(anonymous) 0x4ddc9f…64c06f
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$420
Unrealized P&L
+$1.78K
Hit rate
7.8%
Resolved
73
Trades
641
lifetime
Volume
$76.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$29.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-09
last 10-27 11:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
49% 9% -$265
Politics
48% 7% -$85
Tech
3% 22% -$70
Sports
0% 50% +$1
Crypto
0% 50% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,870 98¢ $2.0K +$90 10-12 16:02
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +2,000 $1,902 96¢ $1.9K +$17 10-26 10:25
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,800 94¢ $1.9K +$70 10-26 20:25
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +2,000 $1,130 56¢ $1.1K +$0 10-27 05:03
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +1,000 $937 99¢ $994 +$58 10-15 15:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $985 99¢ $991 +$6 10-21 13:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $650 98¢ $975 +$325 09-16 11:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,000 $890 98¢ $975 +$85 10-25 08:04
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +1,000 $945 96¢ $960 +$14 10-12 12:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,000 $840 94¢ $945 +$105 10-25 19:53
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,000 $720 94¢ $944 +$224 10-15 13:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,000 $860 94¢ $940 +$80 10-25 08:08
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,000 $860 92¢ $925 +$65 10-15 23:26
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $870 92¢ $915 +$45 10-26 20:12
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,000 $290 91¢ $910 +$620 10-26 05:49
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1,000 $930 90¢ $905 -$25 10-03 03:33
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +2,000 $880 44¢ $870 -$10 10-27 05:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $900 86¢ $865 -$35 10-13 14:10
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +985 $848 86¢ $846 -$2 10-25 02:57
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $720 84¢ $835 +$115 10-14 15:11
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,000 $820 82¢ $825 +$5 10-26 21:00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1,000 $780 80¢ $795 +$15 10-15 19:09
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +1,000 $730 78¢ $785 +$55 10-21 06:36
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,000 $790 77¢ $770 -$20 10-22 15:12
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $730 74¢ $745 +$15 10-26 19:51
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,000 $830 72¢ $715 -$115 09-28 07:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $630 68¢ $685 +$55 10-20 23:38
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026 Yes +1,000 $810 66¢ $665 -$145 10-17 18:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +751 $784 88¢ $664 -$119 10-19 17:37
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +1,000 $470 66¢ $655 +$185 10-19 10:43