Realized P&L
+$902
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
39
Trades
766
lifetime
Volume
$50.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$47.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 19:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
64% — —
Sports
26% 64% +$902
Other
9% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +10,967 $9,624 90¢ $9.8K +$192 10-16 08:52
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +6,555 $6,297 97¢ $6.4K +$71 10-19 21:42
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,118 $4,960 100¢ $5.1K +$135 10-10 09:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +4,120 $3,867 94¢ $3.9K +$26 10-20 01:37
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,778 $3,477 92¢ $3.5K -$20 10-07 18:31
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,181 $3,104 97¢ $3.1K -$5 10-16 09:08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3,247 $2,719 82¢ $2.7K -$59 10-26 10:34
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +2,469 $2,346 96¢ $2.4K +$20 10-25 16:04
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,732 $1,609 95¢ $1.7K +$42 10-19 06:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,559 $1,434 92¢ $1.4K +$8 10-22 02:37
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,967 $1,407 11¢ $1.2K -$255 10-17 10:10
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,142 $1,110 96¢ $1.1K -$10 10-05 16:20
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +798 $773 97¢ $774 +$1 10-15 15:00
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +793 $737 94¢ $741 +$4 10-25 23:51
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,191 $531 18¢ $576 +$45 10-26 19:25
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +618 $550 90¢ $553 +$3 10-26 17:07
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No +479 $459 96¢ $459 +$0 10-16 13:59
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,778 $297 8¢ $321 +$24 10-19 19:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +289 $261 90¢ $259 -$1 10-21 19:04
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +265 $236 88¢ $234 -$1 10-21 21:14
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +245 $230 94¢ $231 +$0 10-26 16:22
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +259 $233 88¢ $227 -$6 09-30 15:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +4,120 $257 6¢ $227 -$31 10-18 23:22
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +237 $197 84¢ $198 +$1 10-22 18:15
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +6,555 $257 3¢ $187 -$70 10-18 15:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +1,559 $121 8¢ $117 -$4 10-22 15:27
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2,222 $119 4¢ $92 -$27 10-26 18:43
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +793 $84 11¢ $83 -$1 10-25 23:03
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,732 $129 5¢ $81 -$47 10-19 22:33
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,181 $84 3¢ $81 -$2 10-20 04:24