Realized P&L
+$4.47K
Unrealized P&L
+$500
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved
1,590
Trades
120,623
lifetime
Volume
$32.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$1.06K
27 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-29 20:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Other
43% 55% +$1,818
Crypto
33% 63% +$2,144
Politics
18% 44% +$682
Sports
4% 52% -$71
Tech
1% 39% -$105
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 888 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -500 -$225 68¢ $-338 -$112 08-01 22:58
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -500 -$275 32¢ $-162 +$112 08-02 14:39
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +103,888 $62 0¢ $156 +$94 10-24 12:46
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +77,288 $62 0¢ $116 +$54 10-29 09:32
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +45,270 -$75 0¢ $68 +$143 10-29 00:38
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +38,338 -$21 0¢ $58 +$79 10-29 12:52
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +28,655 $27 0¢ $43 +$16 10-29 06:04
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +18,827 $15 0¢ $28 +$13 10-29 21:23
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +21,443 $20 0¢ $21 +$2 10-22 14:59
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +13,306 $13 0¢ $20 +$7 10-29 16:01
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +9,144 -$6 0¢ $14 +$20 10-29 17:47
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +5,836 $2 0¢ $9 +$6 10-29 17:44
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +5,173 $0 0¢ $8 +$8 10-28 15:00
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,054 $6 0¢ $8 +$2 10-28 09:23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +3,635 -$12 0¢ $5 +$17 10-29 21:43
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,688 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 10-28 17:49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +1,654 -$17 0¢ $2 +$19 10-29 17:49
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +852 $1 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 09:20
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +818 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 02:05
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +415 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-29 01:51
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +159 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 17:30
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +41 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-27 11:04
Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +38 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-29 03:54
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +1 -$12 0¢ $0 +$12 10-21 13:53
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 08-20 03:03
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-15 11:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +0 -$4 0¢ $0 +$4 09-24 13:58