Realized P&L
+$2.80K
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
2,981
Trades
15,003
lifetime
Volume
$1.09M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$2.84K
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 11-06 05:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
99% 84% +$2,923
Crypto
1% 57% -$127
Politics
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 462 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +753 $558 66¢ $501 -$57 11-06 01:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +753 $194 34¢ $252 +$58 11-06 02:01
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +256 $209 78¢ $198 -$10 11-04 17:43
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +282 $206 65¢ $183 -$22 11-05 21:24
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +307 $162 56¢ $173 +$11 11-05 02:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +184 $134 82¢ $152 +$17 11-04 02:33
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +307 $144 44¢ $133 -$11 11-05 03:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +226 $141 59¢ $133 -$8 11-03 07:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +144 $124 86¢ $123 -$1 11-05 18:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +221 $86 52¢ $114 +$28 11-03 09:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? No +221 $135 48¢ $107 -$28 11-03 08:47
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? No +127 $95 79¢ $100 +$5 11-06 06:55
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +282 $81 35¢ $99 +$17 11-06 00:47
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +124 $93 76¢ $95 +$2 11-02 18:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +226 $90 41¢ $93 +$3 11-03 07:26
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +106 $74 72¢ $76 +$2 11-03 23:31
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +109 $78 69¢ $75 -$2 11-05 14:52
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +256 $67 22¢ $58 -$9 11-05 00:06
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +109 $31 31¢ $34 +$2 11-05 14:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +184 $50 18¢ $32 -$17 11-04 03:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +106 $31 29¢ $30 -$1 11-03 23:31
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +124 $31 24¢ $29 -$2 11-02 19:25
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +171 $39 16¢ $27 -$13 11-05 22:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +144 $20 15¢ $21 +$1 11-05 20:58
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +0 $0 32¢ $0 +$0 11-05 10:38