Puzzled-Chestnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,734

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-30 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

79% 95% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:06:16	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xace76f…
06-30 18:01:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c5d72…
06-30 10:12:47	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x75beaa…
06-30 04:26:02	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbac9ef…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x001fbe…
06-29 23:57:28	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d866e…
06-29 22:43:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10d063…
06-29 19:15:11	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31d195…
06-29 19:04:13	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39b966…
06-29 13:52:43	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x772925…
06-28 21:18:22	mlb hou det 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Houston Astros	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e8642…
06-28 17:02:08	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf65031…
06-28 16:51:37	f1 austrian grand prix driver podium piastri 2026 06 28	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14ab1d…
06-28 14:02:25	cs2 mana1 subtop 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64d0ba…
06-28 05:39:26	will iran reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120760	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6d285…
06-28 04:05:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	Jordan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33565f…
06-28 03:59:31	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b168a…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60250c…
06-28 03:22:25	mlb atl sf 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb41be…
06-28 03:00:52	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x883634…
06-28 01:32:02	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9748e…
06-27 22:56:44	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d0ffa…
06-27 18:05:50	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa25d2b…
06-27 14:56:04	codmw tex g2m 2026 06 27	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x793fd0…
06-27 03:05:29	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d4728…
06-26 21:15:07	will googl dip to 335 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9246b3…
06-26 18:23:58	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf69ed1…
06-26 11:53:58	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf26ae6…
06-26 00:55:49	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bf6d9…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd398fd…
06-25 04:14:44	mlb oak sf 2026 06 24 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdd14fa…
06-25 02:00:44	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1128fa…
06-25 01:49:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58b1a9…
06-25 00:10:55	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 corners team home 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00da41…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x566d1f…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x189256…
06-24 21:07:56	fifwc bih qat 2026 06 24 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f055d…
06-24 19:59:05	itf delattr torcq 2026 06 24 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c1ed3…
06-24 12:34:52	kbo kia kiw 2026 06 24	Kia Tigers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x733b1d…
06-23 20:00:58	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e2190…
06-23 19:01:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c5aa5…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83e155…
06-22 19:05:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4d35d…
06-22 17:40:34	will lionel messi score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833283	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd5dbca…
06-22 00:15:13	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x350a54…
06-21 18:14:22	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c321f…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x367c7f…
06-21 18:03:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x253313…
06-21 06:07:55	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71b464…
06-21 04:54:50	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1791e5…
06-20 20:06:35	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01fcd3…
06-20 14:41:55	wta sabalen pegula 2026 06 20 set handicap home 1pt5	Pegula	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5276d…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0086c…
06-20 05:07:50	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2694b6…
06-20 02:53:52	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xedc344…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc42c84…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80ce7a…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb60358…
06-19 00:04:22	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66e8ed…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x660b2d…
06-18 22:35:31	val srb adg 2026 06 18 game2	Shopify Rebellion Black	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x157863…
06-18 04:12:07	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 goals luis diaz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c7f51…
06-17 22:04:55	mlb tb lad 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x963d94…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cbd98…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ddbbc…
06-17 19:10:40	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbca24…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e6b82…
06-17 18:09:10	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41b354…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d4735…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb7917…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe980e8…
06-17 04:05:35	mlb tb lad 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf68ba…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c59a0…
06-16 13:45:50	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11347a…
06-16 12:37:40	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67fd32…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42e039…
06-15 18:18:27	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54c943…
06-15 12:41:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71fe08…
06-15 12:34:04	atp tarvet safiull 2026 06 15 set handicap away 1pt5	Tarvet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7b19c…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3ab4a…
06-14 19:39:19	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2018c8…
06-14 19:23:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae4d0f…
06-14 19:06:09	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe44089…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb86bd5…
06-14 06:25:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd1043…
06-13 11:58:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x046ebe…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9e19a…
06-12 21:38:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb28dff…
06-12 21:07:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf14dc9…
06-12 21:01:31	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd84516…
06-12 20:37:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb55b7…
06-12 20:26:46	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59a903…
06-12 20:19:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1af99…
06-12 20:17:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab0697…
06-12 13:30:09	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd13a8a…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a4734…
06-11 21:14:07	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57f281…
06-11 21:05:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 goals raul jimenez gte1	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc76afc…
06-11 21:05:04	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 goals raul jimenez gte1	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa22d6c…
06-11 16:53:27	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc96eea…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 05:07
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
Cruzeiro EC vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 04:23
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 23:30
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Will FC Koln be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-09 17:03
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 00:48
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:25
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 21:38
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:11
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game3	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-04 12:34
epl new bou 2026 04 18 btts	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-18 16:03
will canada win the 2026 world baseball classic	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-14 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 20:50
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05