Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$230

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-18 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$8

Politics

19% — —

Crypto

17% — —

Sports

17% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	01-15 11:27
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	$-0	01-04 21:52
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$28	54	0	+54	Yes	+$8	03-27 02:42
trump out as president by march 31	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	01-10 05:54
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	01-15 20:33
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	07-04 13:35
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	06-19 14:23
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	2	$11	0	12	-12	open	—	06-07 23:28
China coup attempt before 2027?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-18 00:06
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	01-01 06:36
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 11:45
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	1	$9	22	0	+22	open	—	03-29 05:12
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	1	$8	30	0	+30	open	—	03-27 02:45
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	07-03 21:02
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	07-18 08:56
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	1	$4	0	5	-5	open	—	07-03 10:06
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	1	$1	0	10	-10	open	—	06-26 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 08:56:52	U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x6b420b…
07-18 00:06:39	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbcda73…
07-17 17:51:03	China coup attempt before 2027?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe5a3c6…
07-04 13:35:19	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x0d264e…
07-04 09:00:01	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xaee3f4…
07-03 21:02:23	Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xa0327f…
07-03 10:06:38	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x8b616b…
06-30 05:11:25	Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x30be4c…
06-26 10:28:59	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xb22de8…
06-19 14:23:41	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x344fb5…
06-19 04:39:49	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x43fe7f…
06-07 23:28:10	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x2e69bc…
06-07 18:34:25	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xa9b1ed…
03-29 05:12:50	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x2dae09…
03-27 02:45:19	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x31e441…
03-27 02:42:29	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0xe76a3f…
03-27 02:42:13	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0x766ce9…
01-20 11:45:00	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xec8f16…
01-20 07:22:26	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9ed3e7…
01-15 20:33:10	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xd60a41…
01-15 16:30:36	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x027236…
01-15 11:27:14	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xddf2a8…
01-15 07:25:20	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x41a26d…
01-10 05:54:36	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3a2b4c…
01-09 21:54:18	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0911ff…
01-04 21:52:41	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xda50b7…
01-04 05:46:51	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x98a963…
01-03 03:13:27	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe2da60…
01-02 23:18:55	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xac2367…
01-01 06:36:47	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xf0e42f…