Realized P&L
-$656
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
610
Trades
2,742
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$44
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-12 00:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Politics
45% 37% -$528
Other
39% 59% +$138
Crypto
13% 47% -$153
Sports
4% 38% -$111
Tech
0% 33% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -139 -$7 17¢ $-24 -$17 05-01 17:02
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -10 -$5 95¢ $-10 -$4 05-01 17:01
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -333 -$4 2¢ $-6 -$2 05-01 17:01
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$1 96¢ $-2 -$1 05-01 17:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -14 -$4 8¢ $-1 +$3 05-01 17:02
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -0 $0 97¢ $-0 $0 05-01 14:02
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 09-01 17:27
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -1 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 05-01 17:02
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +0 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 06-28 22:06