Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

385

lifetime

Volume

$36.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-12 10:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$1

Other

40% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	22	$7.7K	5,878	1,904	+3,975	open	—	04-10 18:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$3.9K	4,100	214	+3,886	open	—	04-07 00:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	25	$3.7K	3,891	300	+3,591	open	—	04-21 22:50
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	23	$2.1K	1,219	1,219	+0	open	—	04-21 06:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$1.7K	1,736	76	+1,660	open	—	03-31 12:31
netanyahu out by march 31 854	24	$1.7K	1,741	0	+1,741	open	—	03-22 19:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	12	$1.3K	760	670	+90	open	—	04-24 16:02
cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	2	$1.3K	1,309	0	+1,309	open	—	03-20 18:35
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	5	$1.2K	1,206	0	+1,206	open	—	04-11 22:42
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$1.2K	759	475	+283	open	—	04-13 01:16
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	3	$930	939	0	+939	open	—	03-31 12:32
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	8	$784	815	0	+815	open	—	04-25 15:48
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	14	$739	767	0	+767	open	—	04-18 18:04
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	20	$690	347	347	+0	open	—	03-31 20:08
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	4	$679	687	0	+687	open	—	04-11 06:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$638	328	328	+0	open	—	04-12 20:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$560	290	290	+0	open	—	05-12 10:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$540	314	314	+0	open	—	04-06 00:52
foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	3	$419	426	0	+426	open	—	04-19 04:04
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	4	$354	356	0	+356	open	—	03-31 12:30
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	12	$338	344	0	+344	open	—	03-09 11:31
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	7	$311	247	70	+177	open	—	03-31 20:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$304	312	0	+312	open	—	04-17 14:30
atp alcaraz ruud 2026 03 11	1	$300	309	0	+309	open	—	03-11 22:19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	16	$264	139	139	+0	open	—	03-12 23:24
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$237	142	142	+0	open	—	04-12 15:20
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$219	121	121	+0	open	—	04-12 15:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$205	307	0	+307	open	—	04-02 23:56
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	24	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	03-20 14:52
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$157	86	86	+0	open	—	03-27 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:58:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	39	90¢	$35	0x31cf52…
05-12 10:58:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	290	98¢	$285	0x50223b…
04-25 15:48:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x360900…
04-24 16:28:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	39	83¢	$33	0xc9c47a…
04-24 16:28:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x0d0a1e…
04-24 16:10:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x51a2d1…
04-24 16:08:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc86680…
04-24 16:04:10	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	84	98¢	$83	0xa702bf…
04-24 16:02:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x3c5561…
04-24 16:00:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	379	100¢	$379	0x2cf9c7…
04-24 00:50:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0x8a492d…
04-22 09:16:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	112	99¢	$112	0x13a103…
04-21 23:12:08	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xdc9d56…
04-21 22:50:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xbb1064…
04-21 21:02:08	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x1e068a…
04-21 20:30:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9a48e0…
04-21 15:52:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x97d35c…
04-21 06:32:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	180	55¢	$99	0xcaa9fd…
04-20 23:24:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xfd65a3…
04-20 22:38:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5c38ab…
04-20 22:36:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0x3d6c03…
04-20 22:28:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	55	56¢	$31	0x74631b…
04-20 22:20:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0x17001c…
04-20 20:30:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	42	56¢	$24	0xe4c13e…
04-20 20:12:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x68b13e…
04-20 19:32:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x8c825f…
04-20 04:20:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2e6a06…
04-19 23:16:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	140	83¢	$117	0x3fef55…
04-19 17:12:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	103	85¢	$88	0xe18dca…
04-19 17:08:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	41	86¢	$35	0x0d34ef…
04-19 15:56:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xfb3958…
04-19 04:04:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xfdb386…
04-19 04:04:08	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa44a29…
04-18 18:04:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xcf0551…
04-18 18:00:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xda0cee…
04-18 17:56:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	159	80¢	$128	0x9dccc9…
04-18 17:54:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x65aed0…
04-18 16:34:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x7b88f3…
