Rich-Cage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-05 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 0% $-6

Other

11% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$21

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+33	$5	10¢	$3	$-2	06-04 19:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 2	9	$646	931	615	+316	open	—	02-02 16:06
btc updown 15m 1770737400	2	$536	345	340	+5	open	—	02-10 15:45
bitcoin up or down on january 31	9	$445	781	387	+393	open	—	01-31 14:26
btc updown 15m 1770821100	2	$433	298	293	+5	open	—	02-11 14:57
bitcoin up or down on february 4	11	$403	567	415	+152	open	—	02-04 13:46
highest temperature in mexico city on april 21 2026 27corhigher	6	$313	275	265	+10	open	—	04-21 20:59
btc updown 15m 1770847200	2	$311	226	223	+3	open	—	02-11 22:11
btc updown 15m 1770758100	3	$286	559	223	+336	open	—	02-10 21:29
btc updown 15m 1770870600	1	$250	505	0	+505	open	—	02-12 04:30
btc updown 15m 1770760800	2	$246	200	198	+2	open	—	02-10 22:15
btc updown 15m 1770775200	3	$238	214	213	+2	open	—	02-11 02:15
btc updown 15m 1770784200	2	$229	176	174	+2	open	—	02-11 04:43
btc updown 15m 1770418800	2	$212	166	164	+2	open	—	02-06 23:12
btc updown 15m 1770687000	3	$205	237	141	+96	open	—	02-10 01:45
highest temperature in mexico city on april 20 2026 24c	4	$195	148	143	+5	open	—	04-20 23:28
btc updown 15m 1770750900	2	$185	139	137	+2	open	—	02-10 19:31
btc updown 15m 1770764400	2	$179	171	170	+0	open	—	02-10 23:15
btc updown 15m 1770241500	3	$176	452	166	+286	open	—	02-04 21:58
btc updown 15m 1770666300	3	$174	174	125	+49	open	—	02-09 20:00
btc updown 15m 1770240600	4	$172	642	142	+501	open	—	02-04 21:43
btc updown 15m 1770335100	2	$153	113	112	+2	open	—	02-05 23:55
btc updown 15m 1770333300	2	$153	114	112	+2	open	—	02-05 23:23
btc updown 15m 1770334200	2	$142	100	98	+2	open	—	02-05 23:36
btc updown 15m 1770654600	2	$140	111	110	+1	open	—	02-09 16:46
btc updown 15m 1770820200	2	$139	91	90	+1	open	—	02-11 14:42
btc updown 15m 1770865200	1	$130	342	0	+342	open	—	02-12 03:04
btc updown 15m 1770687900	2	$126	104	104	+1	open	—	02-10 02:00
btc updown 15m 1770840000	3	$118	162	48	+114	open	—	02-11 20:15
highest temperature in mexico city on april 7 2026 25c	3	$115	93	90	+3	open	—	04-07 22:04
highest temperature in tokyo on april 14 2026 21c	2	$105	100	96	+4	open	—	04-14 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:36:03	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	Yes	SELL	106	11¢	$12	0x9ed279…
06-04 23:18:07	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 4	Yes	SELL	74	3¢	$3	0xee026d…
06-04 19:49:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x286d72…
06-04 16:02:40	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 4	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xcb1c21…
06-02 15:23:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0xeda76e…
05-21 21:04:20	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x3fbfeb…
05-21 20:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfbfa77…
05-21 20:57:18	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc255c4…
05-21 20:56:40	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x240575…
05-21 19:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa90efc…
05-12 18:32:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	316	1¢	$2	0x78ecb0…
05-10 16:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x56b446…
05-09 16:10:03	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x35d2d8…
05-05 16:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x617011…
05-05 16:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xddfb85…
05-01 00:34:28	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb27e16…
05-01 00:22:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	3,500	0¢	$7	0x47ba65…
05-01 00:21:40	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xe60e30…
04-30 21:32:50	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	800	0¢	$4	0x194dbc…
04-30 21:25:54	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	2,228	0¢	$9	0x44bdd2…
04-30 21:25:20	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8b9095…
04-30 18:10:54	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x613309…
04-30 14:45:42	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x766a87…
04-30 02:19:32	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0xc8404e…
04-30 01:57:26	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0xb8b6c4…
04-30 01:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xd9cada…
04-30 00:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xc0de69…
04-29 23:11:44	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x282df6…
04-29 22:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4fb46f…
04-29 22:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd997ff…
04-29 22:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf8bcab…
04-29 22:02:18	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	188	6¢	$12	0x652405…
04-29 21:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x444faa…
04-29 18:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7bd21c…
04-29 18:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x24bb99…
04-29 18:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xbdad8c…
04-29 18:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x40ace7…
04-29 18:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x28332a…
04-29 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x649469…
04-29 18:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x2a288f…
04-29 17:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xefaecf…
