Yearly-Offramp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

798

Trades

1,627

lifetime

Volume

$3.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-27 20:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 83% +$42

Other

21% 78% +$32

Politics

10% 68% -$5

Sports

4% 52% -$24

Tech

1% 78% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+6	$5	100¢	$6	+$1	09-12 13:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	07-29 17:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	+$0	07-29 17:03
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-5	-$1	21¢	$-1	$0	08-10 15:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-2	$0	18¢	$-0	$0	08-10 15:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cwbb ala vand 2026 02 26	3	$63	32	32	+0	Vanderbilt Commodores	+$0	02-27 02:37
fif ksa egy 2026 03 26 egy	2	$53	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	11	$47	51	0	+51	Down	+$4	09-15 21:18
will the us next strike iran on february 2 2026 et	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	02-03 16:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	3	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$4	07-17 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	09-04 14:21
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$39	41	0	+41	No	+$2	10-26 19:02
lol bar brt 2026 03 10	1	$36	36	0	+36	Barça eSports	+$1	03-10 17:36
us strikes iran by january 27 2026 458 884 547 617 932	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	01-27 20:54
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	01-28 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	6	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	10-23 15:27
cricnt20c fai pes 2026 03 13	1	$29	29	0	+29	Faisalabad Region	+$0	03-13 14:38
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries	3	$27	14	14	+0	Golden State Valkyries	+$1	05-29 04:39
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$0	02-13 23:32
cdr alb fcb 2026 02 03 fcb	1	$24	29	0	+29	Yes	+$5	02-03 16:39
crint nam3 npl2 2026 07 27	2	$23	12	12	+0	Namibia	+$1	07-27 17:03
cricodc lan ken 2026 07 28	2	$22	12	12	+0	Lancashire	+$2	07-28 16:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:30 UTC	6	$22	23	0	+23	Down	+$1	10-05 13:32
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August?	2	$21	15	15	+0	No	+$1	08-27 16:48
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$21	23	0	+23	No	+$2	01-29 12:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$3	07-29 18:58
mlb bal min 2026 08 11	2	$20	10	10	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$0	08-12 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$20	36	0	+36	Up	+$16	10-08 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$20	23	0	+23	Down	-$8	10-23 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	4	$20	22	0	+22	Up	+$2	10-08 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	10-23 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$19	20	0	+20	Down	+$1	09-02 21:03
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-19 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	10-06 14:09
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-08?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	08-08 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfbb78c…
10-27 18:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x70ba3f…
10-27 18:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa628cf…
10-27 18:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6230f2…
10-27 18:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x051c32…
10-27 18:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf98e64…
10-27 18:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x205f11…
10-27 18:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x65e9d5…
10-27 18:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x634036…
10-27 18:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x102432…
10-27 18:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa81073…
10-26 19:02:47	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x0bbfd9…
10-26 17:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa5d659…
10-26 17:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x259fad…
10-26 17:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa46b98…
10-26 17:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x73ab7b…
10-24 20:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe50227…
10-24 20:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x85f999…
10-23 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbe478c…
10-23 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0fcd64…
10-23 19:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5bbb2a…
10-23 19:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x67d0f5…
10-23 18:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe5b8d3…
10-23 18:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x09993d…
10-23 18:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x996127…
10-23 18:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7d37a9…
10-23 18:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9ca3d0…
10-23 18:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcae0ad…
10-23 18:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef98ca…
10-23 18:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa72ea0…
10-23 18:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x10cd93…
10-23 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa4dff6…
10-23 17:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x48bf09…
10-23 16:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6219ea…
10-23 16:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7263f3…
10-23 16:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x779651…
10-23 16:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa1ed99…
10-23 16:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2355df…
10-23 15:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x66428c…
10-23 15:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4092e5…
10-23 15:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4ef620…
10-23 15:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0c16f1…
10-23 15:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfced53…
10-23 15:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf2fa13…
10-23 15:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc2ed69…
10-23 15:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x5d1c22…
10-23 15:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd3f01d…
10-23 15:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcdf684…
10-23 15:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9a71c6…
10-23 15:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdcc3bc…
10-23 15:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x71f54c…
10-23 15:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x440aea…
10-23 15:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdb187e…
10-23 14:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0d8a7c…
10-23 14:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x040dcd…
10-23 14:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4afa63…
10-23 14:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf359f…
10-23 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf3d2ff…
10-23 14:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xde179b…
10-23 14:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x676010…
10-23 14:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xb25c5d…
10-23 14:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xba5567…
10-23 14:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0c14a5…
10-23 13:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9c586b…
10-23 13:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x09bdb8…
10-23 02:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9ec94d…
10-23 02:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0c594a…
10-23 00:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x980eca…
10-23 00:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3010fb…
10-23 00:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x751804…
10-23 00:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd10fe1…
10-23 00:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6bf5c8…
10-23 00:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbaf962…
10-22 22:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2f0eb1…
10-22 21:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd42ca8…
10-22 21:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfc837e…
10-22 21:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xefb718…
10-22 21:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xede888…
10-22 21:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9b2522…
10-21 21:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd0f54c…
10-21 21:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9831de…
10-21 20:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x40820b…
10-21 20:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2676b9…
10-21 20:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc38f8a…
10-21 20:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x470e08…
10-21 20:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x83739c…
10-21 20:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d3e79…
10-21 19:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4189f4…
10-21 19:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd8a8b3…
10-21 19:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x780e09…
10-21 19:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x44dadd…
10-21 19:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6b8a23…
10-21 18:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x52681b…
10-21 18:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x63d8d6…
10-21 18:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x511c29…
10-21 18:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0b0d74…
10-21 17:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7e5820…
10-21 17:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x899d3a…
10-21 17:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x662a4f…
10-21 17:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce454d…