Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
27.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
68
lifetime
Volume
$516
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$85
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-02 02:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
86% 0% $-3
Politics
14% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? No -17 $-15 92¢ $-16 $-0 06-30 15:26
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -50 $-14 28¢ $-14 +$0 06-20 13:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -15 $-13 87¢ $-13 $-0 06-22 18:07
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -16 $-11 72¢ $-12 $-1 06-08 06:34
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes -11 $-9 85¢ $-9 $-0 06-23 18:50
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? No +8 $7 82¢ $7 $-0 06-29 00:41
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No +8 $7 78¢ $6 $-1 06-22 18:02
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 +$0 06-08 10:05
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-1 15¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 07:57
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -5 $-3 27¢ $-1 +$1 06-02 04:00
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes +10 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 06-22 19:01
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +7 $1 $1 $-1 06-22 19:12