Yellow-Reamer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$822

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

133

Trades

407

lifetime

Volume

$125.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$309

Open exposure

$1.48K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 11-13 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

78% 94% +$1,045

Politics

8% 33% +$702

Crypto

6% 100% +$166

Sports

5% 0% -$232

Tech

3% 0% -$859

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes		+1,337	$1,336	100¢	$1.3K	-$1	11-13 16:43
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No		+143	$141	100¢	$143	+$1	11-11 08:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	23	$5.2K	3,502	3,502	+0	open	—	06-09 10:02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$4.7K	2,624	2,624	+0	No	-$3	05-06 03:12
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	29	$3.7K	3,712	3,712	+0	Yes	-$859	06-22 02:56
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?	10	$3.1K	1,538	1,538	+0	No	-$7	08-11 07:08
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,454	1,454	+0	No	+$3	10-23 07:26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	5	$2.9K	1,442	1,442	+0	No	+$2	10-15 11:27
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	9	$2.8K	1,409	1,409	+0	open	—	11-10 18:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$2.8K	3,773	0	+3,773	Yes	+$981	06-12 07:07
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,268	1,268	+0	open	—	11-11 18:26
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,204	1,204	+0	No	+$1	10-30 13:49
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$2.4K	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	+$94	05-26 08:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$2.4K	1,366	1,366	+0	No	+$123	05-25 16:35
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	10	$2.2K	1,563	1,563	+0	Yes	+$16	06-04 12:04
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8	$2.1K	1,433	641	+792	Yes	+$13	03-19 14:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$2.0K	3,240	3,240	+0	open	—	07-23 11:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.9K	2,111	2,111	+0	Yes	-$211	05-07 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$1.7K	866	866	+0	No	+$2	10-27 07:57
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$1.7K	1,243	1,243	+0	No	-$68	06-03 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?	1	$1.6K	1,632	0	+1,632	No	+$5	08-20 06:06
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$1.6K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$7	03-23 23:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 39°C or higher on August 10?	5	$1.5K	1,537	0	+1,537	No	+$4	08-10 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	1	$1.5K	1,530	0	+1,530	No	+$2	08-11 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 8?	2	$1.5K	1,530	0	+1,530	No	+$2	08-08 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 7?	2	$1.5K	1,528	0	+1,528	No	+$2	08-07 06:27
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 13?	8	$1.5K	1,525	0	+1,525	No	+$2	08-13 07:16
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$1.5K	1,210	1,210	+0	open	—	07-13 16:10
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	5	$1.5K	753	753	+0	No	+$2	11-08 21:54
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$1.5K	1,525	0	+1,525	Yes	+$52	07-23 11:41
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,456	0	+1,456	No	+$4	10-23 07:28
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.5K	1,046	1,046	+0	No	-$229	07-16 08:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 16:43:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,337	100¢	$1,336	0xa94e3c…
11-11 18:26:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	1,268	100¢	$1,267	0xc574f9…
11-11 08:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1,268	100¢	$1,265	0x6604e1…
11-11 08:14:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xd34983…
11-11 08:13:43	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x68380d…
11-10 18:03:09	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xe37769…
11-10 17:58:48	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9b6d5b…
11-10 17:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe5a773…
11-10 17:04:27	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	457	100¢	$457	0xaed365…
11-10 17:03:48	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa445f5…
11-10 17:03:01	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	487	100¢	$487	0xab7a01…
11-10 05:58:42	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	709	100¢	$708	0x8a5f85…
11-10 05:57:37	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$698	0x69fa3d…
11-10 05:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x907151…
11-10 05:45:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x719039…
11-10 05:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe191e9…
11-10 05:45:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x4f333b…
11-09 11:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	SELL	720	100¢	$719	0x61de67…
11-09 03:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	754	100¢	$752	0x795a40…
11-08 21:54:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	501	100¢	$500	0x46c3e1…
11-08 21:52:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbe40c7…
11-08 21:20:28	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xae825c…
11-08 21:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xec3238…
11-08 09:23:03	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	753	100¢	$751	0x2644a0…
11-08 09:17:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	720	100¢	$717	0xafd747…
11-06 06:32:57	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xb3b8dc…
11-06 06:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x280d72…
