Stained-Knight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$330

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$72.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$639

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-18 00:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 100% +$73

Politics

14% 100% +$209

Other

7% 67% +$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	4	$2.3K	1,191	1,191	+0	No	+$94	05-09 00:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$2.1K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$45	04-19 17:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,464	1,464	+0	No	+$54	05-07 16:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	13	$2.0K	2,250	2,250	+0	Yes	+$45	05-06 21:43
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	7	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Texas Longhorns	+$0	03-17 12:29
will the price of xrp be between 2pt10 2pt20 on january 16	1	$1.3K	1,329	0	+1,329	No	+$1	01-16 16:46
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on january 14	1	$1.3K	1,327	0	+1,327	No	+$1	01-14 16:23
xrp above 2pt4 on january 9	1	$1.3K	1,325	0	+1,325	No	+$1	01-09 04:28
will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on january 8	1	$1.3K	1,323	0	+1,323	No	+$1	01-08 16:09
will the price of xrp be greater than 2pt30 on january 7	1	$1.3K	1,322	0	+1,322	No	+$1	01-07 16:41
solana above 150 on january 6	1	$1.3K	1,321	0	+1,321	No	+$1	01-06 16:31
xrp above 2pt2 on january 5	1	$1.3K	1,319	0	+1,319	No	+$1	01-05 17:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$4	05-12 20:38
xrp above 1pt4 on april 15	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	No	+$1	04-15 15:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 17	1	$1.1K	1,080	0	+1,080	Yes	+$4	04-17 15:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 29	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	No	+$1	03-29 15:14
xrp above 1pt3 on march 24	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	Yes	+$1	03-24 11:43
solana above 60 on march 11	1	$1.1K	1,052	0	+1,052	Yes	+$1	03-10 16:23
xrp above 0pt9 on march 9	1	$1.0K	1,051	0	+1,051	Yes	+$1	03-09 13:17
solana above 70 on march 8	2	$1.0K	1,050	0	+1,050	Yes	+$2	03-08 03:35
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	1	$1.0K	1,045	0	+1,045	No	+$1	03-05 08:02
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 2	1	$1.0K	1,043	0	+1,043	No	+$2	03-02 15:09
ethereum above 1800 on march 1	1	$1.0K	1,041	0	+1,041	Yes	+$1	03-01 15:50
will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on february 27	1	$1.0K	1,040	0	+1,040	No	+$1	02-27 16:42
will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on february 26	1	$1.0K	1,039	0	+1,039	No	+$1	02-26 09:04
ethereum above 1800 on february 24	1	$1.0K	1,037	0	+1,037	Yes	+$1	02-24 16:43
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on february 23	1	$1.0K	1,036	0	+1,036	No	+$1	02-23 06:31
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 22	1	$1.0K	1,035	0	+1,035	No	+$1	02-22 07:38
xrp above 1 on february 20	1	$1.0K	1,033	0	+1,033	Yes	+$1	02-19 17:51
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 18	1	$1.0K	1,032	0	+1,032	No	+$1	02-18 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 00:33:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	18¢	$90	0xf420ae…
07-31 16:30:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	24¢	$120	0x0bf39b…
06-15 20:27:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x89672b…
05-31 18:23:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,001	0xc6f3e4…
05-12 20:38:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,196	0x79b75d…
05-09 00:24:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	1,191	100¢	$1,189	0x5ec294…
05-07 16:29:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x4e4021…
05-07 16:24:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x16cd05…
05-07 16:24:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,060	92¢	$975	0x461b6d…
05-07 16:20:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,464	75¢	$1,098	0x3b2b8d…
05-07 15:29:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,450	71¢	$1,034	0x17ee48…
05-07 15:28:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x477d8e…
05-07 15:28:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1968b3…
05-06 21:43:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,377	46¢	$633	0xe557d3…
05-06 21:33:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	46¢	$90	0x36992a…
