Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$2.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$34

1 position

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-19 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

52% 67% $-4

Other

36% 40% $-18

Crypto

11% 80% +$2

Sports

1% 80% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No		+34	$29	99¢	$34	+$4	06-09 20:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	6	$108	121	99	+22	open	—	05-20 23:41
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$78	66	66	+0	open	—	05-02 14:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$60	141	136	+5	open	—	05-08 02:16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$58	43	22	+21	open	—	05-21 09:43
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	2	$57	35	35	+0	open	—	06-14 10:50
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	2	$56	34	34	+0	open	—	06-13 05:50
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	2	$55	34	34	+0	open	—	06-13 05:20
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$54	44	21	+23	open	—	06-16 07:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	3	$54	46	23	+23	open	—	05-28 01:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$53	196	196	+0	open	—	05-01 16:11
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	4	$50	44	44	+0	open	—	05-14 19:20
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$47	75	75	+0	open	—	05-02 14:09
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	3	$42	39	34	+5	open	—	06-16 23:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$41	57	57	+0	open	—	05-26 00:50
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	2	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	05-19 23:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$38	22	22	+0	open	—	06-13 05:20
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	2	$37	23	23	+0	open	—	06-16 15:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$36	23	23	+0	open	—	06-15 15:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$34	21	21	+0	open	—	05-23 20:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$32	23	23	+0	open	—	06-16 15:20
israel closes its airspace by july 31	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	06-18 10:10
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	1	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	06-18 16:41
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	06-10 12:12
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	1	$29	35	0	+35	open	—	06-13 02:13
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	1	$29	34	0	+34	open	—	06-09 20:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$29	26	20	+6	open	—	05-07 11:50
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$29	26	5	+21	open	—	05-20 20:57
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$28	166	166	+0	open	—	05-03 04:59
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	06-08 02:50
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$28	19	19	+0	Yes	+$2	05-02 16:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 20:20:05	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	28¢	$6	0x228be3…
06-18 16:41:58	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x8e81be…
06-18 10:10:37	israel closes its airspace by july 31	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x91cc9b…
06-17 16:11:04	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xe9ce09…
06-16 23:11:32	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x25798b…
06-16 15:20:08	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x01419b…
06-16 15:20:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0xb7797e…
06-16 14:20:05	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	34	28¢	$10	0x184acf…
06-16 07:12:39	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x29007d…
06-15 15:20:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x25addb…
06-15 15:20:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0xf040a1…
06-15 15:20:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x014580…
06-15 15:14:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x5e2a93…
06-14 10:50:06	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	35	78¢	$27	0x47304d…
06-13 05:50:06	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	34	78¢	$27	0xa53309…
06-13 05:20:09	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	34	74¢	$25	0x8f40ee…
06-13 05:20:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x4ed0bd…
06-13 02:13:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	35	84¢	$29	0xe4f42e…
06-12 23:14:51	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x1abc63…
06-12 17:42:51	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xb7a0f7…
06-10 12:12:06	Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xfb28dd…
06-09 20:42:07	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0xe4cf72…
06-09 14:12:37	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x28d18d…
06-08 02:50:07	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0xc53cb9…
06-08 02:50:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	23	51¢	$12	0x0834dd…
06-08 00:11:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x778b77…
06-05 06:10:06	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x541a72…
06-04 11:40:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x27c4f5…
06-03 22:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xff3f6d…
06-02 10:41:29	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x8fb3f8…
06-01 12:12:39	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x4db92e…
06-01 12:12:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x6f0070…
06-01 07:14:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x5590e4…
06-01 06:11:08	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xde8a5b…
06-01 06:10:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x00a835…
06-01 06:10:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xf4df82…
06-01 06:10:47	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$8	0xba5521…
06-01 06:10:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x50491a…
06-01 04:50:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd598e9…
05-30 05:11:51	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xa1f10d…
05-30 02:12:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x7dc6cf…
05-28 05:20:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0xd492fe…
05-28 01:11:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x9083d1…
05-27 19:42:49	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x25b1ee…
05-27 01:46:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xa0cebe…
05-26 22:15:03	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x3b0255…
05-26 22:12:29	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3f7c12…
05-26 22:12:29	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x0fc2fc…
05-26 06:19:51	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xc634a6…
05-26 06:16:39	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x37c244…
05-26 06:13:07	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x791143…
05-26 00:50:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x97d2ae…
05-26 00:50:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x78b1ff…
05-26 00:50:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x71a466…
05-26 00:50:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	15¢	$5	0x0e50a6…
05-25 06:50:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0xb6d1d6…
05-25 00:12:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xccfae4…
05-24 07:41:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6e980c…
05-24 06:55:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8b3fff…
05-23 21:42:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xbae770…
05-23 21:23:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x1fabcd…
05-23 21:04:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x1b54f1…
05-23 20:20:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x9cdbd8…
05-23 20:20:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	21	68¢	$14	0x128d63…
05-23 20:14:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x13770c…
05-23 19:20:11	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xc8ca85…
05-23 19:20:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xcb8d16…
05-23 19:20:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0x737fa1…
05-23 19:11:10	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x881b1d…
05-23 06:42:12	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6f061c…
05-23 06:42:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x70b22f…
05-21 15:11:27	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xc30980…
05-21 09:43:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xc6343a…
05-20 23:41:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x525c40…
05-20 20:57:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x919c96…
05-20 20:42:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x16bbf6…
05-20 05:50:12	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x693d97…
05-20 03:50:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x4972be…
05-19 23:42:30	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x23f634…
05-19 23:42:07	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xeca9ef…
05-19 11:43:27	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xb80512…
05-18 21:50:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x648fb2…
05-18 11:12:12	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x9f4ff9…
05-18 05:41:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0xf4e16b…
05-18 02:13:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x8aec56…
05-17 21:20:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdcb8de…
05-17 21:20:12	Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6d3a16…
05-17 05:20:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x76153f…
05-17 00:20:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x67fe07…
05-16 04:43:59	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x66b7a2…
05-15 12:50:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8e2ab8…
05-15 12:50:06	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4eabc4…
05-15 11:50:13	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xb5aab4…
05-15 07:42:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x40ba5f…
05-14 19:20:18	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x81f85b…
05-14 19:20:14	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3edbd7…
05-14 14:40:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x62505c…
05-14 10:41:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x586109…
05-14 05:20:25	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe21446…
05-14 05:20:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x950748…