Multicolored-Neuron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

26.9%

Resolved

Trades

655

lifetime

Volume

$4.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-30 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 50% +$8

Politics

9% 0% $-5

Other

4% 100% +$6

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-129	$-8	4¢	$-5	+$3	06-22 01:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-53	$-3	3¢	$-1	+$2	06-05 11:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	15	$327	467	247	+220	open	—	04-30 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	9	$230	413	344	+69	open	—	05-14 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	9	$196	170	138	+32	open	—	05-14 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	7	$190	259	185	+74	open	—	05-14 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	5	$183	243	170	+73	open	—	05-02 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$156	207	128	+78	open	—	04-30 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	9	$133	303	66	+237	open	—	05-02 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$121	624	0	+624	open	—	05-14 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$105	114	74	+40	open	—	05-02 23:23
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 7pm et	15	$99	121	120	+1	open	—	03-16 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$88	158	49	+109	open	—	04-30 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$86	208	56	+153	open	—	05-14 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$84	92	74	+18	open	—	05-02 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$75	292	0	+292	open	—	05-14 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	12	$75	440	385	+55	open	—	05-15 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$72	175	63	+112	open	—	04-30 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$70	111	37	+74	open	—	05-15 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$63	62	58	+4	open	—	04-26 22:30
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$62	56	56	+0	open	—	01-15 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$60	192	0	+192	open	—	04-30 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	13	$59	79	43	+35	open	—	05-15 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	8	$56	130	30	+100	open	—	04-30 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$50	111	0	+111	open	—	05-02 23:25
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$48	160	0	+160	open	—	01-15 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$45	56	32	+25	open	—	04-30 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	9	$44	82	26	+55	open	—	05-15 13:38
sol updown 5m 1773840300	5	$41	32	32	+1	open	—	03-18 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$40	74	0	+74	open	—	05-02 23:35
will israel strike gaza on january 7 2026	2	$39	48	24	+24	open	—	01-07 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$39	167	167	+0	open	—	05-02 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:44:44	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6e8bd1…
06-30 22:44:43	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x256d34…
06-30 22:44:41	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xae1021…
06-30 22:44:37	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd28120…
06-30 22:44:34	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x6a1532…
06-30 22:44:22	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x113078…
06-30 22:44:08	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2a93b3…
06-30 22:44:05	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf6a479…
06-30 22:43:59	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa6b9a7…
06-30 22:43:26	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Down	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0xbb094d…
06-30 22:42:43	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5f64b3…
06-30 22:41:41	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x32b8f0…
06-30 22:41:11	btc updown 5m 1782859200	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x019287…
06-30 22:40:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa35de1…
06-30 22:37:04	btc updown 5m 1782858900	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x35060f…
06-30 22:37:02	btc updown 5m 1782858900	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x930270…
06-30 22:33:59	btc updown 5m 1782858900	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3056ab…
06-30 22:33:59	btc updown 5m 1782858900	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2f395b…
06-30 22:33:29	btc updown 5m 1782858600	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9c9135…
06-30 22:32:38	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6801dc…
06-30 22:30:23	atp baris ficovic 2026 06 30	Juan Pablo Ficovich	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7c47b8…
06-29 00:53:23	btc updown 5m 1782694200	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xad7080…
06-29 00:52:56	btc updown 5m 1782694200	Down	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x53d856…
06-29 00:52:08	btc updown 5m 1782694200	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x234c4c…
06-29 00:49:55	btc updown 5m 1782694200	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdf1c52…
06-29 00:48:14	btc updown 5m 1782693900	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x54b99d…
06-29 00:47:43	btc updown 5m 1782693900	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x3e65b7…
06-29 00:45:49	btc updown 5m 1782693900	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xda190a…
06-29 00:43:40	btc updown 5m 1782693900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x022555…
06-29 00:41:20	btc updown 5m 1782693600	Down	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x7010b0…
06-29 00:41:07	btc updown 5m 1782693600	Up	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0xc7889d…
06-29 00:40:25	btc updown 5m 1782693600	Down	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xa641dd…
06-29 00:40:13	btc updown 5m 1782693600	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0ec5d0…
06-29 00:37:56	btc updown 5m 1782693300	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9d8b53…
06-29 00:37:23	btc updown 5m 1782693300	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x652cb6…
06-29 00:37:05	btc updown 5m 1782693300	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x84edd4…
06-29 00:36:43	btc updown 5m 1782693300	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6109a5…
06-29 00:36:31	btc updown 5m 1782693300	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x559879…
06-29 00:34:44	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Up	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x1dde08…
06-29 00:33:50	btc updown 5m 1782693000	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc2b18a…
06-29 00:22:17	btc updown 5m 1782692400	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9a52d3…
06-29 00:20:46	btc updown 5m 1782692400	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5623ff…
06-29 00:19:59	btc updown 5m 1782692400	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd0f3b1…
06-29 00:18:29	btc updown 5m 1782692100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xad42f3…
06-29 00:16:07	israel closes its airspace by july 15	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb6f28a…
06-29 00:15:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa28ebf…
06-29 00:12:55	btc updown 5m 1782691800	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x5d78cd…
06-25 17:05:04	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaae7be…
06-22 01:58:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	6¢	$8	0xe326a4…
06-07 21:11:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x485ea5…
06-05 11:46:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0x22b0a0…
05-15 20:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x104217…
05-15 20:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd8ffc5…
05-15 20:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc60912…
05-15 20:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa32623…
05-15 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xede415…
05-15 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xc0c2ed…
05-15 20:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9ba307…
05-15 20:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x0e227e…
05-15 20:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	350	2¢	$7	0xda9365…
05-15 20:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x961b38…
05-15 20:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x600b0b…
05-15 20:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x98e857…
05-15 20:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7348c4…
05-15 20:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbb64e3…
05-15 20:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1d7ef8…
05-15 20:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe6e93c…
05-15 20:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa30958…
05-15 20:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x40cc80…
05-15 20:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2a47db…
05-15 20:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x15fc8f…
05-15 20:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0fd09e…
05-15 20:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x68e27f…
05-15 20:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb3dd1e…
05-15 20:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf9e509…
05-15 20:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x78e7ed…
05-15 20:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	43	63¢	$27	0xe0b06f…
05-15 20:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9ad031…
05-15 20:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0ed249…
05-15 20:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa4ef5f…
05-15 20:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5624b9…
05-15 20:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x45d632…
05-15 20:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x074210…
05-15 20:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x3dc1e7…
05-15 20:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x6d6296…
05-15 20:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	53	29¢	$16	0x05a576…
05-15 20:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8c1993…
05-15 20:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa1e854…
05-15 20:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa96b8f…
05-15 20:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x20c7bf…
05-15 20:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa87803…
05-15 20:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x63ee4d…
05-15 20:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9e5fc0…
05-15 20:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x98ab6e…
05-15 20:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9cdf7a…
05-15 20:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd55688…
05-15 20:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6ba554…
05-15 20:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1fc36f…
05-15 20:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0247c0…
05-15 20:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe42ef6…