05-06 21:33:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x312843…
05-06 21:33:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	217	46¢	$100	0xa8e20b…
05-06 21:11:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	46¢	$49	0x9921e0…
05-06 21:11:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	46¢	$21	0xf7427f…
05-06 21:10:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xcffe29…
05-06 21:03:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	46¢	$15	0x620cf5…
05-06 21:03:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0xa188d3…
05-06 21:01:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x39b7a0…
05-06 21:01:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	46¢	$15	0x06d41c…
05-06 20:58:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	46¢	$79	0xb30298…
05-06 17:27:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,250	44¢	$990	0x6416cb…
04-29 20:59:34	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0xda0487…
04-19 17:31:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	127	73¢	$93	0x6636fb…
04-19 17:29:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x4e9965…
04-19 17:29:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	44	73¢	$32	0xa6c561…
04-19 17:29:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,318	73¢	$962	0xac6f61…
04-19 15:17:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,500	70¢	$1,050	0x125311…
04-18 17:44:22	xrp above 1pt4 on april 18	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x29ff06…
04-18 15:53:10	xrp above 1pt4 on april 18	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4d817…
04-17 15:59:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,080	100¢	$1,076	0x8b315a…
04-16 15:59:28	solana above 90 on april 16	No	BUY	581	100¢	$580	0x5189fe…
04-16 15:50:42	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on april 16	No	BUY	499	100¢	$497	0x8816ed…
04-15 15:44:46	xrp above 1pt4 on april 15	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,077	0xf2dc1e…
03-29 15:14:30	bitcoin above 68k on march 29	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,075	0x94bf44…
03-24 11:43:19	xrp above 1pt3 on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,064	0x2d26d6…
03-24 09:37:57	xrp above 1pt2 on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0fd1f…
03-23 15:59:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 23	No	BUY	986	100¢	$985	0xd192b1…
03-23 15:50:41	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on march 23	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3b18f8…
03-17 12:29:45	cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	North Carolina State Wolfpack	SELL	953	50¢	$476	0x3a9cff…
03-17 12:29:27	cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	North Carolina State Wolfpack	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0x07d89e…
03-17 12:19:49	cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	North Carolina State Wolfpack	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0xc01430…
03-17 12:05:31	cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	North Carolina State Wolfpack	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x8ff576…
03-17 11:01:31	cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	North Carolina State Wolfpack	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x170e52…
03-17 09:45:17	cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	North Carolina State Wolfpack	SELL	1,000	50¢	$500	0x938ef7…
03-17 09:27:59	cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	North Carolina State Wolfpack	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xbbb0a6…
03-10 16:23:25	solana above 60 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1,052	100¢	$1,051	0x5cab3b…
03-09 13:17:55	xrp above 0pt9 on march 9	Yes	BUY	1,051	100¢	$1,050	0x8e3748…
03-08 03:35:35	solana above 70 on march 8	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x679c7a…
03-08 03:35:21	solana above 70 on march 8	Yes	BUY	932	100¢	$930	0x28bde2…
03-06 17:34:13	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on march 7	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x35e27a…
03-06 17:33:51	will the price of xrp be between 1pt60 1pt70 on march 7	No	BUY	347	100¢	$346	0x3394a6…
03-06 17:32:31	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt80 on march 7	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x135197…
03-05 08:02:01	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 5	No	BUY	1,045	100¢	$1,044	0xd7ac62…
