Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$592
Hit rate
77.5%
Resolved (90d)
548
Trades (90d)
31,096
109,605 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$6.76K
$25.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$1.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-29 05:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Other
43% 55% +$1,818
Crypto
33% 63% +$2,144
Politics
18% 44% +$682
Sports
4% 52% -$71
Tech
1% 39% -$105
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 888 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -500 -$225 68¢ $-338 -$112 08-01 22:58
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +158,220 $157 0¢ $237 +$80 09-19 10:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -500 -$275 32¢ $-162 +$112 08-02 14:39
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +103,888 $62 0¢ $156 +$94 10-24 12:46
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +77,324 $62 0¢ $116 +$54 10-28 23:40
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +45,270 -$75 0¢ $68 +$143 10-29 00:38
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +37,155 -$22 0¢ $56 +$78 10-29 05:04
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +28,472 $26 0¢ $43 +$16 10-29 04:40
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +16,632 $12 0¢ $25 +$13 10-29 05:21
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +16,260 $13 0¢ $24 +$11 10-29 05:04
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +21,443 $20 0¢ $21 +$2 10-22 14:59
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +11,792 $12 0¢ $18 +$6 10-29 04:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +5,836 $3 0¢ $9 +$6 10-29 00:19
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +5,285 -$3 0¢ $8 +$11 10-29 00:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +5,173 $0 0¢ $8 +$8 10-28 15:00
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,054 $6 0¢ $8 +$2 10-28 09:23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +3,734 -$11 0¢ $6 +$17 10-29 03:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,688 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 10-28 23:38
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,688 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 10-28 17:49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +1,774 -$17 0¢ $3 +$19 10-29 00:18
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +852 $1 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 09:20
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +818 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 02:05
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +415 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-29 01:51
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +28 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 10-28 09:44
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +41 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-27 11:04
Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +38 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 03:54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +1 -$12 0¢ $0 +$12 10-21 13:53
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +0 -$11 0¢ $0 +$11 09-08 19:35
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 08-20 03:03
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-15 11:16