Raw-Inconvenience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$214

Open exposure

$2.05K

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-02 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 100% +$47

Other

22% — —

Crypto

0% 50% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+1,200	$1,080	90¢	$1.1K	$-6	07-02 13:39
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No		-1,923	$-1,000	50¢	$-971	+$29	05-31 20:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-29 22:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	07-02 13:39
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$1000	0	1,923	-1,923	open	—	05-31 20:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$630	400	400	+0	open	—	05-24 06:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$447	247	247	+0	No	+$47	05-09 04:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	3	$193	200	0	+200	open	—	05-18 19:01
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	1	$182	200	0	+200	open	—	06-02 17:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$180	200	0	+200	open	—	05-18 23:19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$109	110	10	+101	open	—	05-11 07:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	05-30 09:36
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	91	0	+91	open	—	05-09 19:30
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$7	200	0	+200	open	—	06-07 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Up	$-3	05-10 13:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 05:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 13:39:23	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	90¢	$1,080	0x59e488…
06-29 22:41:04	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,199	0xe4debc…
06-07 22:48:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x4578e0…
06-02 17:02:38	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xd250c7…
05-31 20:21:28	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0x2fa16e…
05-30 09:36:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xe02882…
05-30 09:34:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf14982…
05-24 06:35:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	162	87¢	$141	0xd5af36…
05-24 06:30:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0xee86d0…
05-20 19:48:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x49cfdd…
05-20 14:22:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0xfc4926…
05-19 10:51:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xee7c3c…
05-18 23:19:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x46f127…
05-18 19:01:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9aa853…
05-18 19:00:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4d1337…
05-18 19:00:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$91	0x21fa6b…
05-11 07:23:15	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x5a3f5a…
05-10 13:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x06eb20…
05-10 05:32:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb71964…
05-09 19:30:43	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x23b4aa…
05-09 04:41:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0x3b4d87…
05-04 21:03:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x091d97…
05-03 18:40:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xe34bd9…
05-02 19:54:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x1c155d…