Puzzled-Chestnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

2,398

Trades

2,465

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-25 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$10

Sports

15% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will FC Koln be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-09 17:03
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-20 05:07
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	04-17 04:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 23:30
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-19 00:48
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:40
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc57b49…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x32a9c8…
10-24 14:15:03	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb8bb0…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa7c351…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff912e…
10-24 12:37:26	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x291cad…
10-24 12:37:12	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d8598…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e95b5…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c3958…
10-22 20:12:39	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e65dd…
10-21 20:56:35	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b4c2d…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde839b…
10-20 22:56:14	Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa5c54…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d11f2…
10-20 18:36:03	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d9b36…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3edc0d…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c3c57…
10-15 20:32:51	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x690794…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36f844…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca716d…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65e2ef…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5208e5…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf9827…
10-13 01:33:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba94b5…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43cd92…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x325df6…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8239e5…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc01375…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd6ea3…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fbf60…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa12582…
10-08 07:10:50	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2dd336…
10-07 14:42:13	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x80ccd5…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7742ac…
10-07 05:02:59	Panthers vs. Kings	Panthers	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd4c9ec…
10-06 22:21:09	Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana	Guido Justo	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4765e0…
10-06 20:46:27	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x831d28…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea29ca…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64abf0…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x632c9d…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xca1bd8…
10-03 14:50:23	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x032d10…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1404f2…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5909e7…
10-02 14:15:36	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbeeb1…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x570e7a…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde3534…
10-01 22:23:56	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9e1e3…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x144644…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x646e79…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3bb131…
10-01 16:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x31889c…
10-01 14:13:02	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40bf98…
10-01 12:11:08	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x222717…
10-01 11:32:18	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe5048a…
10-01 06:54:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x154bec…
10-01 05:16:11	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffdffd…
09-30 23:55:02	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1c49d…
09-30 02:03:00	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52be04…
09-29 20:38:39	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x66073b…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51e134…
09-29 13:21:26	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5d428b…
09-29 13:16:03	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47b3ae…
09-29 06:38:06	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe698b4…
09-28 21:05:26	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeea283…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf846b3…
09-27 20:12:00	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13fec4…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7743ee…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x031b31…
09-27 12:24:53	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73460a…
09-27 01:58:21	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc92034…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25d5e6…
09-26 20:05:05	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b7f38…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf863b9…
09-25 22:58:51	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x098e2b…
09-25 10:13:33	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8021aa…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47ad4f…
09-24 09:44:06	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x096a93…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd64227…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12c665…
09-23 04:45:05	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x18e704…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe17747…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x397d86…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x390ec0…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e1a03…
09-19 03:59:36	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x745108…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf81cd5…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51c6ac…
09-18 19:43:15	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7db314…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3c5571…
09-18 18:52:22	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc269f2…
09-17 20:00:10	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59deb5…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfa98a…
09-17 16:02:36	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x209f7a…
09-17 14:00:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72d824…
09-17 00:30:52	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e10da…
09-16 12:24:48	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x189834…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6d16f…
09-16 01:33:03	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x848e7e…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf19f8f…