Oblong-Eagle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$542

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

219

Trades

29,801

lifetime

Volume

$347.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-05 04:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 66% +$185

Other

22% 50% $-725

Politics

0% 50% $-2

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1768060800	172	$5.6K	10,775	0	+10,775	open	—	01-10 16:14
btc updown 15m 1768078800	157	$4.0K	7,976	0	+7,976	open	—	01-10 21:13
btc updown 15m 1768066200	78	$3.0K	11,798	0	+11,798	open	—	01-10 17:44
btc updown 15m 1768067100	126	$2.9K	6,018	0	+6,018	open	—	01-10 17:57
tsla up or down on february 26 2026	10	$2.9K	1,830	1,344	+487	open	—	02-26 17:24
spx up or down on february 24 2026	11	$2.8K	1,439	1,439	+0	open	—	02-24 17:48
btc updown 15m 1768009500	59	$1.6K	3,151	0	+3,151	open	—	01-10 01:59
btc updown 15m 1768064400	16	$1.5K	2,928	0	+2,928	open	—	01-10 17:12
btc updown 15m 1768065300	40	$1.5K	2,928	0	+2,928	open	—	01-10 17:28
btc updown 15m 1768061700	69	$1.5K	3,615	0	+3,615	open	—	01-10 16:27
nvda up or down on march 3 2026	16	$1.4K	1,117	895	+222	open	—	03-03 19:43
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$1.3K	1,341	0	+1,341	open	—	05-01 00:40
btc updown 15m 1768008600	25	$1.3K	2,572	0	+2,572	open	—	01-10 01:44
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	107	$1.2K	4,449	346	+4,104	open	—	02-19 22:10
spx up or down on april 16 2026	17	$1.2K	708	708	+0	open	—	04-16 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	18	$1.2K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	05-19 10:14
nvda up or down on april 17 2026	22	$1.2K	915	915	+0	open	—	04-17 18:41
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner	32	$1.2K	1,772	281	+1,491	Weibo Gaming	+$156	05-07 09:52
spx up or down on april 17 2026	17	$1.1K	634	634	+0	open	—	04-17 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	15	$1.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-02 05:20
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	26	$1.1K	1,551	0	+1,551	open	—	04-30 06:00
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$1.1K	1,929	0	+1,929	open	—	01-13 19:00
rut up or down on february 26 2026	6	$1.1K	862	437	+425	open	—	02-26 18:43
atp kouame humbert 2026 04 06	167	$1.1K	2,249	0	+2,249	open	—	04-05 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	19	$1.0K	1,583	0	+1,583	open	—	05-19 09:39
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	14	$1.0K	1,698	0	+1,698	open	—	05-19 00:00
LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner	6	$1.0K	592	512	+80	NRG Esports	+$38	05-08 00:26
xrp updown 15m 1776765600	58	$1.0K	1,883	0	+1,883	open	—	04-21 10:15
aapl up or down on february 26 2026	9	$974	875	423	+452	open	—	02-26 19:00
spx up or down on april 15 2026	22	$949	1,399	1,399	+0	open	—	04-15 17:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 04:02:45	Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0xf92455…
07-22 08:17:30	Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x35c719…
07-22 08:17:12	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x98336d…
07-22 08:17:12	Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x42b3a5…
07-22 08:16:07	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x41310e…
07-22 08:15:34	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x44fab1…
07-22 08:14:28	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xff33d5…
07-22 08:14:27	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x19091b…
07-22 08:13:54	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x26006c…
07-22 08:13:52	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0x3f4895…
06-10 02:09:12	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x29192f…
06-10 02:01:51	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x958285…
05-21 02:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xe00401…
05-21 02:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xe51d3a…
05-21 02:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x75f2f4…
05-21 02:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xbaaafa…
05-21 02:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x9a67a5…
05-21 02:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xb0d0f0…
05-21 02:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x818423…
05-21 02:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x78e4b2…
05-21 02:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xcbf5ee…
05-21 02:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xa8757b…
05-21 02:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xc2b19c…
05-21 02:27:43	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x034f80…
05-21 02:27:38	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe07103…
05-21 02:27:38	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xa4f3b4…
05-21 02:22:21	bnb updown 5m 1779330000	Up	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x3c5dca…
05-21 02:21:34	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	813	82¢	$667	0x1c1ec7…
05-21 01:44:59	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x400a93…
05-21 01:44:56	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x851a9c…
05-21 01:44:56	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x32befa…
05-21 01:43:32	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	91	93¢	$84	0xab3475…
05-21 01:43:21	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xcf117a…
05-21 01:41:36	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x1e3fe3…
05-21 01:37:54	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0x46e1bd…
05-21 01:27:24	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xc86344…
05-21 01:27:24	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	74¢	$147	0x53b523…
05-21 01:27:12	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x82edfd…
05-21 01:24:59	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa1385c…
05-21 01:24:59	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	80¢	$26	0x09245b…
05-21 01:24:55	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3abb02…
05-21 01:24:54	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xcd4376…
05-21 01:24:54	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x2e9b2a…
05-21 01:24:52	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xee2b8d…
05-21 01:24:52	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	79¢	$13	0x6c4a1c…
05-21 01:24:45	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x4ac5c4…
05-21 01:24:05	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x533a69…
05-21 01:23:09	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcdfff9…
05-21 01:22:18	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0xf149fd…
05-21 01:21:41	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0x16f54d…
05-21 01:21:25	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x3ff65d…
05-21 01:09:44	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x437852…
05-21 01:08:34	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	94	61¢	$58	0x3c1bb3…
05-21 01:07:29	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x81874d…
05-21 01:03:40	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	69¢	$38	0xe9dab4…
05-21 01:01:09	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	877	75¢	$658	0x281881…
05-21 01:00:01	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x1127d4…
05-21 00:59:59	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xea35e2…
05-21 00:59:59	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc91357…
05-21 00:59:59	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0xb2cf72…
05-21 00:59:59	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x024c5d…
05-21 00:59:49	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0x7f9381…
05-21 00:59:49	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x2c89dd…
05-21 00:59:33	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x12a75f…
05-21 00:59:28	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x3e8906…
05-21 00:57:09	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	94	88¢	$83	0xe51f8e…
05-21 00:57:09	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe16b55…
05-21 00:56:41	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xdfbb5e…
05-21 00:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x88599e…
05-21 00:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x7aae3a…
05-20 23:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x2116a3…
05-20 23:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xc63b8e…
05-20 23:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xa84546…
05-20 23:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x189ede…
05-20 23:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x5cdd82…
05-20 23:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x4c84da…
05-20 23:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xb5c904…
05-20 23:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	81¢	$41	0xcc28b4…
05-20 23:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xdb8122…
05-20 23:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xd4b9ed…
05-20 23:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x671e83…
05-20 23:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x2d2dfa…
05-20 23:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xa63544…
05-20 23:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x108616…
05-20 23:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xbb8f13…
05-20 23:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x36f45b…
05-20 23:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x068b1b…
05-20 23:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x47b18e…
05-20 12:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x033d22…
05-20 12:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xa1fb51…
05-20 12:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x818cb1…
05-20 11:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xfd49ba…
05-20 11:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x18a1ef…
05-20 11:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xd47a9d…
05-20 11:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xbb2b33…
05-20 11:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xb57264…
05-20 11:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe8a0bc…
05-20 11:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x8909ab…
05-20 11:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x388f1a…
05-20 11:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x1e57fd…