Caring-Eclipse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

+$626

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,325

lifetime

Volume

$161.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$4.75K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-22 15:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-14

Sports

17% 100% +$66

Politics

15% 0% $-25

Tech

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	-2,643	$-2,624	95¢	$-2516	+$108	07-12 18:44
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	+938	$286	84¢	$788	+$502	07-18 18:50
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	-820	$-715	89¢	$-729	$-14	06-05 17:00
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,458	$461	32¢	$474	+$13	07-21 04:56
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	-230	$-222	96¢	$-222	+$0	07-20 00:50
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	-302	$-40	8¢	$-23	+$17	07-02 14:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	88	$8.7K	17,161	12,260	+4,901	open	—	06-28 00:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	94	$7.5K	5,733	6,140	-407	open	—	04-17 18:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$7.1K	3,984	4,392	-408	open	—	06-25 08:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	37	$5.9K	5,000	4,514	+486	open	—	06-17 22:03
US military draft authorized in 2026?	5	$5.8K	2,357	4,000	-1,643	open	—	07-12 18:44
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	7	$5.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	07-05 20:20
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	25	$5.4K	3,229	3,354	-125	open	—	05-24 09:14
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	99	$4.8K	5,486	3,586	+1,900	open	—	05-24 14:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	34	$4.6K	3,515	3,512	+3	open	—	04-10 08:42
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	21	$4.6K	6,673	4,920	+1,754	open	—	07-08 00:57
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	48	$3.9K	2,342	2,867	-525	open	—	03-02 06:09
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	23	$3.1K	3,378	3,305	+72	open	—	01-31 14:58
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	54	$3.0K	3,221	3,200	+20	open	—	07-17 22:57
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	15	$3.0K	2,400	1,777	+623	open	—	07-18 18:50
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	22	$2.9K	2,118	1,672	+446	open	—	04-13 22:33
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	37	$2.8K	1,400	3,656	-2,256	open	—	05-18 09:10
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	55	$2.8K	2,641	2,055	+586	open	—	04-14 00:34
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	41	$2.6K	3,467	3,203	+264	open	—	03-26 08:23
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	27	$2.4K	2,703	2,397	+306	open	—	05-13 23:44
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	59	$2.4K	2,868	2,868	+0	open	—	05-14 23:03
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	21	$2.1K	2,150	2,124	+26	open	—	03-20 01:07
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	24	$2.0K	1,192	2,192	-1,000	open	—	05-11 07:33
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	24	$1.9K	2,710	2,672	+38	open	—	02-15 01:11
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	24	$1.9K	2,415	0	+2,415	open	—	05-13 21:36
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	43	$1.9K	2,724	2,622	+101	open	—	03-24 04:51
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-11 06:38
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	46	$1.7K	2,709	2,709	+0	open	—	05-14 19:19
will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	41	$1.6K	3,585	3,243	+342	open	—	03-24 00:24
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	12	$1.6K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-15 05:45
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	7	$1.5K	1,453	1,100	+353	open	—	06-26 18:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 15:57:49	will tesla say cybertruck during earnings call 20260713183304181	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb294a6…
07-21 20:13:28	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	205	49¢	$100	0x3bfc2c…
07-21 04:56:37	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x463508…
07-20 21:45:31	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x09faa0…
07-20 14:39:27	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0xaecb7e…
07-20 00:50:30	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x12ba05…
07-18 18:50:31	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x3e45e9…
07-18 16:40:48	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x3e15fb…
07-18 15:20:48	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xd0a2c1…
07-18 14:15:36	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xa267c1…
07-18 10:42:30	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x8bc20e…
07-17 22:57:00	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xae96d9…
07-17 20:39:51	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0x82c775…
07-17 20:11:57	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x728d0e…
07-17 03:47:55	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	239	88¢	$210	0x5e3e54…
07-17 03:20:31	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	560	88¢	$493	0x2f1879…
07-17 01:13:14	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	139	82¢	$114	0xf2c6df…
07-17 01:11:26	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	660	82¢	$541	0x43249c…
07-17 00:40:52	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	48	75¢	$36	0x8cfd37…
07-17 00:22:35	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x0d825f…
07-17 00:14:58	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x3f9d22…
07-17 00:09:23	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xf78ea5…
07-17 00:04:26	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x285283…
07-17 00:04:07	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x04df46…
07-16 23:48:44	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	28	75¢	$21	0x3ed4cb…
07-16 21:08:47	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	130	71¢	$92	0x78e79c…
