Caring-Eclipse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$7.44K

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

347

Trades

5,411

lifetime

Volume

$541.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$22.5K

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-27 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

55% 61% +$28,276

Politics

35% 69% +$9,670

Sports

7% 77% +$2,328

Tech

4% 45% -$155

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	+3,377	$37	96¢	$3.2K	+$3,209	10-26 23:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+4,273	$1,882	68¢	$2.9K	+$1,002	10-19 08:35
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	+2,680	$2,083	97¢	$2.6K	+$525	10-17 17:24
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+14,424	$1,908	18¢	$2.5K	+$616	09-29 21:33
US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	+2,219	$1,342	97¢	$2.2K	+$811	09-21 11:29
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	+2,180	-$766	97¢	$2.1K	+$2,871	09-16 13:18
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	+3,287	$1,658	62¢	$2.0K	+$366	10-12 02:15
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-2,446	-$3,070	73¢	$-1785	+$1,284	10-17 07:29
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+4,728	$963	24¢	$1.2K	+$188	09-21 23:51
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+856	$705	80¢	$680	-$24	10-18 10:01
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	+575	$498	96¢	$552	+$54	08-31 12:26
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+1,283	$651	21¢	$269	-$382	10-19 09:56
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	+856	$198	20¢	$175	-$23	08-22 11:54
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	+295	$3	46¢	$137	+$134	10-02 19:47
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	+1,046	$102	11¢	$110	+$7	08-12 07:21
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	+2,264	$3,261	2¢	$38	-$3,223	10-26 15:08
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	+4,463	$51	1¢	$36	-$15	10-20 03:26
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%?	No	+1	-$33	100¢	$1	+$34	10-18 06:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	12	$21.8K	13,933	11,753	+2,180	open	—	09-16 13:18
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?	47	$18.1K	10,876	10,876	+0	open	—	09-05 19:00
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	93	$14.1K	23,355	13,795	+9,560	Yes	+$9,307	08-03 20:25
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?	37	$12.5K	7,200	7,200	+0	Yes	+$1,318	08-08 04:29
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	13	$10.8K	9,190	5,814	+3,377	open	—	10-26 23:18
Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	10	$9.2K	8,151	8,151	+0	Yes	+$6,963	09-06 20:46
US military draft authorized in 2026?	8	$9.1K	6,243	4,024	+2,219	open	—	09-21 11:29
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	93	$9.0K	15,660	15,660	+0	No	+$6,379	08-12 03:59
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	30	$8.9K	8,295	4,795	+3,500	open	—	10-02 16:32
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	88	$8.7K	17,161	12,260	+4,901	No	+$424	06-28 00:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?	34	$8.4K	5,097	4,275	+823	Yes	+$489	08-26 21:28
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	19	$7.5K	4,351	3,703	+649	No	+$308	08-27 23:55
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	66	$7.5K	14,579	12,314	+2,264	open	—	10-26 15:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	94	$7.5K	5,733	6,140	-407	No	+$378	04-17 18:56
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	21	$7.4K	3,994	4,638	-644	No	+$1,062	07-30 22:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$7.4K	4,392	4,392	+0	No	+$601	06-25 08:17
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	45	$7.2K	11,878	11,878	+0	Yes	-$127	08-25 23:41
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	37	$6.7K	4,329	4,329	+0	No	+$113	09-25 02:54
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	8	$6.6K	7,057	0	+7,057	No	+$410	07-28 03:22
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	104	$6.6K	5,154	7,599	-2,446	open	—	10-17 07:29
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	66	$6.3K	7,082	7,070	+11	Yes	+$1,137	07-12 20:27
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	38	$6.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$112	06-18 03:46
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	7	$5.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	No	+$1,007	07-05 20:20
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	25	$5.4K	3,229	3,354	-125	Yes	+$871	05-24 09:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	59	$5.3K	7,000	2,727	+4,273	open	—	10-19 08:35
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	50	$5.3K	6,797	1,842	+4,956	Yes	+$366	05-31 02:24
Will Heino Doessing win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?	33	$5.2K	10,959	2,906	+8,053	No	-$2,360	09-04 01:10
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	48	$4.9K	6,922	6,922	+0	No	+$53	10-13 23:34
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	99	$4.8K	5,486	3,586	+1,900	Yes	-$317	05-24 14:44
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	28	$4.7K	7,256	7,256	+0	Yes	+$3,329	08-12 03:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:20:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xa5d72b…
10-27 18:42:29	will flavio bolsonaro return to brazil by march 31 2027	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb8797b…
10-27 17:28:12	Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x031175…
10-26 23:18:41	Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	SELL	416	98¢	$407	0xb94bce…
10-26 15:08:11	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$1	0xa212dd…
10-26 15:02:17	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	405	0¢	$2	0x3058a6…
10-26 15:00:48	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	109	0¢	$0	0xe261a0…
10-26 13:22:44	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	886	0¢	$2	0x2930e4…
10-26 13:20:33	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	718	0¢	$1	0x10dbbe…
10-26 03:53:59	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	152	2¢	$3	0x3ffb71…
10-25 22:08:14	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x62c580…
10-25 21:20:11	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcb2ca6…
10-25 21:20:09	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	2,226	0¢	$7	0x0c0a70…
10-25 07:32:14	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	256	0¢	$1	0x8db3f9…
10-25 06:09:32	Will Paul Choi win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	136	1¢	$1	0x21918d…
10-25 05:06:30	Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xdb48f9…
10-25 05:06:18	Will Margareta Dovgal win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x02a158…
10-25 05:06:14	Will Margareta Dovgal win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0x97191c…
10-25 04:08:42	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	1,646	0¢	$2	0x35290d…
