Pointless-Country — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$186

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-08 18:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

68% 98% +$39

Crypto

16% 77% -$1

Sports

9% 67% -$137

Politics

7% 80% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+54	$50	93¢	$50	+$0	10-08 17:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+27	$25	97¢	$26	+$1	10-08 18:03
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+26	$25	99¢	$26	+$1	10-08 18:04
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+26	$25	95¢	$25	$0	10-08 17:58
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	+22	$20	95¢	$21	+$1	10-08 18:00
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+22	$20	94¢	$21	+$1	08-05 18:49
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+21	$15	86¢	$18	+$3	08-05 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 18:05:53	Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x13425f…
10-08 18:04:54	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf609ca…
10-08 18:03:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x73f405…
10-08 18:03:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xee2700…
10-08 18:00:06	Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x9e9174…
10-08 17:59:32	Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xee90cb…
10-08 17:58:44	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xf42d4e…
10-08 17:56:20	Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x2fd7dd…
10-08 17:55:45	Will Sui dip to $0.40 before 2027?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xced560…
10-08 17:55:38	Will Sui dip to $0.20 before 2027?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xe2a5e8…
10-08 17:55:27	Will Sui dip to $0.20 before 2027?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xab1f5c…
08-05 18:49:48	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x801e25…
08-05 18:49:39	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x2f61cc…
08-05 18:47:48	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	BUY	251	2¢	$5	0xac95e9…
08-05 18:47:39	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	277	1¢	$3	0x4e1573…
07-20 08:46:39	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xc1e2af…
07-18 09:03:37	will risex launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174012703	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc21987…
07-04 07:18:11	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	403	34¢	$139	0x963451…
07-04 06:06:22	will rise launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	36	82¢	$30	0x2e8c9f…
07-04 06:03:11	will abstract launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xfcc743…
07-04 05:47:58	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x168c11…
07-04 05:47:50	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xad947c…
05-24 11:32:33	Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x6333da…
05-24 11:32:17	Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb9a0d4…
05-24 11:27:07	Next Token Sale on Coinbase by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x9e54f5…
05-24 11:11:40	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe4ca60…
05-24 11:11:17	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x9e982e…
05-03 11:07:04	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x1f8ccb…
05-03 08:44:22	Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xce5925…
04-19 06:22:52	Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	93¢	$72	0xa3b783…
04-12 09:03:21	will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x9a2679…
04-12 09:02:15	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xac4044…
04-12 09:02:05	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbc09dc…
04-12 08:22:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0xd4ed10…
04-12 08:13:19	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x188f5e…
04-12 08:12:57	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x88b201…
04-01 08:50:37	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 400 419	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3c0492…
04-01 08:48:03	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x3a17a6…
04-01 08:43:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x6be1e9…
04-01 08:42:05	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 380 399	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xdba0ce…
04-01 08:38:59	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x6bb9cc…
03-26 14:43:01	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x8b2001…
03-26 14:42:01	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x228942…
03-26 14:41:21	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 140 164	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x15a98c…
03-26 14:39:45	Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x65c43f…
03-26 14:38:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xa6493e…
03-26 14:33:21	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd801a6…
03-26 14:32:41	Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa32555…
03-26 14:32:15	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 400 419	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xf629da…
03-26 14:32:07	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 420 439	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xaee7e2…
03-14 09:32:03	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x44892e…
03-14 09:31:47	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x825423…
03-14 09:30:35	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x642bf3…
03-14 09:30:21	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x928aa7…
03-14 09:29:45	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 540 559	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe240e8…
03-14 09:29:31	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3b4b80…
03-14 09:29:23	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x96c83d…
03-14 09:29:11	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 480 499	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x657050…
03-14 09:29:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x7a5154…
03-14 09:28:43	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 460 479	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2c904e…
03-14 09:19:43	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x715c25…
03-14 09:19:35	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xf5cd7c…
03-04 10:17:55	Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xaa78e8…
03-04 10:17:33	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 460 479	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd1bedb…
03-04 10:17:11	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x0e1d0f…
03-04 10:11:53	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 480 499	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x98bf14…
03-04 10:11:45	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1166d6…
03-04 10:11:39	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 420 439	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xcdeafd…
03-04 10:11:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 400 419	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x0ad829…
03-04 10:11:23	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x32b031…
03-04 10:11:15	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 380 399	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xa78195…
03-04 10:09:15	Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x3a9978…
03-04 10:07:41	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xbb58d7…
03-04 10:07:13	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 420 439	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x210a5f…
03-04 10:03:45	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5c522f…
02-22 09:43:06	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2679df…
02-22 09:42:44	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 480 499	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x1bf332…
02-11 11:34:05	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 580plus	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x720205…
02-11 11:33:53	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x651dc1…
02-07 09:58:07	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xddb95b…
02-01 14:32:02	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x8bf119…
02-01 14:31:26	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 500 519	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x4fd4b8…
01-27 10:05:03	elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 215 239	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x9444a6…
01-27 10:04:51	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 140 164	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe162d8…
01-24 11:40:56	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 240plus	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x55cf2e…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	1	$194	200	0	+200	No	+$6	07-20 08:46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$139	403	0	+403	No	-$139	07-04 07:18
Will Hyperliquid reach $46 by December 31, 2026?	1	$72	78	0	+78	Yes	+$6	04-19 06:22
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	10-08 17:59
Will EdgeX launch a token by September 30, 2026?	2	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	03-04 10:17
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 240plus	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$1	01-24 11:40
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$3	03-26 14:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$44	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-01 08:43
Will Sui dip to $0.20 before 2027?	2	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	10-08 17:55
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	03-14 09:19
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	03-04 10:17
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 215 239	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	01-27 10:05
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	05-03 11:07
will rise launch a token by september 30 2026	1	$30	36	0	+36	No	+$6	07-04 06:06
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	07-04 05:47
Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	10-08 17:56
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	07-04 05:47
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-22 09:43
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 580plus	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	02-11 11:34
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 460 479	1	$26	27	0	+27	No	+$0	02-01 14:32
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	10-08 18:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	10-08 18:03
will abstract launch a token by september 30 2026	1	$25	27	0	+27	No	+$2	07-04 06:03
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	10-08 17:58
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 500 519	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-01 14:31
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 580plus	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	02-11 11:33
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 480 499	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-04 10:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$23	24	0	+24	Yes	-$23	04-12 08:22
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 480 499	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	02-22 09:42
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	10-08 18:05