Any-Government 0x5040b5…a296cf
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$168
Unrealized P&L
-$95
Hit rate
39.2%
Resolved (7d)
17
Trades (7d)
175
6,496 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.73K
$98.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$586
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 11:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 258 days
Categories
Politics
52% 36% +$1,282
Other
42% 39% +$1,291
Crypto
3% 33% +$153
Sports
1% 41% +$284
Tech
1% 38% +$130
Pop-Culture
0% 14% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $83 94¢ $94 +$10 07-12 17:04
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +100 $83 94¢ $94 +$10 07-15 01:46
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +200 $38 26¢ $51 +$12 10-23 19:37
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? No +298 $48 12¢ $34 -$13 10-30 04:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +250 $50 14¢ $34 -$16 10-21 19:57
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +40 $32 76¢ $31 -$1 10-28 17:15
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +200 $18 15¢ $30 +$12 09-21 15:34
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $28 56¢ $28 $0 10-29 15:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $20 12¢ $25 +$6 10-28 10:46
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +150 $18 14¢ $20 +$2 10-23 04:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +100 $20 18¢ $18 -$2 10-30 11:13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +60 $28 26¢ $15 -$12 10-26 13:18
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $12 15¢ $15 +$3 10-28 16:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +250 $26 6¢ $14 -$13 10-09 15:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes +200 $10 6¢ $13 +$3 10-28 21:44
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 Yes +409 $40 3¢ $12 -$27 10-30 04:48
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $13 2¢ $12 -$1 10-20 01:56
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +200 $18 5¢ $10 -$8 10-15 16:54
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? Yes +100 $7 7¢ $7 +$0 09-29 14:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +300 $8 2¢ $7 -$1 10-28 18:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? Yes +200 $4 3¢ $6 +$2 10-30 12:56
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +100 $24 6¢ $6 -$19 10-26 21:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +300 $5 1¢ $4 -$1 10-29 05:05
us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 31 20260920 No +250 $34 1¢ $3 -$31 10-21 20:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? Yes +300 $4 1¢ $3 -$2 10-30 05:43
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,182 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-25 23:01
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +50 -$17 0¢ $0 +$17 10-27 03:39
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $24 0¢ $0 -$24 09-24 21:44
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? No +100 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-28 21:44