10-25 04:05:30	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0x56658e…
10-25 04:03:24	Will David Xie win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	92	73¢	$67	0xe69227…
10-25 03:59:53	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x923699…
10-25 03:59:48	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xe78d3f…
10-25 03:59:39	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	247	0¢	$0	0xeac124…
10-25 03:47:24	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x52a2e4…
10-25 03:47:21	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x84c941…
10-25 03:47:06	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	1,160	0¢	$4	0x2fbbd2…
10-25 03:46:56	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	SELL	720	0¢	$3	0x68c161…
10-25 03:43:06	Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	186	35¢	$65	0x87aaaf…
10-25 03:40:33	Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	73	88¢	$64	0xdbb83a…
10-25 03:37:50	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	397	1¢	$4	0x2ed71b…
10-25 03:37:39	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x164fad…
10-25 03:36:51	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	700	2¢	$14	0x89c82e…
10-25 03:36:45	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	176	2¢	$3	0xfae748…
10-25 03:36:45	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$7	0x883c41…
10-25 03:35:39	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	147	1¢	$2	0x1f4ccc…
10-25 03:33:05	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	SELL	121	2¢	$3	0x81fbed…
10-25 03:27:38	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	196	3¢	$6	0x9b9f4c…
10-25 03:26:20	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	74	4¢	$3	0xb034e0…
10-25 03:26:18	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	93	4¢	$4	0x2dc048…
10-25 03:20:35	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	SELL	307	6¢	$19	0xc745e6…
10-24 20:59:14	Will Bruce Kong win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x76a462…
10-24 20:58:08	Will Sara Lopez win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$4	0x4d006c…
10-24 20:57:36	Will Anna Kindy win the next North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	140	90¢	$126	0x8b8751…
10-24 20:56:35	Will Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	65	84¢	$55	0x70e869…
10-24 11:30:02	Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xbf4314…
10-23 22:51:14	Will Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	67	93¢	$63	0xdcb75c…
10-23 22:48:17	Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xdfd190…
10-22 10:07:47	Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	172	14¢	$24	0x9c5454…
10-22 10:07:08	Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	No	BUY	690	11¢	$76	0xdc0aea…
10-22 10:07:08	Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?	Yes	BUY	3,200	12¢	$384	0x351480…
10-21 01:29:51	Will Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	321	51¢	$163	0x81e930…
10-21 01:19:00	Will Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	283	60¢	$169	0xea0244…
10-20 22:02:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xccf7d2…
10-20 03:26:08	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x71de97…
10-20 03:13:48	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	48	20¢	$10	0x3c0e8f…
10-20 02:50:14	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0xe7bc22…
10-20 02:47:30	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	221	20¢	$44	0xc2407a…
10-20 02:45:24	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	56	20¢	$11	0x8756d4…
10-20 02:36:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	381	20¢	$76	0x278e43…
10-20 01:58:23	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xa08048…
10-20 01:58:18	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	1,700	18¢	$306	0xaab257…
10-20 01:30:14	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	22	16¢	$4	0x375750…
10-20 00:23:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	SELL	65	59¢	$38	0x9f8dc0…
10-20 00:09:47	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	68	15¢	$10	0x425199…
10-19 21:51:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	SELL	1,350	15¢	$203	0x107142…
10-19 21:01:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	SELL	19	59¢	$11	0x1a6a63…
10-19 20:10:50	Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?	No	BUY	60	61¢	$36	0xf07bd2…
10-19 17:44:03	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	125	7¢	$9	0xe9d96d…
10-19 17:44:03	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	337	7¢	$24	0x534f4b…
10-19 15:27:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	SELL	368	56¢	$206	0x3ba1ec…
10-19 13:57:11	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xeef66c…
10-19 13:57:09	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa9859b…
10-19 12:57:26	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x31887f…
10-19 12:57:26	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x1e7caa…
10-19 12:56:05	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x89509d…
10-19 12:56:03	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x5372af…
10-19 12:44:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	SELL	12	56¢	$6	0x81866f…
10-19 12:44:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x3c88ce…
10-19 12:44:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	Yes	SELL	144	53¢	$76	0xf0ba04…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	368	10¢	$37	0xf3fbf6…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	142	10¢	$14	0xf248de…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0xc94351…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	121	10¢	$12	0xb3508d…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	246	10¢	$25	0x733562…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	122	10¢	$12	0x4fa2a8…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x3c3fbf…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$9	0x2ccee3…
10-19 12:26:32	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	246	10¢	$25	0x13acb5…
10-19 11:58:33	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xf8f811…
10-19 11:58:29	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x71908e…
10-19 09:56:26	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	840	20¢	$168	0x009642…
10-19 08:35:27	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	504	63¢	$318	0xbc4aac…
10-19 07:12:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	635	63¢	$400	0x759177…
10-19 07:11:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x0846a2…
10-19 07:11:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xf5cca2…
10-19 07:11:03	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x6b181b…
10-19 07:11:02	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x7d33c4…
10-19 07:11:00	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x959893…
10-19 07:11:00	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x4d5718…