Realized P&L (7d)
-$64
Unrealized P&L
+$583
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved (7d)
38
Trades (7d)
3,632
119,591 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$705
$31.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$1.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-27 21:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 129 days
Categories
Other
43% 55% +$1,818
Crypto
33% 63% +$2,144
Politics
18% 44% +$682
Sports
4% 52% -$71
Tech
1% 39% -$105
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 888 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -500 -$225 66¢ $-330 -$105 08-01 22:58
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +158,220 $157 0¢ $237 +$80 09-19 10:33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -500 -$275 34¢ $-170 +$105 08-02 14:39
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +103,888 $62 0¢ $156 +$94 10-24 12:46
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +77,459 $62 0¢ $116 +$54 10-27 15:52
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +45,416 -$74 0¢ $68 +$143 10-25 03:43
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +28,356 -$30 0¢ $43 +$73 10-27 16:10
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +23,201 $21 0¢ $35 +$14 10-27 11:50
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +17,536 $14 0¢ $26 +$12 10-27 13:40
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +21,443 $20 0¢ $21 +$2 10-22 14:59
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +10,792 $11 0¢ $16 +$5 10-27 19:39
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +7,991 $5 0¢ $12 +$7 10-27 16:10
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +5,943 $1 0¢ $9 +$8 10-27 19:45
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,376 $7 0¢ $8 +$2 10-27 09:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? Yes +4,573 -$3 0¢ $7 +$10 10-27 21:12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? Yes +3,625 -$11 0¢ $5 +$17 10-27 21:06
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +3,353 $0 0¢ $5 +$5 10-27 22:25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +2,143 -$16 0¢ $3 +$19 10-27 17:00
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,797 -$2 0¢ $3 +$4 08-08 17:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +514 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-27 06:36
Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +852 $1 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 09:20
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes +818 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 10-26 02:05
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +186 -$1 0¢ $1 +$1 10-27 21:03
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +34 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 10-27 15:06
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +41 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-27 11:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? Yes +1 -$12 0¢ $0 +$12 10-21 13:53
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +0 -$11 0¢ $0 +$11 09-08 19:35
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 08-20 03:03
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 06-15 11:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +0 -$4 0¢ $0 +$4 09-24 13:58