Shameless-Hub — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$565

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

1,132

Trades

1,560

lifetime

Volume

$28.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$973

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 10-23 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Other

66% 86% -$229

Crypto

17% 88% -$139

Politics

16% 78% -$147

Tech

1% 100% +$4

Sports

1% 33% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	-556	-$359	93¢	$-515	-$156	05-03 17:45
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-324	-$273	97¢	$-314	-$42	05-03 17:45
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	No	-107	-$84	100¢	$-107	-$23	05-03 17:45
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	-369	-$59	7¢	$-28	+$32	05-03 17:45
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	-282	-$127	3¢	$-8	+$119	05-03 17:45
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	-15	-$2	3¢	$-0	+$2	05-03 17:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 26corbelow	26	$419	366	366	+0	Yes	+$119	04-17 16:08
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	7	$394	240	240	+0	Yes	-$72	05-16 22:18
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	1	$359	0	556	-556	open	—	05-03 17:45
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?	1	$273	0	324	-324	open	—	05-03 17:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 11?	8	$252	162	162	+0	No	-$63	07-11 15:47
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	5	$246	145	145	+0	No	-$35	06-22 20:15
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	1	$246	249	0	+249	No	+$2	05-04 12:00
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	6	$244	165	165	+0	No	-$78	06-16 07:14
Will Darren Millar be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	1	$242	243	0	+243	No	+$0	05-06 12:00
Will Eluned Morgan be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	1	$242	243	0	+243	No	+$0	05-06 12:00
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	1	$242	243	0	+243	No	+$0	05-06 12:00
Will the Liberal Democrats win control of the most London borough councils?	1	$224	225	0	+225	No	+$1	05-06 12:00
Will Dan Thomas be the next First Minister of Wales following the 2026 Welsh parliamentary elections?	3	$224	225	0	+225	No	+$1	05-06 18:15
Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?	2	$224	226	0	+226	No	+$2	05-07 23:30
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	3	$222	227	0	+227	No	+$5	05-04 20:44
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	3	$221	112	112	+0	No	+$2	07-04 01:30
Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	6	$212	120	120	+0	No	-$21	06-03 01:26
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	2	$171	175	0	+175	No	+$4	05-18 08:45
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	6	$142	86	86	+0	Yes	-$26	05-16 22:20
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	5	$141	83	83	+0	No	-$22	06-11 11:10
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	5	$140	80	80	+0	No	-$18	08-05 03:16
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$139	143	0	+143	No	+$4	05-15 22:39
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$136	140	0	+140	No	+$4	10-04 22:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 20c	16	$131	156	85	+71	No	-$49	04-18 05:45
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$130	134	0	+134	No	+$4	10-04 21:29
Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	2	$130	131	0	+131	No	+$1	05-06 22:55
Will Hugo Pierre win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	9	$128	128	0	+128	No	+$0	05-07 19:35
Will Sirajul Islam win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	1	$127	127	0	+127	No	+$0	05-06 15:15
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	1	$127	0	282	-282	open	—	05-03 17:45
Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$126	129	0	+129	No	+$3	05-15 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 08:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 23?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x46d94b…
10-23 07:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 23?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd238ad…
10-23 01:53:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 23?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf19b11…
10-21 07:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 21?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5d494e…
10-20 20:01:17	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x952583…
10-20 06:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xca1efc…
10-20 06:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?	No	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x808143…
10-20 06:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?	No	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x2f4ac1…
10-20 06:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x6854d6…
10-20 06:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x32e93e…
10-20 06:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 20?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9d21bc…
10-20 01:04:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 20?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x125332…
10-19 08:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe1734c…
10-19 08:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 19?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2d05ef…
10-19 03:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 19?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1aba0b…
10-16 11:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x85c340…
10-16 11:50:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x695043…
10-16 07:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x29c4ef…
10-16 06:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf390b4…
10-15 10:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa729cd…
10-15 10:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 15?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x68113e…
10-15 08:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x764356…
10-15 08:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 15?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf721f6…
10-14 11:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 14?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x385400…
10-13 11:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$3	0x92bd5b…
10-13 11:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xd94c7a…
10-13 11:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x3a387b…
10-13 11:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfecfa2…
10-13 06:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x605f8e…
10-13 06:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2d7bb3…
10-13 03:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc4066c…
10-13 00:47:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e06d6…
10-12 10:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 12?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x372f31…
10-12 07:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 12?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc4550e…
10-12 03:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf52f8c…
10-11 10:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xac10b1…
10-11 07:01:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc6c7b5…
10-10 08:01:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0b655d…
10-09 08:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 9?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x324b76…
10-09 06:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6cc3e…
10-08 09:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 8?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f2e5c…
10-08 08:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0cc5f0…
10-08 07:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc26efe…
10-08 06:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 8?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x92ffb0…
10-07 11:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 7?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x69b30b…
10-07 11:00:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 7?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcac3b6…
10-07 08:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on October 7?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd1710d…
10-07 07:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x56adc6…
10-06 08:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 6?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xbff565…
10-06 08:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 6?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xaff715…
10-06 08:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 6?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x2f8b7c…
10-06 08:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa4006a…
10-06 08:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8e7fdd…
10-06 07:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2020df…
10-06 07:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x70e64f…
10-06 05:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0b659b…
10-06 01:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x03d352…
10-05 21:17:59	Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x9f9573…
10-04 22:00:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7b14d3…
10-04 21:59:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xef64cb…
10-04 21:59:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0xb687b2…
10-04 21:49:10	Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6170f4…
10-04 21:33:19	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x5f1f87…
10-04 21:29:44	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x7b7097…
10-04 21:29:44	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x7b6b2e…
10-04 20:22:04	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x93ed1f…
10-04 11:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 4?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1a2165…
10-04 10:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xee1de2…
10-04 06:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2921e3…
10-04 06:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x705c92…
10-04 05:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 4?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8dd642…
10-03 10:28:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9b5b18…
10-03 10:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6d590d…
10-03 07:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x95c0bb…
10-03 07:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd35d46…
10-03 06:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x8284a7…
10-03 02:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb97dbd…
10-02 09:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x61d1c4…
10-02 09:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 2?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf7eb75…
10-02 07:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 2?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x848fb5…
10-02 07:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 2?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x2ab5e5…
10-02 07:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 2?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x393cef…
10-02 06:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 2?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x695c2a…
10-02 05:52:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 2?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x971994…
10-02 01:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcf0e36…
10-01 11:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 1?	No	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0xb4de52…
10-01 10:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 1?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7ca535…
10-01 10:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 1?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x354564…
10-01 05:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xec9e1a…
10-01 04:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaf20fe…
09-30 16:36:39	Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 102 km/h or above in September?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe05b8b…
09-30 11:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1c8cc0…
09-30 10:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x730bdd…
09-30 10:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x7bf179…
09-30 08:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdd9770…
09-30 07:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5b5a2c…
09-30 07:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc53c6a…
09-30 05:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x069313…
09-30 02:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x54554e…
09-29 11:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0xe9e455…