07-16 19:59:13	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xb31649…
07-16 09:05:43	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x9e4d9a…
07-16 08:51:05	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	213	47¢	$100	0x0eb9ba…
07-16 08:40:22	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xf7d882…
07-16 03:47:53	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x2e31d7…
07-16 01:31:41	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0xb9c5d3…
07-16 00:41:29	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0xab05f4…
07-16 00:38:40	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	225	59¢	$133	0x32ecc2…
07-16 00:25:10	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	400	56¢	$224	0x468e9a…
07-15 20:26:40	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xc81bc2…
07-15 12:40:53	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	106	45¢	$48	0x4734f9…
07-15 12:40:02	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	84	45¢	$38	0xf4554b…
07-15 12:36:26	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xd352d8…
07-15 12:36:26	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x89386f…
07-15 12:36:26	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x32c381…
07-15 12:36:25	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x22db21…
07-15 12:34:04	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x098edf…
07-15 12:32:11	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	488	40¢	$195	0x9616b0…
07-15 12:27:53	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x2bef4d…
07-15 12:27:32	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xd403b9…
07-15 12:17:31	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x1690c3…
07-15 06:13:43	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x0149e0…
07-15 05:32:10	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	250	40¢	$100	0x449cf3…
07-15 05:17:17	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xd050d5…
07-15 04:55:25	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xfa9b14…
07-15 03:26:16	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	700	35¢	$245	0x3c9beb…
07-14 09:57:53	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0074a6…
07-14 09:53:59	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	440	46¢	$202	0x3bf4a5…
07-14 09:35:55	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0xc3b6ae…
07-14 09:22:19	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x2c7c8d…
07-14 09:09:46	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x0b076c…
07-14 09:09:11	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa8185e…
07-14 09:09:05	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcc1829…
07-14 09:08:59	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4d562c…
07-14 09:08:53	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x823fcb…
07-14 09:08:46	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x23ea94…
07-14 09:08:41	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0f6d00…
07-14 08:37:44	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7af9a1…
07-14 06:37:46	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	250	47¢	$118	0xff9979…
07-14 06:24:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	201	47¢	$95	0x255072…
07-14 06:17:34	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	93	47¢	$44	0xb46efa…
07-14 06:16:37	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	105	47¢	$49	0xcdaec8…
07-14 06:03:37	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x94e6fd…
07-14 06:01:01	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xde9afc…
07-14 06:00:53	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x18598f…
07-14 06:00:20	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xf98796…
07-14 05:49:14	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	800	49¢	$392	0x5585ee…
07-13 14:22:56	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x8b234b…
07-13 14:07:56	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x9303e2…
07-13 10:44:43	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	528	43¢	$227	0x9e453f…
07-13 09:10:59	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	296	39¢	$117	0x9fc250…
07-13 00:37:34	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	296	32¢	$95	0xfa9357…
07-12 18:44:05	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	96¢	$1,930	0x41a560…
07-12 11:46:40	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x47ac49…
07-12 11:34:04	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x8b0838…
07-12 11:34:01	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xbe547f…
07-12 11:13:01	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x062333…
07-12 10:33:40	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	171	24¢	$41	0x0a80e0…
07-12 10:31:08	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x737f90…
07-12 10:22:44	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x87c4c7…
07-12 10:21:25	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	91	24¢	$22	0x1a3c15…
07-12 10:14:50	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	182	24¢	$44	0xcd711c…
07-12 10:12:01	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	795	24¢	$191	0xb2d413…
07-12 10:11:55	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x27997b…
07-12 04:13:47	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xcf06c7…
07-12 04:12:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	74	52¢	$38	0xf0c4a5…
07-12 02:40:01	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	400	35¢	$140	0xacb131…
07-11 20:19:13	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	500	36¢	$180	0x8094ac…
07-11 19:59:29	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	400	36¢	$144	0xcf305f…
07-11 12:40:35	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	SELL	400	88¢	$352	0xe1f6a4…
07-11 11:53:50	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	228	28¢	$64	0x4445ef…
07-11 11:37:25	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	502	28¢	$141	0xbcd736…
07-11 11:35:53	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	470	28¢	$131	0xbed7c8…
07-11 10:40:55	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	572	29¢	$166	0xb89c38…