Untrue-Claim — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.9%

Resolved

Trades

278

lifetime

Volume

$9.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 03-26 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

51% 25% $-1

Other

30% 0% $-0

Politics

10% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	11	$450	237	237	+0	open	—	03-01 04:18
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	9	$442	233	233	+0	open	—	02-12 10:40
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$411	214	214	+0	No	$-0	03-22 06:48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	16	$395	205	205	+0	No	$-0	02-27 05:48
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	9	$334	171	171	+0	open	—	03-01 04:20
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$329	172	172	+0	open	—	03-18 00:55
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$325	168	168	+0	open	—	03-01 04:08
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	9	$288	153	153	+0	open	—	02-26 19:24
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	8	$276	148	148	+0	open	—	03-08 23:45
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$212	109	109	+0	No	$-0	03-08 04:31
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$210	110	110	+0	open	—	03-22 20:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	03-26 16:07
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$203	105	105	+0	open	—	02-12 10:20
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	03-01 04:17
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$191	101	101	+0	open	—	03-21 20:21
will the jacksonville jaguars win super bowl 2026	5	$179	96	96	+0	open	—	01-11 19:53
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$178	94	94	+0	Yes	$-0	03-12 14:19
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$176	92	92	+0	open	—	03-23 00:55
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	01-31 03:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	6	$126	65	65	+0	open	—	03-01 04:04
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$124	63	63	+0	open	—	01-12 21:10
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	6	$121	64	64	+0	No	$-0	02-03 16:56
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$120	62	62	+0	open	—	01-13 07:36
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	2	$119	61	61	+0	open	—	02-12 10:34
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	02-12 10:39
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$116	59	59	+0	open	—	02-27 05:45
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	02-07 08:30
2026 the players championship winner collin morikawa win	2	$113	59	59	+0	open	—	03-11 13:19
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$113	60	60	+0	open	—	02-07 08:29
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$111	58	58	+0	open	—	02-26 19:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-26 16:07:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$48	0x755cab…
03-26 12:03:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x38ca5e…
03-26 05:37:29	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x341b98…
03-26 01:29:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xc03a90…
03-25 20:06:47	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xaa24cf…
03-25 13:04:47	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xe1228f…
03-25 12:52:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x0f1b69…
03-25 07:48:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x5fbcf0…
03-24 20:24:59	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x0168ab…
03-24 13:24:41	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x37bbd1…
03-24 07:56:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0xd08e8c…
03-24 07:34:09	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3e976f…
03-24 07:28:05	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xdea26a…
03-23 16:49:41	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0xcb84f1…
03-23 12:46:45	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x0a4f16…
03-23 00:55:09	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0x56f42b…
03-22 20:51:31	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x81e206…
03-22 20:33:41	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xab76b8…
03-22 15:28:17	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x3abdae…
03-22 06:48:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$43	0x1f0c36…
03-22 02:46:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$43	0x989111…
03-21 20:21:25	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x6656b4…
03-21 13:14:27	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xd313ac…
03-21 12:58:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x6f1acd…
03-21 06:49:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$55	0xf780d7…
03-20 23:27:07	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0xa93cf1…
03-20 17:06:21	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x31d917…
03-20 16:55:37	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x4e7d47…
03-20 12:43:57	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x013dd8…
03-20 11:59:55	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x3c94a7…
03-20 07:47:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x5c2101…
03-20 07:41:21	will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x4f360a…
03-19 23:41:11	will gonzaga win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x27bd08…
03-19 23:33:53	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x411604…
03-19 18:29:49	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x2a2b42…
03-19 03:23:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$55	0x4380ae…
03-18 19:16:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$55	0x54a21f…
03-18 00:55:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x82a237…
03-17 17:55:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x2665b3…
03-17 17:27:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x46b88b…
03-17 10:11:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x7a9061…
03-16 09:31:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0x23cd4e…
03-16 05:20:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	53	96¢	$52	0x8db9f0…
03-16 00:46:25	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x5d0728…
03-15 19:42:59	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x672358…
03-15 19:25:19	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x9bb485…
03-15 11:40:53	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x0a50fe…
03-15 05:36:03	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x9a01cc…
03-13 10:45:11	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x65063e…
03-13 02:22:33	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x515686…
03-12 14:19:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0xe6a2a3…
03-12 10:10:45	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	47	94¢	$45	0x45e6c5…
03-12 09:49:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	47	94¢	$45	0x98394b…
03-12 04:12:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	47	94¢	$45	0x842901…
03-12 04:01:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$53	0xfaf51e…
03-11 20:56:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x45a861…
03-11 13:19:47	2026 the players championship winner collin morikawa win	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x6f37ff…
03-11 09:12:47	2026 the players championship winner collin morikawa win	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xb8e73b…
03-10 07:22:53	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x13c436…
03-09 23:18:53	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0x4cadac…
03-09 15:42:51	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0x95c764…
03-09 07:34:53	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0xfbeb0d…
03-08 23:45:03	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$46	0xca5b0f…
03-08 14:54:37	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa20f82…
03-08 14:52:17	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x23c6f1…
03-08 14:14:13	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	58	93¢	$54	0xa3ac02…
03-08 11:40:53	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$24	0x492613…
03-08 10:52:07	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x2665ba…
03-08 05:54:27	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x9f2783…
03-08 04:31:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0xdd3f63…
03-08 04:00:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$53	0x308fb6…
03-07 10:09:27	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x4cc5f0…
03-07 03:30:39	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xffab51…
03-07 03:08:49	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x2e1b0a…
03-06 19:46:03	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xf582b8…
03-06 12:41:03	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x8a6f5f…
03-06 12:27:29	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x2f6f3e…
03-06 07:07:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x45f4c9…
03-05 00:24:29	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x85000d…
03-04 19:45:11	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0xf52dd3…
03-04 19:05:41	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0xc9b480…
03-04 12:48:57	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xe153a2…
03-04 12:41:51	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	92¢	$37	0x8eb0cd…
03-01 04:22:25	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x13bbbe…
03-01 04:21:55	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$50	0x0739bd…
03-01 04:20:37	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x219443…
03-01 04:20:09	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	53	98¢	$51	0xb55137…
03-01 04:18:31	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x8f0c3d…
03-01 04:17:59	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x509ef9…
03-01 04:17:33	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$54	0x67531b…
03-01 04:16:57	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$54	0xb1410e…
03-01 04:15:19	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x84c04e…
03-01 04:14:43	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0xc1a0c6…
03-01 04:08:25	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xfd5446…
03-01 04:07:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x72eb77…
03-01 04:04:35	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x856f6c…
03-01 04:04:09	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe47d91…
02-27 22:19:47	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0ec42c…
02-27 17:07:27	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4e264f…
02-27 17:05:41	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4be85b…