Realized P&L
-$77
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
30.1%
Resolved
31
Trades
2,426
lifetime
Volume
$12.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$19
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-28 22:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
48% 17% $-56
Other
34% 39% $-21
Crypto
14% 50% +$0
Sports
4%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -11 $-7 69¢ $-7 $-0 06-07 18:06
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -8 $-3 72¢ $-5 $-2 05-29 15:27
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 +$0 06-11 20:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 06-25 13:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 40¢ $1 +$0 06-17 08:18
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 $-0 52¢ $-0 $-0 06-27 12:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -0 $0 $-0 $-0 06-28 22:06