Sugary-Trapezoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$510

Unrealized P&L

-$55

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

288

Trades

1,997

lifetime

Volume

$5.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 08-21 07:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Other

58% 17% -$424

Crypto

37% 50% +$13

Sports

4% 11% -$96

Politics

1% 38% -$4

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+300	$34	4¢	$12	-$22	08-21 07:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+537	$42	2¢	$9	-$33	07-19 08:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricpsl kar pes 2026 04 09	12	$1.3K	727	624	+102	Peshawar Zalmi	+$1	04-09 17:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	24	$782	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	08-19 15:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	22	$430	1,440	902	+537	open	—	07-19 08:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$398	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	07-20 07:09
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner	2	$395	200	200	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$0	05-12 11:58
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$157	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	05-26 01:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	5	$117	63	63	+0	open	—	05-20 02:22
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	2	$99	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$11	06-19 19:28
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$87	121	121	+0	Yes	+$20	05-26 02:34
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	1	$72	100	0	+100	Over	-$72	06-17 12:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$58	400	100	+300	open	—	08-21 07:29
mlb bal pit 2026 04 05	14	$53	3,341	3,254	+87	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$1	04-05 20:00
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	1	$51	100	0	+100	Over	-$51	06-17 11:44
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	6	$49	100	100	+0	Over	-$1	06-17 20:03
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	9	$46	300	278	+22	Yes	+$9	04-12 05:46
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?	4	$42	50	0	+50	No	+$8	06-17 16:07
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	33	$35	374	394	-20	No	$0	03-22 14:28
wti up or down on april 8 2026	21	$30	436	298	+138	Down	-$2	04-08 19:19
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	1	$29	100	0	+100	Yes	-$29	06-17 11:09
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 14c	14	$28	183	131	+52	Yes	-$2	04-05 14:17
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	8	$25	100	100	+0	No	-$3	08-17 05:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	5	$23	115	115	+0	open	—	05-19 08:33
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10250 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?	24	$23	1,155	640	+515	Yes	-$2	05-14 00:59
nhl fla pit 2026 04 05	26	$23	9,906	7,506	+2,400	Penguins	-$4	04-05 21:37
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5	19	$21	11,744	9,447	+2,297	Under	-$2	05-11 00:03
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 80 99	5	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	03-22 14:30
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 2pt5	1	$19	25	0	+25	Uzbekistan	+$6	06-18 00:49
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	18	$19	272	308	-36	Yes	+$5	03-29 08:22
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	1	$18	25	0	+25	No	+$6	06-17 18:02
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	1	$17	25	0	+25	England	-$17	06-17 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 07:29:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x689a83…
08-21 04:14:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x1c32aa…
08-20 22:55:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x870667…
08-20 16:16:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x620a28…
08-19 15:31:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	792	13¢	$103	0xf6dba2…
08-19 15:30:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	305	13¢	$40	0x17e451…
08-17 05:21:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xe86853…
08-08 01:40:46	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x53872b…
08-08 01:23:39	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x9fb5fb…
08-08 00:53:54	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x0aa493…
08-08 00:44:07	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x095e55…
08-08 00:38:39	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x527ec0…
08-08 00:32:36	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x4f8f56…
08-08 00:19:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xf9af08…
08-04 17:22:36	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	No	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x411172…
08-03 16:26:24	will spotify say playlist during earnings call 20260730163821624	No	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x783b3e…
08-02 21:51:15	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	157	2¢	$3	0x505bfb…
08-02 21:04:00	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x98997c…
08-02 09:11:00	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x15988c…
08-02 08:28:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x77bc69…
08-02 08:01:12	will bitcoin dip to 45k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x760596…
08-01 20:09:03	will bitcoin dip to 50k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xd4e1c8…
08-01 16:42:08	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	No	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0xb1666b…
08-01 16:20:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x3b45ed…
08-01 16:19:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xfaf3de…
08-01 16:19:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xb07f58…
08-01 16:18:47	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	No	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x79cd5a…
