Any-Government 0x5040b5…a296cf
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$581
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
19.5%
Resolved (30d)
88
Trades (30d)
590
6,490 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$7.20K
$98.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$570
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 03:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 258 days
Categories
Politics
52% 36% +$1,282
Other
42% 39% +$1,291
Crypto
3% 33% +$153
Sports
1% 41% +$284
Tech
1% 38% +$130
Pop-Culture
0% 14% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $83 94¢ $94 +$10 07-12 17:04
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +100 $83 92¢ $92 +$10 07-15 01:46
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +200 $38 26¢ $53 +$14 10-23 19:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +250 $50 15¢ $36 -$13 10-21 19:57
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? No +268 $44 12¢ $33 -$10 10-20 16:39
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +200 $18 16¢ $33 +$15 09-21 15:34
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $28 62¢ $31 +$3 10-29 15:39
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +40 $32 74¢ $30 -$2 10-28 17:15
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +150 $18 14¢ $20 +$2 10-23 04:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $20 10¢ $19 $0 10-28 10:46
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes — +200 $10 10¢ $19 +$9 10-28 21:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +60 $28 27¢ $16 -$11 10-26 13:18
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +200 $18 7¢ $14 -$3 10-15 16:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +250 $26 6¢ $14 -$13 10-09 15:48
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $12 14¢ $14 +$2 10-28 16:01
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $13 2¢ $12 -$1 10-20 01:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +300 $8 3¢ $9 +$1 10-28 18:25
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? Yes +100 $7 7¢ $7 +$0 09-29 14:06
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +100 $24 6¢ $6 -$18 10-26 21:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +300 $5 2¢ $5 +$0 10-29 05:05
us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 31 20260920 No +250 $34 2¢ $4 -$29 10-21 20:32
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 Yes +200 $35 2¢ $4 -$31 10-26 05:24
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,182 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-25 23:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? Yes +100 $2 2¢ $2 +$0 10-30 04:05
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +50 -$17 1¢ $0 +$17 10-27 03:39
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $24 0¢ $0 -$24 09-24 21:44
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? No +100 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-28 21:44