Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39fd…2d8cbf
bot 22W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$371
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved (30d)
150
Trades (30d)
8,341
120,962 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.76K
$32.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$773
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-31 08:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Other
43% 55% +$1,818
Crypto
33% 63% +$2,144
Politics
18% 44% +$678
Sports
5% 52% -$71
Tech
1% 39% -$105
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 888 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -500 -$225 70¢ $-352 -$128 08-01 22:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -500 -$275 30¢ $-148 +$128 08-02 14:39
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +103,888 $62 0¢ $104 +$42 10-24 12:46
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +59,617 $44 0¢ $60 +$16 10-31 06:18
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +15,190 -$105 0¢ $23 +$128 10-31 06:10
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +19,466 $19 0¢ $19 +$0 10-31 06:19
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +8,602 $5 0¢ $13 +$8 10-31 09:47
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +6,176 -$54 0¢ $9 +$63 10-31 06:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +5,836 $2 0¢ $9 +$7 10-30 07:16
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,720 $5 0¢ $7 +$2 10-30 07:49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +4,388 -$2 0¢ $7 +$9 10-30 20:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +3,551 -$12 0¢ $5 +$17 10-31 08:14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +1,688 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 10-30 15:11
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,688 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 10-28 17:49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +1,624 -$17 0¢ $2 +$19 10-30 16:22
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +1,507 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-31 09:16
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,078 -$1 0¢ $2 +$3 10-31 06:12
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +818 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 02:05
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +336 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-30 10:32
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +369 -$1 0¢ $1 +$1 10-31 04:38
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +18 -$24 0¢ $0 +$24 10-29 23:19
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +41 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-27 11:04
Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +38 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 03:54
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +13 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 10-31 03:03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +1 -$12 0¢ $0 +$12 10-21 13:53
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +0 -$11 0¢ $0 +$11 09-08 19:35
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 08-20 03:03
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-15 11:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +0 -$4 0¢ $0 +$4 09-24 13:58