Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$410
$1,387 in 24h
Trades
71
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$3,700
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 14:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $100 | $100 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $6 | $284 | $277 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $38 | $38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | $143 | $143 |
| Median | 10 | $3 | $79 | $77 |
| Below median | 12 | $4 | $54 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $51 | $51 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big-Warrior 0x9012…dc9d | Yes | +84 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 12:29 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +65 | $64 | $64 | 3 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Unhappy-Parameter-Atelier 0x4fc3…3af9 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-11 04:13 |
| Young-Shipper 0x96cf…644a | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-11 14:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | Yes | +41 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 14:12 |
| Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-11 13:09 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 7 | 05-10 10:51 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-11 11:08 |
| Flat-Opponent 0xde2a…fac1 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 13:12 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +17 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 11:56 |
| Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 15:16 |
| Weighty-Triangle-Town 0xc4ba…b4fb | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 16:02 |
| Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 07:40 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 09:18 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 00:18 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 10:23 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 23:46 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 09:58 |
| Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 12:00 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 13:14 |
| Dirty-Dragonfly 0x0b8d…4e44 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 14:46:56 | Dirty-Dragonfly 0x0b8d…4e44 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x27ea03… |
| 05-11 14:07:42 | Young-Shipper 0x96cf…644a | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x5dddf5… |
| 05-11 13:23:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x22945e… |
| 05-11 13:14:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xd14ef5… |
| 05-11 13:14:30 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x369a0f… |
| 05-11 13:14:09 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x8225bc… |
| 05-11 13:12:08 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x86c4e0… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Flat-Opponent 0xde2a…fac1 | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xb209f9… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x68191f… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7b6ed2… |
| 05-11 13:12:06 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaa6e4d… |
| 05-11 13:09:34 | Ornery-Starboard 0x50b1…0793 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xbcc503… |
| 05-11 12:29:23 | Big-Warrior 0x9012…dc9d | Yes | BUY | 84 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x1e5c0d… |
| 05-11 11:08:02 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x63ada4… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb00482… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4000d8… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfc5623… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x378d67… |
| 05-11 10:23:10 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4b0a10… |
| 05-11 10:22:13 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe64bed… |
| 05-11 10:22:13 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xc9e1cf… |
| 05-11 09:58:30 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0d5f57… |
| 05-11 07:40:10 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x530a14… |
| 05-11 07:40:08 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x89a31c… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x293875… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xd60ebc… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xd3b3d4… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9fbc2a… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd5eab4… |
| 05-11 07:40:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa769e3… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x639554… |
| 05-11 07:39:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa112dc… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x54af42… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x464cd4… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x063464… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x8001a1… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5befa4… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x37976b… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x49ba7f… |
| 05-11 04:37:50 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x413d5b… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38bd13… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe36d61… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf18fc7… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x64c421… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa9e670… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5641c1… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0x4416fc… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xef203d… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc91668… |
| 05-11 04:37:49 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x709af2… |
| 05-11 04:13:05 | Unhappy-Parameter-Atelier 0x4fc3…3af9 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xea501f… |
| 05-11 00:54:15 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x79a213… |
| 05-11 00:18:57 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x736c60… |
| 05-10 23:46:16 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x965d6b… |
| 05-10 16:02:41 | Weighty-Triangle-Town 0xc4ba…b4fb | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8868a6… |
| 05-10 15:16:13 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x297e1f… |
| 05-10 15:16:01 | Vivacious-Venison 0x1919…45c1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xffdb18… |
| 05-10 14:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x2b0f…75e5 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xc466ac… |
| 05-10 14:06:06 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd25bbb… |
| 05-10 13:27:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe3cc38… |
| 05-10 12:10:36 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2dca88… |
| 05-10 12:00:27 | Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x514493… |
| 05-10 11:56:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x85617e… |
| 05-10 10:51:50 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x75744f… |
| 05-10 10:51:46 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3dca46… |
| 05-10 10:51:43 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe040f0… |
| 05-10 10:51:41 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xe149fd… |
| 05-10 10:51:23 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xeb191c… |
| 05-10 10:51:22 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x156fbf… |
| 05-10 10:51:18 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xd0b1be… |
| 05-10 09:18:38 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xe3c9c2… |