Antique-Amber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

176

Trades

237

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-25 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Politics

35% 77% -$63

Other

28% 92% +$35

Sports

21% 76% -$5

Crypto

14% 80% -$32

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	06-25 12:40
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$61	32	32	+0	No	+$1	06-25 12:40
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	3	$61	32	32	+0	No	+$1	06-25 12:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$58	32	32	+0	No	-$2	06-25 12:40
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	6	$50	86	56	+29	No	-$10	04-17 18:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$49	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	04-16 23:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$45	47	0	+47	No	+$2	05-27 22:17
nhl nyr fla 2026 04 13	2	$36	34	34	+0	Panthers	+$6	04-13 23:44
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	06-25 12:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$1	06-25 12:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-25 12:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$30	118	0	+118	No	-$30	05-28 10:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-25 12:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	06-25 12:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	05-29 22:17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	05-27 22:17
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$30	81	0	+81	Yes	-$30	05-20 06:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$30	49	0	+49	No	-$30	05-29 18:28
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	05-29 14:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	05-27 22:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$30	33	0	+33	No	+$3	05-29 14:17
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:41
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$30	40	0	+40	No	+$10	05-28 14:17
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	$0	06-25 12:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	04-01 11:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$30	46	0	+46	No	+$16	05-19 08:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$30	49	0	+49	No	+$19	04-16 18:24
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$29	115	0	+115	No	-$13	05-28 06:17
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	2	$29	16	16	+0	No	-$1	06-25 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 12:41:13	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x3fc393…
06-25 12:41:11	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xcc0e52…
06-25 12:41:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7e86e7…
06-25 12:41:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x74ddce…
06-25 12:41:02	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x4f2aa3…
06-25 12:40:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x06aac3…
06-25 12:40:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0x8c2e8c…
06-25 12:40:53	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xc9f288…
06-25 12:40:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x4ed108…
06-25 12:40:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xc79f90…
06-25 12:40:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4ce9bd…
06-25 12:40:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x8d67e3…
06-25 12:40:23	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0x804125…
06-25 06:17:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2e859d…
06-25 06:17:28	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd045ac…
06-25 06:17:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x6d72ef…
06-25 01:55:13	mlb chc nym 2026 06 24	Chicago Cubs	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x48372f…
06-24 19:20:16	mlb chc nym 2026 06 22	Chicago Cubs	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xca75f4…
06-24 14:17:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe56eba…
06-24 06:17:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x921a70…
06-24 06:17:32	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb4a058…
06-24 06:17:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x0172ec…
06-23 23:45:14	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23	Washington Nationals	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xd25f72…
06-23 23:00:14	mlb hou tor 2026 06 23	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x704773…
06-21 22:10:13	mlb bal lad 2026 06 21	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xfb0145…
06-21 14:17:20	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf2d82c…
06-20 22:17:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x8841c4…
06-20 21:55:14	mlb sf mia 2026 06 20	Miami Marlins	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xeb7f68…
06-20 19:05:13	mlb cws det 2026 06 20	Detroit Tigers	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x19cba4…
06-20 02:05:16	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19	Kansas City Royals	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x4d5940…
06-19 22:17:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x613ec0…
06-19 14:17:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x02d734…
06-19 14:17:29	Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x21a411…
06-19 14:17:22	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xe41b11…
06-19 06:17:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8aa6bc…
06-19 06:17:22	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x80ebce…
06-18 21:05:13	mlb cle mil 2026 06 18	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xb5e894…
06-18 06:17:23	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x02c44b…
06-17 22:17:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xf6f46a…
06-17 19:55:25	mlb det hou 2026 06 17	Houston Astros	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x2a4e89…
06-16 22:17:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x259108…
06-15 19:34:27	val pr1 vit 2026 06 15	Paper Rex	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc87ff4…
06-15 14:17:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2004ee…
06-14 13:20:54	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0x278dd0…
06-14 13:20:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	39	11¢	$4	0x11b272…
06-14 06:17:19	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbc29e8…
06-14 04:15:12	mlb tb laa 2026 06 13	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0cb084…
06-04 18:40:16	mlb sd phi 2026 06 04	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x1f1a31…
06-03 20:00:39	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xccee69…
06-03 20:00:19	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03	Miami Marlins	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xda0665…
06-03 19:05:15	Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Detroit Tigers	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x4aadfe…
06-03 01:05:26	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0xa5175c…
06-02 06:17:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x8504c9…
06-01 22:17:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xdde119…
06-01 08:24:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0xe0a950…
06-01 08:24:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x972f09…
06-01 08:24:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x90819b…
06-01 08:24:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0x4aea89…
06-01 08:23:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x8c66c3…
05-29 22:17:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5b6a69…
05-29 22:17:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2616f4…
05-29 22:17:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x22bc5d…
05-29 18:28:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x9e2d1a…
05-29 18:23:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x99bd80…
05-29 16:26:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x173b68…
05-29 16:25:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa144e7…
05-29 16:24:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe7ae25…
05-29 16:24:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x89d382…
05-29 14:17:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xd8242c…
05-29 14:17:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa69e5c…
05-29 14:17:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x1a83dd…
05-28 19:15:16	Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x721fb5…
05-28 19:04:49	Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton	Raphael Collignon	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xb56fb1…
05-28 14:17:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xbb5129…
05-28 10:23:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	20¢	$15	0x908b06…
05-28 09:32:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	86	18¢	$15	0x242b8b…
05-28 06:17:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6045cb…
05-28 06:17:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8abf5c…
05-28 06:17:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x3b4560…
05-27 22:25:18	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xee33bd…
05-27 22:17:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9b19dd…
05-27 22:17:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x19dde5…
05-27 22:17:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xd7c690…
05-27 20:45:19	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	Seattle Mariners	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xdf288f…
05-27 20:45:17	Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics	Seattle Mariners	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x549d3b…
05-27 20:23:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x70f536…
05-27 18:23:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x78b1d7…
05-27 16:25:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x61d736…
05-27 16:24:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	15¢	$12	0x6a674b…
05-27 14:23:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0x3a87a3…
05-27 08:09:45	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xe8ff74…
05-27 08:09:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xedb950…
05-20 14:17:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x21f613…
05-20 06:24:02	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xbaedb4…
05-20 06:17:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe4ae1e…
05-20 06:17:20	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x5bcf7e…
05-20 04:24:27	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x5ab388…
05-19 22:17:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x862815…
05-19 20:32:39	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	26	41¢	$11	0x259683…
05-19 14:17:12	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x948ce3…