08-01 16:17:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0x8b5e09…
08-01 16:14:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	55	6¢	$3	0xc188fe…
07-30 14:48:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	25¢	$22	0x32a8b1…
07-25 16:19:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xc609a8…
07-25 16:12:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x56750a…
07-25 16:05:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x43282a…
07-25 15:58:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xa3bc8e…
07-25 15:44:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xca3590…
07-25 15:43:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xabb8b8…
07-25 15:37:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x2f11ad…
07-24 21:43:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	16¢	$16	0x7a7129…
07-24 13:35:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x5e2b4c…
07-23 14:57:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0x40305f…
07-22 15:35:45	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xa94885…
07-22 15:35:31	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x0adce2…
07-22 15:35:18	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x1fb26e…
07-22 15:34:54	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x809d8c…
07-22 15:34:43	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	276	0¢	$0	0xfe811b…
07-22 15:32:42	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x69bf45…
07-22 15:31:48	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	SELL	242	0¢	$0	0xd70972…
07-22 15:31:33	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x666c16…
07-22 15:28:49	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbf9434…
07-22 15:27:33	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcaa0b4…
07-22 15:27:09	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xab7271…
07-22 15:27:07	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7dc6d9…
07-22 15:27:06	val ag1 drg 2026 07 22 game3 round handicap ag1 2pt5	All Gamers	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x97ea26…
07-22 10:35:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x8598ed…
07-21 19:15:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd16195…
07-21 16:52:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x6c1c20…
07-21 15:04:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	15¢	$13	0xffc5b7…
07-21 14:43:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x219b49…
07-20 07:09:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	6¢	$45	0x4b78c8…
07-19 19:43:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	17¢	$26	0x37b2f8…
07-19 13:15:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xdbfa23…
07-19 12:14:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xc0b339…
07-19 11:02:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	18¢	$126	0xf339c7…
07-19 10:02:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	11¢	$66	0x2f7bee…
07-19 09:56:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	15¢	$105	0x00e012…
07-19 08:46:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	475	13¢	$62	0x39f159…
07-18 19:05:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	5¢	$38	0x7453fd…
07-18 19:04:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	5¢	$75	0xeb52d9…
06-24 12:20:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x002653…
06-22 08:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 22?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0xf4f9a1…
06-22 08:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x801a5c…
06-21 20:51:56	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x6b5ce9…
06-21 18:53:40	cs2 ruby1 tdk 2026 06 21 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0x877cf4…
06-21 15:49:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x1a3639…
06-20 22:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xef4bf1…
06-20 22:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	49	1¢	$1	0x78578a…
06-20 22:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x5ac8d7…
06-20 22:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x0ea11a…
06-20 20:47:20	cs2 g1 100t 2026 06 20 game2 round total 24pt5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3717fe…
06-20 20:21:17	cs2 g1 100t 2026 06 20 game2 round total 24pt5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbb32d0…
06-20 20:20:25	cs2 g1 100t 2026 06 20 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x94776f…
06-20 20:20:16	cs2 g1 100t 2026 06 20 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8586c8…
06-20 20:19:47	cs2 g1 100t 2026 06 20 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	262	0¢	$0	0xc4af7a…
06-20 07:59:37	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xf5ac99…
06-20 07:57:38	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x8661f1…
06-20 07:54:37	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	250	0¢	$0	0xa891d4…
06-20 07:53:23	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcfc0c6…
06-20 07:53:23	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb451c2…
06-20 07:53:23	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb035f8…
06-20 07:53:23	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9a342f…
06-20 07:53:23	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x50832a…
06-20 07:53:23	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x386c04…
06-20 07:53:23	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x05aa3d…
06-20 07:53:22	r6siege oc1 fouran 2026 06 20 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x130f99…
06-20 00:37:53	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	189	0¢	$0	0xaa5bd0…
06-20 00:24:10	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x057d3d…
06-20 00:00:23	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x5444f2…
06-20 00:00:11	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xfe624f…
06-19 23:46:13	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	131	0¢	$0	0xec96cb…
06-19 23:42:34	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x1ca83a…