Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$102

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

247

14,846 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$24.0K

$1.08M lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$133

1 position

First seen

2026-06-22

last 11-01 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 130 days

Categories

Other

99% 84% +$2,659

Crypto

1% 57% -$127

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 1107 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+465	$135	29¢	$133	-$2	11-01 16:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	19	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$565	08-19 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?	37	$9.2K	4,831	4,831	+0	Yes	+$236	08-09 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 6?	3	$8.1K	8,100	0	+8,100	No	+$9	07-06 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9?	41	$7.8K	7,853	9	+7,844	Yes	+$65	08-09 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?	89	$7.7K	8,176	600	+7,576	Yes	-$24	07-16 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	29	$7.7K	7,755	35	+7,720	Yes	+$124	08-26 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 1?	90	$7.2K	6,580	1,100	+5,480	No	-$63	08-01 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	23	$6.8K	3,445	3,445	+0	open	—	10-30 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?	73	$6.5K	7,202	0	+7,202	Yes	+$663	07-06 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	66	$6.4K	5,631	1,481	+4,151	Yes	+$461	08-20 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on June 30?	1	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$6	06-30 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?	34	$5.9K	5,849	226	+5,623	Yes	+$161	07-21 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?	18	$5.7K	2,889	2,889	+0	Yes	+$47	08-31 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	28	$5.7K	5,481	406	+5,074	Yes	+$80	08-18 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 26?	24	$5.7K	2,856	2,856	+0	Yes	+$55	08-26 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 17?	11	$5.6K	5,734	0	+5,734	No	+$159	08-17 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 25?	16	$5.4K	2,711	2,711	+0	No	+$52	07-25 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 29?	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	06-29 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?	69	$4.9K	3,928	1,423	+2,505	No	-$192	08-18 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4?	36	$4.9K	5,118	0	+5,118	Yes	+$222	08-04 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	22	$4.8K	4,917	0	+4,917	Yes	+$106	08-27 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	58	$4.7K	4,340	814	+3,525	No	+$407	08-12 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	20	$4.7K	4,306	505	+3,801	No	+$108	07-21 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 11?	1	$4.7K	4,685	0	+4,685	No	+$5	07-12 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?	48	$4.7K	2,411	2,411	+0	Yes	+$156	08-02 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	28	$4.6K	2,405	2,405	+0	No	+$172	08-09 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?	39	$4.4K	2,289	2,289	+0	No	+$76	08-20 09:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?	10	$4.3K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	+$219	07-05 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	28	$4.3K	2,163	2,163	+0	Yes	+$45	08-10 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?	59	$4.3K	4,577	0	+4,577	Yes	+$316	07-31 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 16:08:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	465	29¢	$135	0x3d3da1…
10-31 08:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe49456…
10-31 08:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x631f84…
10-31 08:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0x455fd7…
10-31 08:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd869f1…
10-31 06:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x44666c…
10-31 05:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x7c7c1f…
10-31 05:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$112	0x177690…
10-31 05:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	187	98¢	$183	0xcd32e2…
10-31 05:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xc17ea0…
10-31 05:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	126	96¢	$120	0x2fa107…
10-31 05:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x80a169…
10-31 05:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0x9fd9f4…
10-31 05:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3578b…
10-31 05:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xe6345d…
10-31 05:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x026a88…
10-31 05:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x87d474…
10-30 13:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	111	98¢	$108	0xa31a7b…
10-30 13:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x3278c8…
10-30 13:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x1b5c0c…
10-30 13:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x66d2df…
10-30 13:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf3f04f…
10-30 13:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb9918d…
10-30 13:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xb08781…
10-30 13:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x223dab…
10-30 13:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa1908d…
10-30 08:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0xd6b5c9…
10-30 07:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x24caca…
10-30 06:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x2ac234…
10-30 05:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xea412e…
10-30 05:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xc28945…
10-30 05:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9a2105…
10-30 05:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xcd0c12…
10-30 05:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0x24f16d…
10-30 04:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xea56f9…
10-30 04:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x052929…
10-30 04:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	3,127	100¢	$3,123	0xef4993…
10-30 04:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xa01a91…
10-30 04:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0xcb6389…
10-30 04:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x0c050b…
10-30 04:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xda0f2e…
10-30 04:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x0e4804…
10-30 04:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x45d0b9…
10-30 04:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xdcfff0…
10-30 04:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x38eb4d…
10-30 04:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x0f8985…
10-30 04:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x139481…
10-30 04:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	168	89¢	$150	0x0109b9…
10-30 04:06:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x6c63ee…
10-30 04:01:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	128	89¢	$114	0x23b1ef…
10-30 03:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x61f86a…
10-30 03:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xf4e463…
10-30 03:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x040b1e…
10-30 03:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x37445b…
10-30 03:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xc3cb84…
10-30 03:38:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	226	88¢	$199	0x079e3b…
10-30 03:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa0ed01…
10-30 03:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x79bfa8…
10-30 03:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$23	0xee7728…
10-30 03:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	350	96¢	$337	0xf81255…
10-30 03:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x55d6f1…
10-30 03:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x045aba…
10-30 03:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x4fcda0…
10-30 03:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xa6fc91…
10-30 03:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xe44002…
10-30 03:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x902f2d…
10-30 03:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$980	0x0d79d4…
10-30 03:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	319	97¢	$308	0x84ba4f…
10-30 03:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	800	98¢	$784	0x224efa…
10-30 03:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x71ca61…
10-30 03:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1864f8…
10-30 03:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x60982b…
10-30 03:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x4c82f1…
10-30 02:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x0378dc…
10-30 02:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x54baaa…
10-29 15:50:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x40d0f1…
10-29 15:47:23	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x5cc03e…
10-29 15:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xb685c9…
10-29 15:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	87¢	$82	0xaa7ced…
10-29 15:39:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x910b94…
10-29 14:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x6cf480…
10-29 14:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	87¢	$38	0x3d1174…
10-29 13:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x69a960…
10-29 13:16:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	87¢	$31	0x5c9ff2…
10-29 07:44:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb66e2d…
10-29 07:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x74e363…
10-29 07:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x309a85…
10-29 07:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	36	90¢	$33	0x3fdceb…
10-29 07:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	36	90¢	$33	0x6c064a…
10-29 07:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x34d288…
10-29 07:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xccd15a…
10-29 07:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeca422…
10-29 07:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	132	92¢	$122	0x454348…
10-29 07:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xa1ea6a…
10-29 07:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xc8f6aa…
10-29 07:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x732ee7…
10-29 07:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2e8e9c…
10-29 07:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0xff85ee…
10-29 07:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x964eea…
10-29 07:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x723715…