Nutty-Link — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$2.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-05 15:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

61% — —

Crypto

25% 72% +$15

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	7	$364	2,635	209	+2,425	open	—	02-24 22:30
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$271	120	237	-117	open	—	04-27 20:59
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	4	$245	192	192	+0	open	—	04-26 23:33
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$151	199	178	+21	open	—	05-11 11:15
will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	4	$131	135	61	+74	open	—	02-24 22:29
will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	2	$127	78	78	+0	open	—	03-28 21:53
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	3	$123	80	64	+16	open	—	05-26 09:40
will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	1	$110	414	0	+414	open	—	02-22 22:32
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	3	$89	55	55	+0	open	—	04-20 00:13
will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 795 942	2	$63	77	77	+0	open	—	03-26 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	5	$62	64	17	+47	open	—	04-27 21:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$43	54	54	+0	open	—	05-15 14:43
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	1	$40	54	0	+54	open	—	01-31 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$31	41	22	+19	Down	+$10	05-09 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$30	85	0	+85	Up	$-30	05-10 12:39
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	1	$30	131	0	+131	open	—	05-04 02:23
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	2	$28	43	43	+0	open	—	04-12 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$28	25	24	+1	open	—	04-27 03:12
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$26	56	56	+0	open	—	05-15 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$20	40	0	+40	Up	$-20	05-07 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$20	38	0	+38	Down	+$18	05-08 04:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-27 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$20	26	8	+18	open	—	05-16 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$19	79	0	+79	Down	$-19	05-11 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$19	19	12	+7	Up	+$0	05-09 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$17	24	18	+5	Down	$-8	05-09 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:29:22	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x55b606…
06-05 15:26:51	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0x2056b2…
05-26 09:40:19	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xa2be92…
05-18 02:59:05	Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x632527…
05-16 21:12:57	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x64cd7a…
05-16 21:07:38	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x94fb05…
05-16 21:06:56	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2711d9…
05-16 13:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7aa0e9…
05-16 13:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x980833…
05-16 13:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb54574…
05-16 13:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3a1334…
05-16 05:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x02319b…
05-16 04:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x004a8d…
05-16 04:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe7c9d1…
05-16 04:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x1fd919…
05-16 04:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1e5963…
05-15 22:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xdcf596…
05-15 22:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x766d67…
05-15 22:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x99ca1d…
05-15 22:09:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	56	10¢	$6	0x44af7e…
05-15 22:09:03	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2483da…
05-15 14:43:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	24¢	$13	0x869427…
05-11 11:15:42	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x06b8cf…
05-11 08:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	13	90¢	$11	0xcf4d3a…
05-11 08:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8a422a…
05-11 06:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xa45815…
05-11 06:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x98c762…
05-11 06:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0xe963c2…
05-11 06:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x503d09…
05-11 06:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0x4536d5…
05-11 06:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x055e5b…
05-11 06:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x064705…
05-11 06:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2f7a05…
05-11 06:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xadd2f8…
05-11 03:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0x4ef1b3…
05-11 02:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	14¢	$6	0x77ab07…
05-11 02:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x609be8…
05-11 02:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x305556…
05-11 02:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x657102…
05-11 02:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x0dbd2c…
05-11 02:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x97c32a…
05-10 19:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x5cfc3c…
05-10 14:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa58bd4…
05-10 13:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2fca36…
05-10 13:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd57e94…
05-10 13:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xece1b8…
05-10 13:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc56540…
05-10 12:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x207aa6…
05-10 12:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xcbb24b…
05-10 12:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x874ea1…
05-10 12:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x947fce…
05-10 12:34:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	178	37¢	$66	0x058f86…
05-10 00:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9a9ff2…
05-09 13:40:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x98a520…
05-09 09:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd9dc62…
05-09 09:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x499dcd…
05-09 09:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4a820a…
05-09 09:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x5e3d15…
05-09 09:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x635aa8…
05-09 09:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfef74d…
05-09 04:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0911a7…
05-09 04:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xc58800…
05-09 04:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xd5e4be…
05-09 04:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xdf5bfd…
05-09 04:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe40d2d…
05-09 04:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe7983c…
05-09 04:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1ed0cd…
05-09 04:03:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x050ffc…
05-09 03:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x464fe1…
05-09 03:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x58551c…
05-09 03:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x777e31…
05-09 03:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa2a464…
05-08 04:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc5779f…
05-08 04:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd326a5…
05-08 04:40:54	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x38828c…
05-08 01:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xb9c025…
05-08 01:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5b56d5…
05-08 01:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xdca038…
05-07 10:01:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xc705b2…
05-07 09:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x0a9df1…
05-07 09:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xfb23e3…
05-07 09:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x74090d…
05-07 09:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x6cf1cc…
05-07 09:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x868f26…
05-04 02:23:28	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	131	23¢	$30	0xd2da65…
05-04 02:20:30	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0x8ae937…
04-28 21:59:50	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x0b05fc…
04-27 21:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x521ca0…
04-27 21:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x79265d…
04-27 21:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x1f7877…
04-27 21:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x1e05fe…
04-27 21:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb6e7a9…
04-27 21:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf02235…
04-27 21:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xaec555…
04-27 21:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x632bd8…
04-27 21:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7378a3…
04-27 20:59:18	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	237	72¢	$171	0x84efa9…
04-27 03:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0xf3a990…
04-27 03:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x352484…
04-27 03:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0886c6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	55	$73.1K	2,637	06-09 17:58
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	44	$79.4K	3,050	05-16 13:49
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	44	$12.7K	1,368	05-16 13:48
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	44	$9.81K	445	05-16 13:46
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	44	$9.51K	2,935	05-16 13:49
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	44	$9.25K	2,714	05-16 13:49
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	44	$9.20K	1,726	05-16 13:49
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	44	$8.57K	590	05-16 13:49