Caring-Eclipse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,420

lifetime

Volume

$180.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-12 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-14

Sports

15% 100% +$66

Politics

13% 0% $-25

Tech

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	88	$8.7K	17,161	12,260	+4,901	open	—	06-28 00:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	94	$7.5K	5,733	6,140	-407	open	—	04-17 18:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$7.1K	3,984	4,392	-408	open	—	06-25 08:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	37	$5.9K	5,000	4,514	+486	open	—	06-17 22:03
US military draft authorized in 2026?	5	$5.8K	2,357	4,000	-1,643	open	—	07-12 18:44
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026	7	$5.5K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	07-05 20:20
Will Liverpool qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	25	$5.4K	3,229	3,354	-125	open	—	05-24 09:14
gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	7	$5.0K	4,351	1,100	+3,251	open	—	08-10 00:42
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	99	$4.8K	5,486	3,586	+1,900	open	—	05-24 14:44
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	25	$4.8K	5,038	534	+4,504	open	—	08-12 05:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	34	$4.6K	3,515	3,512	+3	open	—	04-10 08:42
gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	21	$4.6K	6,673	4,920	+1,754	open	—	07-08 00:57
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	48	$3.9K	2,342	2,867	-525	open	—	03-02 06:09
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	23	$3.1K	3,378	3,305	+72	open	—	01-31 14:58
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	16	$3.0K	2,400	1,827	+573	open	—	08-03 14:08
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	54	$3.0K	3,221	3,200	+20	open	—	07-17 22:57
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	2	$3.0K	3,733	0	+3,733	open	—	08-02 10:33
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	22	$2.9K	2,118	1,672	+446	open	—	04-13 22:33
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	37	$2.8K	1,400	3,656	-2,256	open	—	05-18 09:10
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	55	$2.8K	2,641	2,055	+586	open	—	04-14 00:34
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	41	$2.6K	3,467	3,203	+264	open	—	03-26 08:23
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	27	$2.4K	2,703	2,397	+306	open	—	05-13 23:44
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	59	$2.4K	2,868	2,868	+0	open	—	05-14 23:03
gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	9	$2.1K	1,951	788	+1,162	open	—	08-11 23:12
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	21	$2.1K	2,150	2,124	+26	open	—	03-20 01:07
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	24	$2.0K	1,192	2,192	-1,000	open	—	05-11 07:33
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	24	$1.9K	2,710	2,672	+38	open	—	02-15 01:11
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	24	$1.9K	2,415	0	+2,415	open	—	05-13 21:36
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	43	$1.9K	2,724	2,622	+101	open	—	03-24 04:51
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-11 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 07:21:52	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0xcb1422…
08-12 07:17:58	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	140	9¢	$13	0x75d78d…
08-12 07:17:51	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xed3ed2…
08-12 05:34:39	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x955b27…
08-12 04:26:43	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x8057ad…
08-12 02:47:12	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x1cbe47…
08-11 23:55:13	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	272	87¢	$236	0xd4286d…
08-11 23:53:54	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xf3856b…
08-11 23:12:07	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xed2cd6…
08-11 23:11:43	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9e2356…
08-11 23:11:37	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x1e1464…
08-11 23:11:33	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	843	76¢	$640	0x197469…
08-11 20:52:16	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0x232d54…
08-11 16:37:15	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1074e3…
08-11 16:32:06	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	87	28¢	$24	0xdd7769…
08-11 15:20:57	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	49	35¢	$17	0x0e9769…
08-10 12:35:25	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	SELL	170	34¢	$58	0x61e380…
08-10 08:02:09	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x98f078…
08-10 04:50:07	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	308	88¢	$271	0x56fd4f…
08-10 03:16:24	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	29¢	$319	0x21030a…
08-10 00:43:27	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	480	83¢	$398	0x68fd47…
08-10 00:42:52	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1,100	93¢	$1,023	0x22369a…
08-09 20:46:04	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	500	34¢	$170	0xb8a1ae…
08-09 20:32:43	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	48	33¢	$16	0x6a5017…
08-09 19:56:25	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xd109a6…
08-09 19:54:00	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xb66792…
08-09 19:51:54	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	380	33¢	$125	0x96d3ad…
08-09 15:20:45	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xcbf0d3…
08-09 15:20:45	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	456	91¢	$415	0xc5fcd4…
08-09 15:20:43	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf8cfe0…
08-09 15:20:43	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x47a9c0…
08-09 14:09:04	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	96	87¢	$83	0xfadbb1…
08-09 13:43:10	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	SELL	134	93¢	$125	0x6fba4b…
