Realized P&L
-$19.5K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
17.2%
Resolved
31
Trades
212
lifetime
Volume
$29.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 05-21 17:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
72%
22%
-$19,800
Politics
21%
58%
+$526
Sports
5%
38%
-$207
Crypto
2%
0%
-$49
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 5 | $19.7K | 193,405 | 0 | +193,405 | No | -$19,747 | 05-01 14:14 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 23 | $1.9K | 2,121 | 2,121 | +0 | Yes | +$62 | 05-21 17:28 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 10 | $955 | 1,275 | 2,929 | -1,654 | No | +$412 | 05-21 17:20 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 33 | $850 | 1,351 | 1,351 | +0 | No | -$68 | 05-21 17:28 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? | 3 | $722 | 400 | 400 | +0 | Yes | -$2 | 05-21 14:32 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 17 | $617 | 650 | 650 | +0 | Yes | -$41 | 05-21 14:32 |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17? | 5 | $480 | 407 | 407 | +0 | No | +$16 | 05-21 14:32 |
| Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? | 6 | $468 | 577 | 577 | +0 | Yes | -$29 | 05-21 14:32 |
| Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins | 15 | $443 | 1,245 | 0 | +1,245 | Minnesota Twins | -$6 | 05-20 19:56 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 4 | $324 | 600 | 600 | +0 | open | — | 05-21 14:32 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | 10 | $308 | 691 | 1,291 | -600 | No | +$39 | 05-21 17:28 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | 4 | $294 | 311 | 311 | +0 | No | +$14 | 05-21 17:28 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 7 | $266 | 400 | 400 | +0 | No | -$2 | 05-21 14:33 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? | 2 | $261 | 192 | 392 | -200 | No | +$80 | 05-21 14:32 |
| Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) | 3 | $255 | 404 | 0 | +404 | Texas Rangers | +$149 | 05-20 19:57 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | 10 | $239 | 479 | 0 | +479 | Arizona Diamondbacks | +$165 | 05-20 19:58 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies | 11 | $230 | 404 | 0 | +404 | Texas Rangers | -$230 | 05-20 19:57 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 4 | $198 | 555 | 555 | +0 | Yes | -$20 | 05-21 14:33 |
| Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5 | 2 | $194 | 808 | 0 | +808 | Under | -$194 | 05-20 19:56 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May? | 6 | $193 | 220 | 220 | +0 | No | -$22 | 05-21 14:33 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? | 2 | $121 | 136 | 136 | +0 | No | +$10 | 05-21 14:33 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $120 | 200 | 200 | +0 | Yes | +$4 | 05-21 14:32 |
| Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) | 7 | $98 | 273 | 0 | +273 | Arizona Diamondbacks | -$98 | 05-20 19:57 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May? | 3 | $87 | 100 | 100 | +0 | No | -$3 | 05-21 17:28 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 4 | $81 | 222 | 222 | +0 | No | -$8 | 05-21 14:32 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? | 3 | $56 | 50 | 50 | +0 | Yes | +$9 | 05-21 14:35 |
| Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5) | 1 | $43 | 50 | 0 | +50 | Cincinnati Reds | +$7 | 05-20 19:55 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | 3 | $40 | 26 | 26 | +0 | No | $0 | 05-21 14:33 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 20? | 1 | $12 | 200 | 0 | +200 | Yes | -$12 | 05-20 19:57 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21? | 2 | $12 | 200 | 200 | +0 | Yes | -$4 | 05-21 14:32 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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