Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
59
lifetime
Volume
$72
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-25
last 06-04 08:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
35% 100% +$0
Other
31% 100% +$0
Crypto
31%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -5 $-3 59¢ $-3 +$0 06-04 08:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 $-2 88¢ $-2 $-0 06-04 08:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +2 $1 77¢ $1 +$0 06-03 16:05
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:25
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:26
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:26
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-03 16:06
Trump out as President by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:27
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:27
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:27
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:28
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:28
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 08:29
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-04 08:17