04-29 17:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x243e6f…
04-29 17:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xa1c0e3…
04-29 17:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb3d3af…
04-29 17:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xae657e…
04-29 17:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0x16624e…
04-29 17:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xecbce6…
04-29 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb7d223…
04-29 17:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x77b5b9…
04-27 16:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x612211…
04-27 14:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb7dfd9…
04-27 14:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3145ce…
04-27 14:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x018ea9…
04-27 14:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0xd52fce…
04-27 13:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 29?	Yes	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x5b99d4…
04-24 17:59:30	btc updown 5m 1777053300	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5c970b…
04-24 17:53:52	btc updown 5m 1777053000	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7bc28f…
04-24 17:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc3e872…
04-24 17:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd3b35d…
04-24 02:01:46	btc updown 5m 1776995700	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xb7c690…
04-23 23:19:50	btc updown 5m 1776986100	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xa8112e…
04-23 23:13:56	btc updown 5m 1776985800	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x1775d9…
04-23 22:59:36	btc updown 5m 1776984900	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x031b9c…
04-23 22:57:48	btc updown 5m 1776984900	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x6ca4f6…
04-23 22:55:00	btc updown 5m 1776984600	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x29cc01…
04-23 22:50:00	btc updown 5m 1776984300	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x672d42…
04-23 22:45:00	btc updown 5m 1776984000	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe99d7e…
04-23 22:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x546b4e…
04-23 17:59:56	btc updown 5m 1776966900	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe5223a…
04-23 17:54:00	btc updown 5m 1776966600	Down	BUY	334	1¢	$3	0xf5df73…
04-23 17:32:44	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 27c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x482ff4…
04-23 15:10:04	bitcoin above 80k on april 23	Yes	SELL	472	0¢	$0	0xda693e…
04-23 01:54:58	btc updown 5m 1776909000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x93d383…
04-23 01:52:50	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 28corhigher	Yes	BUY	198	1¢	$1	0x27d872…
04-23 01:44:56	btc updown 5m 1776908400	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x783543…
04-23 01:41:30	bitcoin above 80k on april 23	Yes	BUY	505	10¢	$50	0xacac74…
04-23 01:39:08	btc updown 5m 1776908100	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x7ba34c…
04-23 01:35:04	btc updown 5m 1776907800	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1cc1e1…
04-23 01:29:52	btc updown 5m 1776907500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0574d0…
04-23 01:28:04	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 27c	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbd010f…
04-23 01:25:04	btc updown 5m 1776907200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x146665…
04-23 01:08:10	highest temperature in mexico city on april 23 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	331	2¢	$5	0x546fa5…
04-23 01:04:16	btc updown 5m 1776906000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2e23c2…
04-23 00:55:04	btc updown 5m 1776905400	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x6067a5…
04-23 00:49:08	btc updown 5m 1776905100	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2b7141…
04-23 00:44:38	btc updown 5m 1776904800	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8e8296…
04-23 00:39:46	btc updown 5m 1776904500	Down	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x1f7787…
04-23 00:34:18	btc updown 5m 1776904200	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc41717…
04-23 00:33:52	btc updown 5m 1776904200	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xbb1832…
04-23 00:23:42	btc updown 5m 1776903600	Up	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0xee4956…
04-23 00:22:46	btc updown 5m 1776903600	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x97d18c…
04-23 00:19:38	btc updown 5m 1776903300	Up	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x791939…
04-23 00:17:04	btc updown 5m 1776903300	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6c865d…
04-23 00:14:04	btc updown 5m 1776903000	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1b7399…
04-23 00:13:06	btc updown 5m 1776903000	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5720bc…
04-23 00:03:38	btc updown 5m 1776902400	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x0453cf…
04-23 00:02:58	btc updown 5m 1776902400	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9866ea…
04-23 00:02:12	btc updown 5m 1776902400	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc06d0b…
04-23 00:00:08	btc updown 5m 1776902100	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x126ffd…
04-22 23:50:08	btc updown 5m 1776901500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7feffc…