Noteworthy-Punch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.38K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,885

lifetime

Volume

$188.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 09:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$2,014

Politics

46% 50% +$1,361

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	149	$21.3K	10,208	13,600	-3,392	No	+$2,014	05-05 05:06
iran closes its airspace by june 15	87	$11.7K	12,307	2,005	+10,302	open	—	06-07 18:36
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	49	$10.5K	9,023	3,646	+5,378	open	—	05-29 01:08
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	108	$9.4K	9,989	1,000	+8,989	open	—	03-31 01:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	24	$6.9K	3,578	4,378	-800	open	—	05-11 02:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	57	$6.1K	7,436	0	+7,436	No	+$1,362	05-07 18:50
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	45	$5.5K	6,131	0	+6,131	open	—	05-11 00:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	30	$5.4K	3,675	2,200	+1,475	open	—	06-24 03:26
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	24	$4.7K	3,324	3,374	-50	open	—	06-08 02:16
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	55	$4.6K	5,604	100	+5,504	open	—	02-23 17:54
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	70	$4.5K	5,613	0	+5,613	open	—	01-16 02:00
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	22	$4.4K	2,458	2,763	-304	open	—	01-03 14:22
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	55	$4.4K	3,395	2,600	+795	open	—	07-01 16:40
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	29	$4.3K	5,067	0	+5,067	open	—	05-26 11:46
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	9	$4.1K	4,941	0	+4,941	open	—	05-12 16:09
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	29	$3.9K	4,302	0	+4,302	open	—	05-18 07:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	60	$3.9K	3,853	3,853	+0	open	—	06-29 12:09
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	46	$3.8K	4,368	500	+3,868	open	—	05-04 16:09
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	40	$3.6K	4,019	0	+4,019	open	—	01-06 00:47
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	34	$3.5K	2,138	2,334	-196	open	—	02-28 15:43
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	15	$3.1K	1,689	1,689	+0	open	—	06-15 13:32
will wti reach 100 in august 2026	28	$2.9K	3,100	207	+2,893	open	—	08-11 06:07
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	30	$2.9K	2,376	2,456	-80	open	—	01-03 13:00
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	34	$2.9K	3,219	18	+3,201	open	—	05-26 17:53
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	34	$2.7K	1,551	1,551	+0	open	—	07-06 16:15
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	34	$2.7K	4,004	300	+3,704	open	—	06-22 08:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	29	$2.4K	1,293	1,694	-401	open	—	07-31 17:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	8	$2.2K	1,689	1,689	+0	open	—	06-20 00:05
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	41	$2.1K	0	2,287	-2,287	open	—	07-19 09:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	14	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-12 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 09:01:16	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x6aea84…
08-11 06:37:22	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x6ed4f0…
08-11 06:07:58	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xe6917f…
08-10 22:46:27	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x9fdc06…
08-10 18:43:19	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x21ff7c…
08-10 16:42:03	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x0ec9d7…
08-10 15:14:25	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x0a4ed3…
08-10 15:14:19	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xc4576c…
08-10 15:14:18	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xba3a26…
08-10 15:14:16	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xad2ccc…
08-10 15:14:16	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x9aac03…
08-10 14:56:06	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	84	89¢	$74	0xd3f9ad…
08-10 14:56:06	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x6264f2…
08-10 14:56:04	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xbc7511…
08-10 14:56:03	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x4c25c4…
08-10 14:56:00	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x0c8da7…
08-10 12:57:07	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	180	68¢	$122	0xfe4718…
08-10 12:54:28	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xd496e0…
08-10 03:10:33	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	136	90¢	$122	0x0278de…
08-09 21:09:58	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xe2dec0…
08-09 21:06:16	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xcf52cb…
08-09 19:57:24	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xc70da9…
08-09 17:37:40	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0xdd93ee…
08-09 17:17:07	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	46	81¢	$38	0xadf3c1…
08-09 17:01:51	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	54	81¢	$43	0xf6a3e4…
08-09 14:20:15	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd70d8d…
08-09 13:57:12	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	457	90¢	$412	0x39c124…
08-09 09:29:58	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	157	80¢	$126	0xc86419…
08-09 09:27:06	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	238	80¢	$190	0x883efa…
08-09 08:58:57	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8573f2…
08-06 16:18:35	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x8e7341…
08-04 23:50:06	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	SELL	207	93¢	$193	0x611448…
08-04 09:42:35	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xcd116a…
08-04 09:28:14	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	94	82¢	$77	0x56f0c4…
08-03 22:45:24	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x70edb8…
08-03 05:56:32	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x9801e8…
07-31 17:17:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	543	87¢	$473	0x57929c…
07-31 17:17:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	110	87¢	$96	0x731cb8…
07-31 17:17:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x942d88…
07-31 17:17:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x78392a…
07-31 17:17:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x9de5fe…
07-31 17:17:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x830843…
07-31 17:17:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x814f8d…
07-31 17:17:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4a97ac…
07-31 11:27:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xf2cc75…
07-31 10:57:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xc658d7…
07-31 10:56:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xc4af93…
07-31 10:04:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xafcda0…
07-31 09:40:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x77893b…
07-31 08:51:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x72aaff…
07-31 08:48:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x4b6ed1…
07-31 08:11:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xfee1ca…
07-31 01:54:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0xef9d65…
07-30 23:06:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x258c1a…
07-20 14:20:42	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x13506d…
07-19 20:30:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xf28f3c…
07-19 09:59:04	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$191	0x37d0a8…
07-19 07:56:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	400	78¢	$312	0x6f019a…
07-18 20:18:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x3064e6…
07-18 13:20:22	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x499fd8…
07-17 19:16:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xd9ce44…
07-17 12:06:55	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	353	95¢	$335	0xd2c6de…
07-17 09:05:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	84	73¢	$61	0x456b15…
07-17 09:04:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	293	73¢	$214	0xf86dc9…
07-17 09:01:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0xaeea0f…
07-16 22:12:01	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	84	95¢	$80	0x8e15f8…
07-16 20:35:58	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x99e41a…
07-14 20:29:31	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0xa69c9a…
07-14 19:15:50	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xcd8904…
07-06 16:15:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	393	88¢	$345	0x2f1ded…
07-06 14:41:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	154	83¢	$128	0x670668…
07-06 14:41:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	46	83¢	$38	0x141d98…
07-05 10:12:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1,158	89¢	$1,031	0x047ab9…
07-04 18:29:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xd9a8c4…
07-04 10:58:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	90	90¢	$81	0xfe3391…
07-04 09:33:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf0728b…
07-04 08:57:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x44e2e0…
07-04 08:39:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0xb9359a…
07-04 08:30:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x444929…
07-03 09:54:19	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260629202434611	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x5047df…
07-03 07:41:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	251	83¢	$208	0x0c6f6a…
07-03 04:09:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0xc6cec3…
07-03 03:51:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xd8eed8…
07-03 02:47:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xef9d2c…
07-02 23:41:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x689a8c…
07-02 23:41:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x6fbf18…
07-02 23:41:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x62d2c4…
07-02 23:41:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x23fb29…
07-02 23:41:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb373db…
07-02 23:41:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xaf9737…
07-02 23:41:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4d7cc9…
07-02 23:40:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	34	86¢	$29	0xcff73b…
07-02 23:40:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0x8fff77…
07-02 23:40:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfaacba…
07-02 23:40:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa18839…
07-02 23:40:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x514003…
07-02 23:40:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x19beff…
07-02 23:40:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xe3499e…
07-02 23:40:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xf42c91…
07-02 23:40:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0xecf46e…