Any-Government 0x5040b5…a296cf
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$559
Unrealized P&L
-$108
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved (90d)
258
Trades (90d)
1,684
6,494 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$19.4K
$98.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$610
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 259 days
Categories
Politics
52% 36% +$1,275
Other
42% 38% +$1,249
Crypto
3% 33% +$153
Sports
1% 41% +$284
Tech
1% 38% +$130
Pop-Culture
0% 14% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +100 $83 94¢ $94 +$12 07-15 01:46
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $83 94¢ $94 +$12 07-12 17:04
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +200 $38 28¢ $55 +$17 10-23 19:37
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? No +298 $48 11¢ $33 -$15 10-30 04:54
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +200 $18 15¢ $30 +$12 09-21 15:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +250 $50 12¢ $29 -$21 10-21 19:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +30 $28 92¢ $27 $0 10-30 22:41
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $28 55¢ $27 -$1 10-29 15:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes +200 $10 12¢ $24 +$14 10-28 21:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +60 $28 32¢ $20 -$8 10-26 13:18
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +150 $18 12¢ $18 +$0 10-23 04:48
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +200 $18 9¢ $18 +$0 10-15 16:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +100 $20 16¢ $16 -$4 10-30 11:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +250 $26 6¢ $16 -$10 10-09 15:48
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $18 15¢ $16 -$3 10-30 13:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $20 8¢ $15 -$4 10-28 10:46
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +50 $14 29¢ $14 $0 10-30 23:56
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $13 3¢ $13 $0 10-20 01:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 Yes +409 $40 3¢ $12 -$27 10-30 04:48
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $12 12¢ $12 $0 10-28 16:01
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? Yes +100 $7 7¢ $7 $0 09-29 14:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +300 $8 2¢ $5 -$2 10-28 18:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +300 $5 2¢ $5 +$0 10-29 05:05
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +100 $24 4¢ $4 -$20 10-26 21:13
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,182 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-25 23:01
us x yemen ceasefire continues through october 31 20260920 No +250 $34 1¢ $2 -$32 10-21 20:32
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $24 0¢ $0 -$24 09-24 21:44
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? No +100 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-28 21:44