Yellow-Reamer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$786

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.8%

Resolved

107

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$103.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$331

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-30 13:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Other

74% 95% +$1,009

Politics

10% 33% +$702

Crypto

7% 100% +$166

Sports

6% 0% -$232

Tech

4% 0% -$859

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	23	$5.2K	3,502	3,502	+0	open	—	06-09 10:02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$4.7K	2,624	2,624	+0	No	-$3	05-06 03:12
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	29	$3.7K	3,712	3,712	+0	Yes	-$859	06-22 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	10	$3.1K	1,538	1,538	+0	No	-$7	08-11 07:08
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,454	1,454	+0	No	+$3	10-23 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$2.9K	1,442	1,442	+0	No	+$2	10-15 11:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$2.8K	3,773	0	+3,773	Yes	+$981	06-12 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,204	1,204	+0	No	+$1	10-30 13:49
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$2.4K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$94	05-26 08:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$2.4K	1,366	1,366	+0	No	+$123	05-25 16:35
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	10	$2.2K	1,563	1,563	+0	Yes	+$16	06-04 12:04
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8	$2.1K	1,433	641	+792	Yes	+$13	03-19 14:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$2.0K	3,240	3,240	+0	open	—	07-23 11:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.9K	2,111	2,111	+0	Yes	-$211	05-07 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$1.7K	866	866	+0	No	+$2	10-27 07:57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.7K	1,243	1,243	+0	No	-$68	06-03 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?	1	$1.6K	1,632	0	+1,632	No	+$5	08-20 06:06
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$7	03-23 23:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C or higher on August 10?	5	$1.5K	1,537	0	+1,537	No	+$4	08-10 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	1	$1.5K	1,530	0	+1,530	No	+$2	08-11 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8?	2	$1.5K	1,530	0	+1,530	No	+$2	08-08 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7?	2	$1.5K	1,528	0	+1,528	No	+$2	08-07 06:27
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 13?	8	$1.5K	1,525	0	+1,525	No	+$2	08-13 07:16
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$1.5K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	07-13 16:10
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$1.5K	1,525	0	+1,525	Yes	+$52	07-23 11:41
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,456	0	+1,456	No	+$4	10-23 07:28
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.5K	1,046	1,046	+0	No	-$229	07-16 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$1.4K	1,448	0	+1,448	No	+$1	10-19 07:16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$1.4K	1,448	0	+1,448	No	+$7	10-17 13:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,437	0	+1,437	No	+$4	10-14 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 13:49:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	1,026	100¢	$1,025	0x62bdb8…
10-30 13:48:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x67c7d8…
10-30 07:59:40	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	99¢	$239	0xae6a67…
10-30 07:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0xe88d0d…
10-29 07:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,204	100¢	$1,202	0xf52a60…
10-28 08:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0xbded7d…
10-28 08:19:01	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	269	89¢	$238	0x87cd94…
10-28 07:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	901	100¢	$899	0xb73f85…
10-28 07:09:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xebdd23…
10-28 07:05:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x7d953c…
10-27 08:08:11	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,164	100¢	$1,163	0x51ad0a…
10-27 08:01:02	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x42ff18…
10-27 07:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	594	100¢	$593	0x0cd954…
10-27 07:57:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	866	100¢	$866	0x49179f…
10-26 05:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	594	100¢	$593	0x23e5d8…
10-26 05:53:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	866	100¢	$864	0x0d99c6…
10-23 07:28:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,420	100¢	$1,416	0xf37fac…
10-23 07:27:30	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3b5aa1…
10-23 07:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	1,454	100¢	$1,453	0x77080d…
10-21 07:41:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,454	100¢	$1,450	0x829607…
10-19 07:16:09	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	1,448	100¢	$1,447	0x3bde42…
10-17 13:36:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	702	100¢	$699	0xaf5d23…
10-17 13:36:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	428	100¢	$426	0xc5745f…
10-17 13:35:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0x89f714…
10-17 13:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xec02c4…
10-16 05:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,210	100¢	$1,208	0xfbbc1d…
10-16 05:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$232	0x212c1f…
10-15 11:27:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	1,442	100¢	$1,439	0xd2492c…
10-15 07:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	480	100¢	$479	0x07d3b2…
10-15 07:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x81790f…
10-15 07:48:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x95310e…
10-15 07:48:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	941	100¢	$937	0x062a57…
10-14 07:30:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	337	100¢	$336	0xccebf9…
10-14 07:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,097	0x2fa92b…
