Honored-Cutlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

76.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-29 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 59% $-46

Other

31% — —

Tech

17% — —

Politics

7% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		-20	$14	0¢	$-0	$-15	06-29 19:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$406	449	0	+449	open	—	04-26 20:11
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$294	171	171	+0	open	—	04-13 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$234	139	139	+0	Up	+$34	05-08 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$234	135	135	+0	Down	+$34	05-08 19:40
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$150	241	0	+241	open	—	04-27 19:53
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$135	163	0	+163	open	—	04-27 19:49
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$110	183	0	+183	open	—	05-13 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$110	129	0	+129	Up	+$19	05-08 19:17
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	1	$110	125	0	+125	open	—	04-29 12:07
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$100	128	0	+128	open	—	04-27 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$100	192	0	+192	Up	$-100	05-06 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$100	149	0	+149	Up	+$49	05-06 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$100	115	0	+115	Down	$-100	05-06 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$100	146	0	+146	Down	+$46	05-06 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$100	125	0	+125	Up	+$25	05-06 19:37
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	2	$88	48	48	+0	open	—	05-02 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$82	53	53	+0	Down	+$22	05-06 22:41
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	2	$77	47	47	+0	open	—	05-21 21:31
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$66	41	40	+1	open	—	04-28 15:24
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	2	$54	60	60	+0	open	—	04-14 19:08
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	04-27 20:02
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$50	68	0	+68	open	—	04-13 21:33
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$48	28	28	+0	open	—	04-25 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$40	49	0	+49	Down	+$9	05-06 19:33
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	04-13 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	Down	$-30	05-09 13:32
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	2	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	04-26 21:35
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$27	39	39	+0	open	—	04-14 19:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$26	37	36	+1	open	—	04-28 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 19:59:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0x61a721…
06-15 07:01:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1fd6f1…
06-15 06:52:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x75bf34…
06-10 12:15:16	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	14¢	$8	0xd34cef…
05-21 21:31:21	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x2326e2…
05-20 22:17:02	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x414260…
05-13 19:38:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xab5e48…
05-11 16:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x3c5198…
05-11 12:18:21	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x144534…
05-09 22:46:46	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x1ae045…
05-09 13:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xcae3ac…
05-08 22:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x84a523…
05-08 20:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x818810…
05-08 20:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x8fd06d…
05-08 20:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x8522d2…
05-08 19:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x570b8c…
05-08 19:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xd6ba26…
05-08 19:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	345	4¢	$15	0x4f00e9…
05-08 19:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	129	85¢	$110	0x67a3af…
05-08 19:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2b5ec8…
05-08 19:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xbf438b…
05-08 19:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x973ae7…
05-08 18:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfe1a8a…
05-08 18:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9860cf…
05-07 20:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1aea8f…
05-07 19:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x3b6f5d…
05-07 19:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc74ec1…
05-07 19:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb31e44…
05-07 19:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x061068…
05-06 22:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x048d15…
05-06 22:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x68c413…
05-06 22:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x225941…
05-06 21:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	146	69¢	$100	0x831d2d…
05-06 21:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd73375…
05-06 21:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xaadeec…
05-06 19:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x6a6d36…
05-06 19:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x654bc3…
05-06 19:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xa5144d…
05-06 19:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0d951a…
05-06 19:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x830f82…
05-06 19:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0b1f7a…
05-06 18:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf0f83f…
05-06 18:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x496552…
05-02 09:42:04	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xa4acb9…
04-29 12:27:26	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0cadcc…
04-29 12:09:32	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x570773…
04-29 12:07:08	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0x8e0f39…
04-28 15:24:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xc91ddd…
04-28 15:24:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0xb544ba…
04-28 04:43:54	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xfd6541…
04-28 04:43:54	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x931291…
04-27 20:17:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xc13748…
04-27 20:11:22	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x53665b…
04-27 20:02:34	Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xfd130e…
04-27 19:53:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	62¢	$150	0x25c463…
04-27 19:49:40	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	163	83¢	$135	0x1e998f…
04-26 21:35:08	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x7a31cc…
04-26 20:11:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	91¢	$271	0xf01c06…
04-25 10:06:44	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0xd27f17…
04-25 10:05:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xc39abb…
04-24 21:02:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	88¢	$35	0x6d2107…
04-20 20:42:50	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x26b3e6…
04-15 13:27:20	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0x92fa51…
04-14 19:08:36	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	60	32¢	$19	0x894edb…
04-14 19:07:44	Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x1563cd…
04-13 22:03:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xe2b6a7…
04-13 21:33:33	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x09c107…
04-13 20:55:11	Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x84ec6c…
04-13 20:54:21	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x9650fc…
04-13 20:52:01	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xa9fa2a…
04-13 20:45:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	171	99¢	$169	0x4a8a69…
04-11 11:27:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	157	73¢	$115	0x29c9d6…
04-10 22:21:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xe10e89…