04-18 16:14:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	378	94¢	$356	0x9d4b58…
04-18 08:24:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xc1a062…
04-17 14:34:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	126	91¢	$114	0xa22163…
04-17 14:30:10	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0xbfe5e1…
04-17 14:30:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	52	91¢	$48	0xbef35a…
04-17 13:56:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	395	98¢	$387	0x6f595a…
04-17 13:54:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	169	97¢	$164	0x9b9a8a…
04-17 13:54:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0x49a293…
04-17 04:34:10	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x16a695…
04-17 00:58:08	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	No	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0xa9897f…
04-16 23:42:08	foreign intervention in gaza by april 30	No	BUY	194	97¢	$188	0x35a510…
04-16 19:48:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$100	0x729e75…
04-13 08:40:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	72	85¢	$61	0x933994…
04-13 01:16:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	283	99¢	$280	0x216d7e…
04-12 20:04:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	287	99¢	$285	0xe589e5…
04-12 20:02:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	279	99¢	$277	0xfe5ed5…
04-12 19:48:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	279	99¢	$278	0xb9109b…
04-12 19:30:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x99d0ce…
04-12 19:28:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xe758c6…
04-12 19:26:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x82f747…
04-12 19:04:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	461	84¢	$387	0x9e9f94…
04-12 15:20:09	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0xe42fb5…
04-12 15:20:09	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	142	85¢	$120	0xb7dab6…
04-12 15:18:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	41	84¢	$35	0x03286b…
04-12 15:18:09	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	121	91¢	$110	0xbca3f7…
04-12 15:18:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	196	84¢	$165	0x243ccd…
04-12 14:22:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	45	88¢	$39	0x6c32bb…
04-12 13:32:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x2a8f49…
04-12 13:26:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0x63ee37…
04-12 13:22:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x8d052c…
04-12 13:06:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	107	87¢	$93	0xe5701e…
04-12 06:30:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x2388b3…
04-12 06:28:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0x25bded…
04-12 06:28:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x13f006…
04-12 05:16:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	182	79¢	$144	0xda3bfa…
04-12 05:14:09	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	121	90¢	$109	0xb2d4a1…
04-12 05:14:09	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0x724bda…
04-12 05:08:09	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	142	82¢	$116	0xeda86b…
04-12 05:08:09	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0xe0954c…
04-12 04:48:09	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0xcb729f…
04-12 04:48:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x07243a…
04-12 04:22:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	128	79¢	$101	0x340cc3…
04-11 22:42:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0xc0eac1…
04-11 22:30:07	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x22eb11…
04-11 19:50:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xefcb78…
04-11 10:17:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	714	98¢	$700	0xfe1193…
04-11 06:36:11	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x5366a9…
04-11 06:36:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	595	97¢	$580	0x0ce9b7…
04-11 06:36:09	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x09a3e5…
04-11 06:24:07	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 12 551 973	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x00d512…
04-11 06:22:07	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xc990eb…
04-11 06:20:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xf94a8f…
04-11 06:20:09	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x910385…
04-11 06:20:09	us x iran meeting by april 14 2026 588	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x546bae…
04-11 06:20:09	us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$69	0x359432…
04-11 05:36:07	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0x56fe20…
04-10 22:50:09	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 15 495 617	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x34720c…
04-10 18:20:09	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xb1d123…
04-10 18:18:07	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	132	98¢	$130	0x92a08c…
04-10 18:16:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0xad6c92…
04-10 14:20:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	304	98¢	$300	0x2be8b3…
04-10 14:18:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	275	100¢	$275	0x3b0d8e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Powerful-Election 0x000d…758e	69	$4.57M	1,471	05-22 23:49
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	69	$297.4K	22,513	05-03 22:20
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	67	$19.5M	21,921	05-26 00:02
(anonymous) 0xc978…aa84	67	$284.7K	1,160	05-22 23:50
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	67	$211.6K	1,432	05-24 13:38
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	64	$37.5K	7,696	05-06 10:40
Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a	63	$2.00K	599	05-22 23:08
(anonymous) 0xfe9a…3487	61	$7.78K	254	04-25 15:58