08-09 11:38:25	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,084	91¢	$986	0x0fc450…
08-09 10:42:54	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	142	87¢	$123	0xf1b11f…
08-08 21:40:22	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	620	31¢	$190	0x3d5968…
08-08 19:56:00	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	312	26¢	$81	0x5b0a14…
08-08 17:46:16	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	341	87¢	$297	0xe22f97…
08-08 17:00:19	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0e6099…
08-08 17:00:09	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x8bc1b1…
08-08 17:00:07	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	BUY	226	20¢	$45	0xdbd992…
08-08 17:00:07	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa1b8c8…
08-08 17:00:07	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7eb030…
08-08 08:25:58	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x2c0219…
08-08 07:13:16	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	176	24¢	$42	0x260b68…
08-08 06:53:45	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1,008	74¢	$746	0xa80ec5…
08-08 06:41:00	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,751	90¢	$2,486	0x2f5dba…
08-08 00:09:57	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	990	68¢	$671	0x78d5d4…
08-08 00:08:01	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	850	62¢	$526	0xf66ad4…
08-07 22:46:15	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	BUY	152	24¢	$36	0xff55ba…
08-07 17:52:51	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	68	46¢	$31	0x8450eb…
08-07 10:53:57	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	68	38¢	$26	0x3c87a8…
08-07 10:50:09	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	BUY	821	10¢	$82	0xf9ea02…
08-07 10:44:00	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0xdc5c60…
08-05 02:13:38	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	791	36¢	$286	0x5083ba…
08-04 13:54:39	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	207	86¢	$178	0xc0cec1…
08-04 13:50:56	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	171	86¢	$147	0x607964…
08-04 12:56:59	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xa108f6…
08-04 05:06:36	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0x6f19b2…
08-04 00:54:12	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$20	0xd59b89…
08-04 00:53:30	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	714	86¢	$614	0xd9605c…
08-03 21:44:36	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	700	37¢	$259	0x2c3fd1…
08-03 14:08:32	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x16f587…
08-03 07:17:47	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	24	86¢	$21	0x38204f…
08-02 10:33:08	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	2,333	76¢	$1,773	0x59191c…
08-02 09:02:24	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	2,022	87¢	$1,759	0x9c4651…
08-02 08:18:45	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x60452d…
08-02 03:50:36	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0x71102f…
08-02 00:50:50	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0x0f50bd…
08-01 21:16:12	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	680	40¢	$272	0x776402…
07-31 23:58:17	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	944	30¢	$283	0xc44459…
07-31 23:07:57	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	140	30¢	$42	0x529dcd…
07-31 16:54:45	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x8e9b5a…
07-31 06:15:00	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xe0e554…
07-30 12:25:44	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x725884…
07-30 08:51:51	will apple say tariff during earnings call 20260727155548220	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x0508af…
07-30 08:16:23	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x461fc5…
07-28 19:52:14	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	SELL	228	88¢	$201	0xb415b0…
07-28 19:52:07	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	SELL	172	88¢	$151	0x6a199d…
07-28 14:03:29	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x1494e7…
07-28 04:43:58	will paypal say braintree during earnings call 20260724221739513	Yes	BUY	83	74¢	$61	0xa29926…
07-28 04:43:36	will paypal say braintree during earnings call 20260724221739513	Yes	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0xd008c1…
07-28 01:44:03	will paypal say braintree during earnings call 20260724221739513	Yes	BUY	330	65¢	$215	0x6267d1…
07-28 01:34:09	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0xb54306…
07-27 23:51:18	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	176	83¢	$146	0xab9ba0…
07-27 19:53:52	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xd8c469…
07-27 15:28:51	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	25¢	$74	0x1e8750…
07-27 13:03:49	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	BUY	316	83¢	$262	0x6a1c9a…
07-27 00:17:15	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0xba4b75…
07-26 19:04:21	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	25¢	$19	0x94f95b…
07-26 18:50:55	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x870627…
07-26 02:47:58	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8b589f…
07-25 10:44:55	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	No	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xcba40e…
07-24 11:32:30	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	No	BUY	45	23¢	$10	0xab877e…
07-23 06:04:16	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0x09d8e0…
07-23 00:49:43	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	333	80¢	$267	0x98073a…
07-22 15:57:49	will tesla say cybertruck during earnings call 20260713183304181	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xb294a6…
07-21 20:13:28	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	SELL	205	49¢	$100	0x3bfc2c…
07-21 04:56:37	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x463508…
07-20 21:45:31	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x09faa0…