11-06 06:30:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xd3138c…
11-06 06:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa0a735…
11-06 06:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$281	0xb85464…
11-06 06:11:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	801	100¢	$798	0x51e5dc…
11-05 06:52:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	279	100¢	$278	0x0e56b2…
11-05 06:52:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$795	0x76b1db…
11-04 06:58:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0x17e08b…
11-04 06:51:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	386	100¢	$385	0xd0b85d…
11-04 06:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x41fef5…
11-04 06:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x69eb96…
11-04 06:48:04	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x843775…
11-03 14:46:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	152	100¢	$151	0x09655f…
11-03 14:34:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xcf1365…
11-03 14:00:46	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	136	99¢	$136	0x19213e…
11-03 13:44:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x06cf25…
11-03 13:21:57	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	521	100¢	$518	0x2dc1ff…
11-03 12:57:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x6cd711…
11-03 07:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	364	100¢	$363	0x366f3d…
11-03 07:06:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x8ddb4e…
11-03 06:49:54	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0x640b38…
11-03 06:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x641043…
11-03 06:48:45	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$165	0x1eda78…
11-03 06:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x7273ca…
11-03 06:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	153	95¢	$145	0x0195ef…
11-03 06:42:51	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0x0e2a08…
11-03 06:41:55	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x4c3c14…
11-03 06:41:45	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0xd0c29e…
11-03 06:39:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xf0721d…
11-02 21:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x462c07…
11-02 21:03:58	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xcb2de5…
11-02 21:02:00	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xe65ab9…
11-02 20:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xdea5f2…
11-02 20:59:36	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x6f8fa0…
11-02 20:23:55	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe6303c…
11-02 20:23:55	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$77	0x63970e…
11-02 20:12:31	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa46148…
11-02 07:52:15	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	352	100¢	$351	0xffbcd3…
11-02 03:30:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0xe6c3bc…
11-02 03:26:55	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x78424f…
11-02 03:26:04	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x45a729…
11-02 03:25:58	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x19e64b…
11-02 03:21:49	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5d5873…
11-02 03:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x31296e…
11-02 03:20:12	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a4be4…
11-02 03:18:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	399	100¢	$399	0xb4d740…
11-02 03:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xce6292…
11-02 03:16:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	328	99¢	$324	0xc12c90…
11-02 03:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xe78ad6…
11-01 05:08:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x0e11ff…
11-01 05:06:12	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	306	100¢	$306	0x602866…
11-01 05:05:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0x075b94…
11-01 05:04:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6f766e…
11-01 05:04:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2ab362…
10-31 13:48:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0x56bcef…
10-31 13:44:25	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0x3360a4…
10-31 08:36:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	399	100¢	$398	0x83b229…
10-31 08:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x6f0727…
10-31 08:34:37	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x8707de…
10-31 08:34:15	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc90049…
10-31 08:23:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x09788d…
10-31 08:23:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbecb00…
10-31 08:22:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x25b818…
10-31 08:22:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x2e6dca…
10-31 08:22:22	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xeac430…
10-31 08:22:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x1b8653…
10-30 13:49:25	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	1,026	100¢	$1,025	0x62bdb8…
10-30 13:48:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x67c7d8…
10-30 07:59:40	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	99¢	$239	0xae6a67…
10-30 07:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0xe88d0d…
10-29 07:10:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1,204	100¢	$1,202	0xf52a60…
10-28 08:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0xbded7d…
10-28 08:19:01	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	269	89¢	$238	0x87cd94…
10-28 07:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	901	100¢	$899	0xb73f85…