Supportive-Norm-Loggia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$785

Unrealized P&L

-$113

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

8,953

Trades

13,661

lifetime

Volume

$64.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$281

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-28 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Other

44% 43% -$1,642

Crypto

35% 55% -$123

Sports

18% 47% +$829

Politics

3% 27% +$134

Tech

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 287 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+109	$100	99¢	$108	+$8	10-13 11:30
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+133	$100	72¢	$97	-$3	10-25 19:02
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+100	$79	73¢	$73	-$6	10-09 17:52
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	+111	$100	3¢	$3	-$97	10-14 08:00
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+57	$15	0¢	$0	-$15	10-19 03:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$599	416	416	+0	No	+$99	10-08 06:34
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$467	864	0	+864	Argentina	-$467	07-15 11:05
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?	4	$302	1,988	1,750	+238	No	+$241	09-10 06:04
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 14, 2026?	1	$300	312	0	+312	Yes	+$12	10-13 11:29
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$229	263	263	+0	open	—	10-27 20:21
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	7	$205	353	0	+353	Spain	-$205	07-14 18:52
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$200	207	0	+207	No	+$7	10-09 08:27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?	2	$199	119	119	+0	open	—	09-17 13:01
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	2	$196	115	115	+0	open	—	09-17 13:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	2	$194	118	118	+0	open	—	09-17 13:01
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	2	$155	87	87	+0	open	—	09-17 13:01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$131	102	102	+0	Yes	-$3	10-15 10:39
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?	3	$127	76	76	+0	open	—	09-17 13:01
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	2	$101	114	0	+114	Yes	+$14	08-04 18:12
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$100	133	0	+133	open	—	10-25 19:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	1	$100	118	0	+118	No	+$18	10-14 08:42
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	10-13 11:30
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	10-14 08:00
OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?	1	$100	117	0	+117	No	+$17	10-14 09:00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	1	$100	112	0	+112	No	+$12	10-16 09:08
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	2	$87	240	240	+0	No	+$26	09-10 02:52
Trump out as President before 2027?	3	$82	48	48	-0	open	—	05-12 13:09
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	1	$82	90	0	+90	Yes	+$8	10-17 02:28
will peoples party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	5	$81	817	760	+57	Yes	-$21	03-26 12:14
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	4	$79	100	0	+100	open	—	10-09 17:52
cs2 mnte nem 2026 07 01	10	$78	164	0	+164	Team Nemesis	+$20	07-01 13:04
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	1	$75	79	0	+79	Yes	+$4	10-13 11:46
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	3	$75	100	100	+0	open	—	10-12 17:56
Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	10	$72	3,993	3,993	+0	No	+$10	09-07 04:52
wta muchova osaka 2026 06 27	5	$70	151	0	+151	Karolina Muchova	+$38	06-27 06:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x6322c1…
10-27 20:21:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	263	20¢	$53	0x6e3f18…
10-27 19:17:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	263	67¢	$176	0x4b4424…
10-25 19:02:45	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x684982…
10-25 05:11:12	Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xab4e00…
10-25 05:01:30	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9d6b62…
10-24 11:29:44	Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8005e2…
10-24 11:29:27	Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x508acc…
10-22 06:04:14	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x79de10…
10-21 06:26:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5ce981…
10-19 06:39:14	Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x542dc8…
10-19 05:24:00	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0xaf9665…
10-19 04:45:35	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x174d89…
10-19 03:37:26	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0x9fa8c2…
10-19 02:30:50	Will Together win 11-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x472860…
10-17 02:28:44	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	91¢	$82	0x7e521b…
10-16 11:29:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x182720…
10-16 11:24:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xacb5c6…
10-16 11:24:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x997a06…
10-16 11:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x5737d1…
10-16 11:15:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x5215a4…
10-16 11:15:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc82b9d…
10-16 11:03:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2e72fc…
10-16 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6b713e…
10-16 09:08:58	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0xc77514…
10-15 14:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd870e9…
10-15 12:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x61d86a…
10-15 12:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xefee9e…
10-15 11:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xffa612…
10-15 11:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x30a0e0…
10-15 10:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6c7c53…
10-15 10:39:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x18bf7a…
10-14 09:00:11	OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x212fda…
10-14 08:42:20	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x66d852…
10-14 08:00:07	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc6ab65…
10-14 07:55:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbdc11b…
10-14 07:43:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x65482b…
10-14 07:29:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9d8df9…
10-14 07:13:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb8a17c…
10-14 07:13:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe501cd…
10-14 06:59:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x40edf5…
10-14 06:44:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4f5964…
10-14 06:28:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x38280d…
10-14 06:13:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0c9619…
10-14 05:55:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb5668c…
10-14 05:43:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9f781e…
10-14 05:43:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x592ddc…
10-14 05:27:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x769a8b…
10-14 05:27:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x290a8a…
10-14 05:08:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe82b6a…
10-14 05:08:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf5af5e…
10-14 04:59:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xfb0d37…
10-14 04:58:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf65539…
10-14 04:43:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xab84f0…
10-14 04:28:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe4856b…
10-14 04:14:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x641236…
10-14 03:56:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xf57040…
10-14 03:56:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x09324a…
10-14 03:56:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1d86a2…
10-14 03:41:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9200a5…
10-14 03:41:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0d6bbb…
10-14 03:28:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf51e99…
10-14 03:13:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc0b875…
10-14 02:52:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf6ce80…
10-14 02:52:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf37238…
10-14 02:44:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x278271…
10-14 02:29:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x7b08d8…
10-14 02:29:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x56caf7…
10-14 02:13:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeeabb9…
10-14 01:59:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x872771…
10-14 01:59:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5bc100…
10-14 01:44:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd20173…
10-14 01:44:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea09aa…
10-14 01:29:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xce816e…
10-14 01:29:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x483b32…
10-14 01:11:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x75d9a2…
10-14 01:10:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd6e7c2…
10-14 00:56:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xeed84f…
10-14 00:39:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd3d595…
10-14 00:28:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x122742…
10-14 00:09:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd2b434…
10-13 23:55:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0b5479…
10-13 23:41:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0242b2…
10-13 23:27:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xbf3d55…
10-13 23:27:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd6d329…
10-13 23:27:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7c3ab3…
10-13 23:27:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x57f3f2…
10-13 23:09:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x13bb41…
10-13 22:59:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdc29f1…
10-13 22:42:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4d573d…
10-13 22:29:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x28b230…
10-13 22:28:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x66889a…
10-13 22:28:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x374593…
10-13 22:10:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf16fe4…
10-13 22:10:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x00b88d…
10-13 21:58:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x83a440…
10-13 21:42:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7eb5a0…
10-13 21:28:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x5f4d77…
10-13 21:27:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcb5eee…
10-13 21:13:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7d5d8f…