Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39fd…2d8cbf
bot 22W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$16
Unrealized P&L
+$215
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved (30d)
153
Trades (30d)
8,236
121,126 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.80K
$32.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$731
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 11-01 23:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
43% 55% +$1,818
Crypto
33% 63% +$2,144
Politics
18% 44% +$696
Sports
5% 52% -$71
Tech
1% 39% -$105
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 888 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -500 -$225 72¢ $-358 -$132 08-01 22:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -500 -$275 29¢ $-143 +$132 08-02 14:39
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +103,888 $62 0¢ $104 +$42 10-24 12:46
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +46,617 $31 0¢ $47 +$16 11-01 10:19
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +19,466 $19 0¢ $19 +$0 10-31 06:19
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +7,521 $3 0¢ $11 +$8 11-01 11:11
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5,211 -$54 0¢ $8 +$62 11-01 12:04
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,688 $3 0¢ $7 +$4 10-31 12:23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +4,388 -$2 0¢ $7 +$9 10-30 20:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +3,541 -$12 0¢ $5 +$17 11-01 12:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +1,688 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 10-30 15:11
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,688 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 10-28 17:49
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +336 $1 1¢ $4 +$3 10-31 10:51
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +1,624 -$17 0¢ $2 +$19 10-30 16:22
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +1,507 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-31 09:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +1,082 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-01 20:42
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,078 -$1 0¢ $2 +$3 10-31 06:12
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +818 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 02:05
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +378 -$2 0¢ $1 +$3 11-01 20:42
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +328 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 11-01 00:35
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +76 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 11-01 17:45
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +61 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-01 06:59
Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +38 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 03:54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +1 -$12 0¢ $0 +$12 10-21 13:53
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +0 -$11 0¢ $0 +$11 09-08 19:35
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-15 11:16