(anonymous) 0x4fded1…978af2 Create alert
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
94.7%
Resolved
58
Trades
298
lifetime
Volume
$8.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$5.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-10 05:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
55% 94% -$81
Other
30% 94% +$59
Sports
15% 100% +$18
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,062 $1,059 100¢ $1.1K +$1 11-09 16:17
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? No +518 $514 99¢ $512 -$2 11-09 18:13
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +509 $468 90¢ $460 -$8 11-09 16:09
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +395 $388 98¢ $388 $0 11-09 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +252 $252 100¢ $252 $0 11-08 17:09
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +226 $224 99¢ $224 $0 11-07 23:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +190 $189 100¢ $189 +$0 11-09 18:08
Will The MongolZ Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +188 $187 98¢ $184 -$2 11-07 04:56
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +181 $181 100¢ $181 +$0 11-06 20:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +740 $155 20¢ $152 -$4 11-06 13:30
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +131 $130 100¢ $130 $0 11-08 23:49
Will San Jose Earthquakes be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +132 $128 96¢ $127 -$2 11-09 00:08
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +123 $122 99¢ $122 $0 11-08 03:36
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +197 $107 55¢ $108 +$1 11-09 15:43
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +101 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-09 15:50
Will Dune: Messiah be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +90 $90 100¢ $90 $0 11-09 04:50
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +85 $84 99¢ $84 $0 11-10 03:08
Will Omonia win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +83 $83 99¢ $82 $0 11-04 00:40
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +90 $80 87¢ $78 -$2 11-03 09:14
Will Charlotte FC be runner-up in the 2026 MLS? No +66 $64 97¢ $64 +$0 11-09 00:10
Will Benny Gantz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +55 $54 100¢ $55 +$1 11-07 03:45
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in November 2026? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $0 11-05 16:40
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 0 Athletic Club? No — +63 $59 87¢ $55 -$4 11-05 11:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +63 $54 82¢ $52 -$2 11-09 09:00
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3 - 3 Athletic Club? No +67 $0 55¢ $37 +$37 11-04 16:23
Will the Los Angeles Kings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +37 $36 98¢ $36 $0 11-04 00:38
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +36 $36 98¢ $36 +$0 11-05 10:26
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +35 $35 100¢ $35 +$0 11-07 07:01
Will Chelsea Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 +$0 11-06 01:13
Will MIBR Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +33 $33 100¢ $33 $0 11-06 12:22