Realized P&L (24h)
-$74
Unrealized P&L
+$54
Hit rate
11.8%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
21
6,693 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$221
$100.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$304
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 17:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 265 days
Categories
Politics
52% 35% +$1,280
Other
42% 37% +$1,058
Crypto
3% 33% +$153
Sports
1% 41% +$284
Tech
1% 37% +$113
Pop-Culture
0% 14% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +120 $29 98¢ $118 +$89 11-01 00:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +60 $40 78¢ $46 +$7 11-05 04:56
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +127 $27 32¢ $41 +$14 10-22 03:26
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +150 $34 23¢ $34 +$1 10-29 21:21
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? Yes +100 $28 17¢ $17 -$12 10-29 20:31
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? Yes -50 -$31 30¢ $-15 +$16 10-28 03:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +120 $25 10¢ $11 -$14 11-05 14:00
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes +250 $15 4¢ $9 -$6 10-13 16:49
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +49 $31 16¢ $8 -$23 11-07 17:59
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +120 $20 2¢ $2 -$19 11-04 02:30
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? Yes +3 $1 64¢ $2 +$0 11-07 15:37