Vigilant-Impostor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

2,385

Trades

2,451

lifetime

Volume

$24.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 11-12 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% $0

Sports

15% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USPF Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu vs. Vendée Fontenay Foot end in a draw?	Yes		+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	11-14 00:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Betclic Apogee Esports	+$0	03-03 16:37
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-05 08:55
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:03
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	2	$20	20	0	+20	Learner Tien	+$0	10-10 11:12
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-14?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	09-16 10:16
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:46
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 00:11:43	Will USPF Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu vs. Vendée Fontenay Foot end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x624298…
11-12 17:09:03	Will Russia win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x517ef5…
11-12 15:58:22	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccc1ac…
11-12 15:53:01	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97937e…
11-12 15:37:07	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8a474…
11-12 14:28:31	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf20528…
11-12 07:11:01	Brisbane 3: Carl Overbeck vs Juncheng Shang	Juncheng Shang	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb34293…
11-10 17:49:46	Orleans: Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka	Sebastian Baez	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcf6159…
11-10 17:37:54	Sopo: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz	Carole Monnet	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x52d8ba…
11-10 03:42:57	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a1a7c…
11-09 03:28:42	Matsuyama: Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda	Ryuki Matsuda	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x81587f…
11-08 04:25:48	Rockets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ef20a…
11-07 17:13:39	Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x10f9a9…
11-07 16:44:07	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddbf0b…
11-07 16:00:45	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x571f51…
11-01 02:36:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x498219…
11-01 01:38:52	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6f369…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d5fe4…
11-01 00:43:15	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb815a4…
11-01 00:05:12	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a307f…
10-31 16:00:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x342b13…
10-31 00:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x08b497…
10-30 23:58:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xade5c6…
10-30 23:55:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xde5738…
10-30 16:19:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x457108…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90739e…
10-27 13:12:02	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd15cf2…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x703c30…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa1a84…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcf9b6…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb1951a…
10-22 20:16:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c1467…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89016a…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1299a2…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8dab4…
10-15 20:32:38	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7063d0…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7bbd81…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d1d42…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe67bbd…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5bc5c…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecebc0…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x342af7…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1d434…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9113b5…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb480e3…
10-12 09:08:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7a8a5…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5df4a5…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa55e60…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd5656…
10-10 11:12:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfcb9d2…
10-09 02:09:59	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcd921…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x46c9c8…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x907633…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x465354…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc61f8f…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x952500…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0accf4…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44dd72…
10-04 20:39:17	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3df3d…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d8323…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3cb25d…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99c378…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e86b8…
10-03 05:54:29	wta sakkari hunter 2026 10 01	Maria Sakkari	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf077b5…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38e72e…
10-02 14:15:33	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95ca57…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07f9aa…
10-01 22:24:59	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62ba2e…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x513902…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16f15d…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2324b0…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7f0a72…
10-01 07:27:03	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7461bd…
09-30 23:55:00	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x563022…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4f9b72…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6155b5…
09-29 13:58:53	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6ff97…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe0306a…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20130a…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb684c1…
09-28 16:53:59	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf75199…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed93fe…
09-27 20:54:21	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11b46a…
09-27 20:12:29	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55df8e…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80fe12…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e525d…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x829e4b…
09-27 01:56:06	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30ee22…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bd62e…
09-26 20:01:33	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x628dbd…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf90ee3…
09-26 16:16:12	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4142d8…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x474919…
09-25 22:56:50	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x290bab…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd518c2…
09-24 09:38:48	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8afc9…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6915b5…
09-23 16:19:00	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8250bf…
09-23 04:45:08	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb3099…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe17747…