Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
26.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
673
lifetime
Volume
$4.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$14
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-15 00:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Crypto
87% 50% +$8
Politics
9% 0% $-5
Other
4% 100% +$6
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -129 $-8 $-5 +$3 06-22 01:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -15 $-2 30¢ $-4 $-2 07-09 01:16
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes -7 $-1 36¢ $-2 $-1 07-09 01:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -53 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-05 11:46