10-12 08:08:59	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,433	100¢	$1,432	0x1eadff…
10-11 07:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xe74326…
10-11 07:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x98fe68…
10-11 06:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11?	No	BUY	1,241	100¢	$1,240	0xb97819…
09-24 03:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x4abb58…
09-24 03:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$163	0x0955ae…
09-24 03:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x0415c0…
09-24 03:34:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xde14be…
09-24 03:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x9a6fd7…
09-24 03:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f5303…
09-24 02:58:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 24?	No	BUY	422	100¢	$422	0xcc6b0c…
09-24 02:55:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 24?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0xa473db…
09-23 11:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x3f904c…
09-23 11:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 24?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0xeb1184…
09-21 03:43:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0xf73a9b…
09-21 03:42:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d1c5e…
09-21 03:38:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on September 22?	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,074	0x2cd140…
09-21 03:37:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on September 22?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7c0b9c…
09-17 06:39:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18?	No	BUY	483	100¢	$483	0xaf5a88…
09-17 06:38:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	946	100¢	$945	0xc91cc9…
09-14 03:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	510	100¢	$509	0xfb3d54…
09-14 03:13:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 15?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x536738…
09-14 03:12:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 15?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x5f29a0…
09-14 03:12:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1da0b2…
09-14 03:12:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on September 15?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x238bb8…
09-14 03:12:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on September 15?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x9c9795…
09-14 03:12:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0xa43dc3…
09-14 02:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x1511a0…
09-10 08:32:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 11?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$308	0xb81a87…
09-10 08:32:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6f2d56…
09-10 08:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 11?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0036b1…
09-10 08:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	315	100¢	$314	0x18c6ff…
09-10 08:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xcfafb9…
09-10 08:14:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfcf965…
09-10 08:14:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6a7b5e…
09-10 08:14:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x329f1b…
09-10 08:12:48	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd338d9…
09-07 09:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	454	100¢	$454	0xd428e0…
09-07 09:32:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 8?	No	BUY	838	100¢	$837	0x90af27…
09-07 09:31:55	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xacccc3…
09-05 23:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on September 6?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0xbc6d1a…
09-05 23:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on September 6?	No	BUY	505	100¢	$504	0xedcad5…
09-05 23:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on September 6?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xf9d70d…
09-04 15:57:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 5?	No	BUY	327	100¢	$327	0x62e6db…
09-04 15:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	353	100¢	$353	0xf434c0…
09-04 15:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe9745d…
09-04 15:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	626	100¢	$625	0x250b3f…
09-03 08:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x807407…
09-03 08:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc23b19…
09-03 08:47:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x162b38…
09-03 08:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	No	SELL	207	38¢	$78	0x01a57f…
09-03 08:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	No	SELL	42	77¢	$32	0x9c538d…
09-03 07:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	No	SELL	75	25¢	$18	0x33c40d…
09-03 07:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	No	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xd9de85…
09-03 07:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd6eb40…
09-03 07:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	No	SELL	22	28¢	$6	0x79f642…
09-03 07:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xa99fe1…
09-03 07:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	No	SELL	29	79¢	$23	0x10362e…
09-03 07:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	No	SELL	17	79¢	$13	0xe1293a…
09-03 07:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	No	SELL	21	79¢	$17	0xf28153…
09-02 16:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	406	100¢	$406	0xb8118d…
09-02 16:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xfa24e0…
09-02 16:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	329	100¢	$328	0xdd6798…
09-02 16:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0xa9c2cc…
09-02 16:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	547	100¢	$546	0x09ac71…
08-31 15:08:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 1?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x44f496…