
05-06 05:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4f5f66…
05-06 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa34823…
05-06 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xae9863…
05-06 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6fa988…
05-06 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x334246…
05-06 04:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa6e69b…
05-06 04:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xff3a3f…
05-06 03:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe48d59…
05-06 03:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf8f0b…
05-06 03:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa57814…
05-06 03:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xfcb60d…
05-06 03:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0ff6f1…
05-06 03:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59a76d…
05-06 03:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x731d25…
05-06 03:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5c913d…
05-06 03:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff335c…
05-06 03:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6afd35…
05-06 03:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd52282…
05-06 03:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x81e3b9…
05-06 02:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x98c39e…
05-06 02:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf199ea…
05-06 01:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0xbd4563…
05-06 01:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x869770…
05-06 01:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x104580…
05-06 01:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbe8f15…
05-06 01:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x740af5…
05-06 01:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x923da5…
05-06 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x82decb…
05-06 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2353cc…
05-06 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x79f162…
05-06 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x6276e0…
05-06 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xb87df4…
05-06 01:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc3ca75…
05-06 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xed2303…
05-06 01:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x06fa5f…
05-06 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x6b0776…
05-06 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xd4a07f…
05-06 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x1bfe67…
05-06 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x1390a6…
05-06 01:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x195fcc…
05-06 01:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x257014…
05-06 01:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xc27d9a…
05-06 01:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x9c338c…
05-06 01:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x3a06ad…
05-06 01:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x50aa55…
05-06 01:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xe12069…
05-06 01:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xcc3cec…
05-06 01:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xe4e941…
05-06 01:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x3180ed…
05-06 01:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xac92d0…
05-06 01:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x90aba2…
05-06 01:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xba81d0…
05-06 01:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xf8329a…
05-06 01:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x1a5f6c…
05-06 01:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x77f7ae…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	15	$2.42K	96	05-06 06:25
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	12	$8.51K	52	05-06 06:20
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	12	$1.10K	183	05-06 06:24
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	11	$9.71K	325	05-06 06:24
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	11	$1.35K	16	05-06 06:24
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	11	$950	83	05-06 06:20
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	10	$793	21	05-06 06:19
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	9	$1.35K	14	05-06 06:20