03-04 16:58:09	bitcoin above 74k on march 4	No	BUY	586	100¢	$585	0xc80e6a…
03-04 16:56:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 4	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x56ef5e…
03-04 16:56:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 4	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0xc1d586…
03-02 15:09:23	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 2	No	BUY	1,043	100¢	$1,041	0xa1915b…
03-01 15:50:37	ethereum above 1800 on march 1	Yes	BUY	1,041	100¢	$1,040	0x57e846…
02-27 16:42:43	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on february 27	No	BUY	1,040	100¢	$1,039	0x5117ca…
02-26 09:04:46	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on february 26	No	BUY	1,039	100¢	$1,038	0x520e15…
02-25 16:36:22	ethereum above 1900 on february 25	Yes	BUY	898	100¢	$897	0x0ea201…
02-24 16:43:46	ethereum above 1800 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,037	100¢	$1,036	0x616945…
02-23 06:31:06	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on february 23	No	BUY	1,036	100¢	$1,035	0x134e77…
02-22 07:38:48	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 22	No	BUY	1,035	100¢	$1,034	0x2983f7…
02-21 05:32:44	xrp above 1pt2 on february 21	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xb83ed4…
02-21 05:30:28	xrp above 1pt1 on february 21	Yes	BUY	774	100¢	$774	0xdc1177…
02-19 17:51:40	xrp above 1 on february 20	Yes	BUY	1,033	100¢	$1,032	0xa3f0e3…
02-18 03:04:28	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on february 18	No	BUY	1,032	100¢	$1,031	0x9ab216…
02-17 11:11:41	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on february 17	No	BUY	1,031	100¢	$1,030	0xe94465…
02-16 08:26:21	xrp above 1pt1 on february 16	Yes	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,029	0x965224…
02-16 03:39:51	will ethereum dip to 1800 february 9 15	No	BUY	1,029	100¢	$1,028	0x4f4299…
02-14 18:43:25	xrp above 0pt9 on february 15	Yes	BUY	1,028	100¢	$1,027	0x78c850…
02-08 13:47:17	xrp above 1pt2 on february 8	Yes	BUY	467	100¢	$466	0x5965d5…
02-08 13:46:55	xrp above 1pt1 on february 8	Yes	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0x88289d…
02-06 10:47:59	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 6	No	BUY	1,025	100¢	$1,024	0xac3282…
02-04 17:09:51	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on february 5	No	BUY	1,023	100¢	$1,021	0xdc6dc0…
02-03 15:22:30	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on february 3	No	BUY	1,023	99¢	$1,018	0x689427…
02-02 12:36:22	solana above 70 on february 2	Yes	BUY	1,017	100¢	$1,016	0x5ac2b5…
02-02 04:48:02	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	BUY	1,015	100¢	$1,013	0x4e14a4…
02-01 16:25:58	xrp above 1pt5 on february 1	Yes	BUY	665	100¢	$664	0xe47c90…
02-01 16:25:36	xrp above 1pt4 on february 1	Yes	BUY	349	100¢	$349	0xc08daf…
01-30 16:29:56	ethereum above 2500 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,012	100¢	$1,010	0x480a35…
01-29 04:39:26	will the price of xrp be between 2pt10 2pt20 on january 29	No	BUY	1,011	100¢	$1,010	0xdfa435…
01-27 16:40:57	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on january 27	No	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,008	0x77ee56…
01-26 02:40:28	will the price of xrp be between 2pt40 2pt50 on january 26	No	BUY	1,008	100¢	$1,007	0x5b1a0e…
01-24 17:22:12	bitcoin above 98k on january 25	No	BUY	803	100¢	$802	0x04d2b5…
01-24 17:18:20	xrp above 1pt6 on january 25	Yes	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0xea3b58…
01-23 16:34:02	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on january 23	No	BUY	1,006	100¢	$1,005	0x0a02b5…
01-22 16:41:48	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on january 22	No	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,004	0x9cf5b2…
01-21 15:41:24	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on january 21	No	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,003	0x49d80f…
01-20 08:44:46	solana above 140 on january 20	No	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,002	0x09aebc…
01-19 07:10:02	xrp above 2pt2 on january 19	No	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0xbde533…
01-18 16:41:14	will the price of xrp be between 1pt70 1pt80 on january 18	No	BUY	928	100¢	$927	0x8aadb2…
01-18 16:40:40	xrp above 1pt6 on january 18	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xe194c5…
01-18 16:40:28	xrp above 2pt1 on january 18	No	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x5a34f9…