Realized P&L
+$2.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved
2,731
Trades
29,887
lifetime
Volume
$350.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$202
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 08-05 04:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 53% +$4,453
Other
23% 49% -$1,074
Sports
1% 50% -$16
Politics
1% 47% -$661
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$224
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Human moon landing in 2026? No -29 -$28 99¢ $-29 -$1 06-10 02:01
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -22 -$22 100¢ $-22 $0 06-10 01:52
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -20 -$18 96¢ $-20 -$1 07-22 08:14
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No -21 -$19 93¢ $-20 $0 06-10 02:09
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No -20 -$17 96¢ $-19 -$2 07-22 08:14
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -18 -$18 99¢ $-18 +$0 07-22 08:15
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No -16 -$15 97¢ $-15 -$1 07-22 08:16
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$12 97¢ $-13 $0 07-22 08:17
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -13 -$11 91¢ $-11 $0 07-22 08:17
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -11 -$10 98¢ $-11 $0 07-22 08:17
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? No -20 -$14 40¢ $-8 +$6 07-22 08:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -19 -$6 36¢ $-7 -$1 06-10 01:52
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -40 -$12 12¢ $-5 +$7 07-22 08:13
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -52 -$5 8¢ $-4 +$1 07-22 08:13
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +16 $1 5¢ $1 $0 04-28 13:40
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +16 $0 2¢ $0 $0 04-28 13:40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -26 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-22 08:14