Outrageous-Litigation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

791

Trades

11,077

lifetime

Volume

$213.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-11 19:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

97% 31% +$15,545

Politics

3% 25% -$221

Crypto

0% 38% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-20	-$16	83¢	$-17	-$1	10-11 19:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-20	-$4	17¢	$-3	+$1	07-08 14:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?	40	$9.5K	5,711	5,711	+0	No	+$1,847	05-10 09:25
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 7c	130	$8.4K	7,788	7,648	+140	Yes	+$2,430	03-09 08:07
highest temperature in ankara on march 2 2026 8c	2	$7.2K	3,600	3,600	+0	No	+$1	03-02 10:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 8?	57	$7.1K	16,663	2,016	+14,647	No	+$3,716	05-11 00:08
highest temperature in ankara on march 2 2026 10c	6	$7.0K	4,288	2,788	+1,500	No	+$96	03-02 12:20
Will Fervo Energy not IPO before July 2026?	7	$6.7K	5,850	5,850	+0	No	-$4,674	05-11 00:20
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	2	$5.1K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	-$151	10-11 18:24
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	108	$5.0K	4,594	5,127	-533	Yes	+$1,538	03-19 06:54
highest temperature in seoul on february 22 2026 11c	31	$4.9K	294	4,949	-4,655	Yes	-$265	02-22 17:30
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of May 11 2026?	14	$4.3K	4,112	4,386	-274	No	-$2,427	05-10 09:31
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	121	$4.2K	7,854	7,318	+537	Yes	+$2,181	03-24 09:06
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 8c	58	$3.7K	3,623	3,623	+0	No	+$1,373	03-09 08:07
highest temperature in ankara on february 26 2026 4c	7	$3.5K	1,814	1,814	-0	No	+$89	02-26 09:34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 8?	17	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$480	05-10 09:59
highest temperature in seoul on february 27 2026 13corhigher	51	$3.3K	1,952	1,952	+0	Yes	+$133	02-27 06:04
highest temperature in ankara on march 1 2026 8c	6	$3.0K	1,675	1,675	-0	No	+$327	03-01 14:23
highest temperature in lagos on april 20 2026 28corbelow	41	$2.5K	2,277	2,228	+49	Yes	+$1,662	04-21 11:13
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	3	$2.4K	13,951	13,951	+0	Yes	-$140	10-11 19:07
highest temperature in ankara on february 23 2026 6c	28	$2.2K	3,124	69	+3,055	No	-$2	02-23 12:53
highest temperature in ankara on march 10 2026 10c	12	$2.0K	1,982	1,982	+0	No	+$1,907	03-10 14:26
highest temperature in ankara on february 25 2026 4c	3	$2.0K	2,497	0	+2,497	No	-$2	02-25 01:24
highest temperature in ankara on february 28 2026 0corbelow	1	$2.0K	1,958	0	+1,958	No	+$2	02-27 21:21
highest temperature in ankara on february 26 2026 2c	3	$1.9K	1,881	0	+1,881	No	+$3	02-26 08:24
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 28c	35	$1.9K	4,987	3,602	+1,384	Yes	+$1,229	03-25 12:17
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 42 43f	63	$1.8K	2,033	2,068	-35	Yes	+$729	03-01 21:39
highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 11c	15	$1.7K	1,658	1,658	-0	No	+$855	03-22 14:59
highest temperature in seoul on february 20 2026 11corhigher	34	$1.7K	1,370	1,370	+0	Yes	+$560	02-20 04:30
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 7?	4	$1.6K	1,053	1,053	+0	No	+$475	06-07 15:01
highest temperature in ankara on february 26 2026 5c	30	$1.6K	1,347	941	+406	Yes	+$237	02-26 12:23
highest temperature in seoul on february 21 2026 14corhigher	6	$1.6K	783	783	+0	Yes	+$3	02-21 03:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 19:08:36	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x81dda3…
10-11 19:08:24	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0xb60e9d…
10-11 19:07:58	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	SELL	13,951	8¢	$1,116	0x39419b…
10-11 18:45:42	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xc0b863…
10-11 18:45:40	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	13,901	9¢	$1,251	0xd81865…
10-11 18:42:28	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	No	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x5d445b…
10-11 18:24:54	Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	8,000	31¢	$2,489	0x5b8f1f…
10-11 18:24:39	Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	8,000	33¢	$2,640	0x3da6db…
08-03 14:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 3?	No	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x00fd82…
08-03 14:59:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$1	0x97ed01…
08-03 14:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	320	1¢	$5	0xeb5e92…
07-14 02:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14?	No	SELL	53	51¢	$27	0xf01d04…
07-14 02:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x8c0924…
07-14 02:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?	No	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x31cb8b…
07-14 02:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?	No	SELL	23	65¢	$15	0x2032e0…
07-14 02:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	118	42¢	$50	0x29be4f…
07-14 02:57:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	48	29¢	$14	0xc76f99…
07-14 02:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xa1f75f…
07-14 02:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0x818b40…
07-14 02:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	No	SELL	175	36¢	$64	0x823ddf…
07-14 02:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 14?	No	SELL	217	44¢	$96	0xae857d…
07-14 02:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	SELL	117	51¢	$60	0xa98edc…
07-14 02:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc9c7e6…
07-14 02:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x538d0a…
07-14 02:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?	No	SELL	129	61¢	$79	0x4667e1…
07-14 02:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 15?	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0xcd1294…
07-14 02:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	SELL	237	48¢	$114	0xf36839…
07-14 02:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	354	38¢	$134	0xb8689e…
07-14 02:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x47f56a…
07-14 02:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x27aecc…
07-14 02:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd97891…
07-14 02:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x36c1d8…
07-14 02:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7d1091…
07-14 02:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x252573…
07-14 02:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc4d887…
07-14 02:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x2ca7b8…
07-14 02:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf8fc3d…
07-14 02:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1510ee…
07-14 02:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x63c334…
07-14 02:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc02683…
07-14 02:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4eaf66…
07-14 02:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x260dda…
07-14 02:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x63281f…
07-14 02:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6da26e…
07-14 02:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x80a090…
07-14 02:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14?	No	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7f2d1b…
07-14 02:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x339eb6…
07-14 02:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xae3a28…
07-14 02:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xebc941…
07-14 02:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xfecb71…
07-14 02:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?	No	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x84762b…
07-14 02:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8f935d…
07-14 02:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x9899cf…
07-14 02:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1fc273…
07-14 02:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb1cf86…
07-14 02:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9a8691…
07-14 02:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x488631…
07-14 02:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x20800f…
07-14 02:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x1b4763…
07-14 02:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x524339…
07-14 02:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd4600c…
07-14 02:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0xcb9a0f…
07-14 02:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf96773…
07-14 02:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x20b89d…
07-14 02:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x4c24db…
07-14 02:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	196	38¢	$74	0xaa7649…
07-14 02:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x5277ae…
07-14 02:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xece1fa…
07-14 02:10:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x97f8d2…
07-14 02:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa920c5…
07-14 02:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xd25be1…
07-14 02:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x977e8b…
07-14 02:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf71174…
07-14 02:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfd7123…
07-14 02:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xdab1a1…
07-14 02:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4b789b…
07-14 02:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xecc354…
07-14 02:07:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf9406…
07-14 02:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xf10813…
07-14 02:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x944308…
07-14 02:00:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x72ef2b…
07-14 01:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc39033…
07-14 01:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xac4c56…
07-14 01:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x915318…
07-14 01:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3fa6af…
07-14 01:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x18113b…
07-14 01:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa989db…
07-14 01:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x74c996…
07-14 01:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x764ef2…
07-14 01:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0x6b9f4e…
07-14 01:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0xcf86ec…
07-14 01:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xa3460a…
07-14 01:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfdbd9d…
07-14 01:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7e5433…
07-14 01:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x6afa21…
07-14 01:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	93	48¢	$45	0x78d29c…
07-14 01:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x2c7454…
07-14 01:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x8018d5…
07-14 01:48:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x452a87…
07-14 01:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	No	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x9cd797…