Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2.25K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved (90d)

1,647

Trades (90d)

9,418

14,717 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$442.2K

$1.08M lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

$1.03K

11 positions

First seen

2026-06-22

last 11-03 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

99% 84% +$2,851

Crypto

1% 57% -$127

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 1107 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+259	$135	54¢	$139	+$4	11-03 13:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	+221	$135	62¢	$138	+$3	11-03 08:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+226	$141	59¢	$134	-$7	11-03 07:17
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+519	$135	26¢	$132	-$3	11-03 16:18
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+259	$124	46¢	$120	-$4	11-03 14:57
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	+124	$93	76¢	$94	+$1	11-02 18:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+226	$90	41¢	$92	+$2	11-03 07:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	Yes	+221	$86	38¢	$83	-$3	11-03 09:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+69	$49	74¢	$51	+$2	11-02 18:35
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	+124	$31	24¢	$30	-$1	11-02 19:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	+69	$19	26¢	$18	-$1	11-02 17:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	19	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$565	08-19 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?	37	$9.2K	4,831	4,831	+0	Yes	+$236	08-09 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 6?	3	$8.1K	8,100	0	+8,100	No	+$9	07-06 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 9?	41	$7.8K	7,853	9	+7,844	Yes	+$65	08-09 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?	89	$7.7K	8,176	600	+7,576	Yes	-$24	07-16 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	29	$7.7K	7,755	35	+7,720	Yes	+$124	08-26 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 1?	90	$7.2K	6,580	1,100	+5,480	No	-$63	08-01 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	23	$6.8K	3,445	3,445	+0	No	+$86	10-30 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?	73	$6.5K	7,202	0	+7,202	Yes	+$663	07-06 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?	66	$6.4K	5,631	1,481	+4,151	Yes	+$461	08-20 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on June 30?	1	$6.0K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$6	06-30 09:36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?	34	$5.9K	5,849	226	+5,623	Yes	+$161	07-21 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?	18	$5.7K	2,889	2,889	+0	Yes	+$47	08-31 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 18?	28	$5.7K	5,481	406	+5,074	Yes	+$80	08-18 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 26?	24	$5.7K	2,856	2,856	+0	Yes	+$55	08-26 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 17?	11	$5.6K	5,734	0	+5,734	No	+$159	08-17 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 25?	16	$5.4K	2,711	2,711	+0	No	+$52	07-25 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 29?	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$5	06-29 18:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 18?	69	$4.9K	3,928	1,423	+2,505	No	-$192	08-18 08:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4?	36	$4.9K	5,118	0	+5,118	Yes	+$222	08-04 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?	22	$4.8K	4,917	0	+4,917	Yes	+$106	08-27 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	58	$4.7K	4,340	814	+3,525	No	+$407	08-12 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	20	$4.7K	4,306	505	+3,801	No	+$108	07-21 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 11?	1	$4.7K	4,685	0	+4,685	No	+$5	07-12 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?	48	$4.7K	2,411	2,411	+0	Yes	+$156	08-02 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?	28	$4.6K	2,405	2,405	+0	No	+$172	08-09 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 20?	39	$4.4K	2,289	2,289	+0	No	+$76	08-20 09:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 5?	10	$4.3K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	+$219	07-05 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?	28	$4.3K	2,163	2,163	+0	Yes	+$45	08-10 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?	59	$4.3K	4,577	0	+4,577	Yes	+$316	07-31 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:18:33	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	519	26¢	$135	0xf82395…
11-03 14:57:58	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	48¢	$40	0x14ecb1…
11-03 14:35:37	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xd92dcb…
11-03 14:35:16	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	48¢	$15	0xee8789…
11-03 14:00:52	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0xe3a836…
11-03 13:34:12	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x75122c…
11-03 13:34:07	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	259	52¢	$135	0x7239d9…
11-03 13:34:07	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x30cfd7…
11-03 09:09:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	Yes	BUY	214	39¢	$83	0xa02f12…
11-03 08:47:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xdc5952…
11-03 08:47:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?	No	BUY	214	61¢	$131	0x5c1738…
11-03 07:26:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	40¢	$13	0xdd6146…
11-03 07:17:46	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	40¢	$78	0xc91c2b…
11-03 07:17:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	226	60¢	$135	0x9df9a0…
11-03 02:45:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	2,058	100¢	$2,056	0xf14f5e…
11-03 00:19:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xbdce51…
11-03 00:18:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	117	95¢	$111	0x0d8b90…
11-03 00:17:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xdc3755…
11-03 00:17:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0xbf64cf…
11-03 00:17:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xb1795e…
11-03 00:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x9200ad…
11-03 00:16:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x6a3095…
11-03 00:15:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xce9e1b…
11-03 00:15:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	99	95¢	$93	0x83cf11…
11-03 00:14:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x0b1f1c…
11-03 00:13:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	188	95¢	$179	0xce6cec…
11-03 00:13:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x9f5d0a…
11-03 00:13:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe390a3…
11-03 00:12:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0x72b189…
11-03 00:12:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xcc624b…
11-03 00:12:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xaec4ee…
11-03 00:11:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x7c2bef…
11-03 00:11:19	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7e023d…
11-03 00:11:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x815b6a…
11-03 00:10:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x6b30af…
11-03 00:10:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x84ed1e…
11-03 00:09:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc8683a…
11-03 00:08:21	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xe7d9d5…
11-03 00:08:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0x1909df…
11-03 00:08:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x61817a…
11-03 00:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x80bab4…
11-03 00:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	155	95¢	$147	0x18851f…
11-03 00:06:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	152	94¢	$144	0xfbe2f7…
11-02 19:25:31	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	124	25¢	$31	0x7cf3b9…
11-02 18:35:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	111	71¢	$79	0x8a0492…
11-02 18:22:01	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	No	BUY	124	75¢	$93	0x7ea40e…
11-02 17:45:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	69	28¢	$19	0x8a728e…
11-02 17:45:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	71¢	$128	0x125c0e…
11-02 17:31:10	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	108	65¢	$70	0x446adc…
11-02 17:30:25	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	209	56¢	$116	0x0fdb1a…
11-02 17:30:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0xdd7771…
11-02 17:30:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x0a512c…
11-02 14:59:10	Bears vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf6ed01…
11-02 14:59:10	Bears vs. Seahawks	Bears	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x69c74d…
11-02 14:43:07	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	108	67¢	$72	0x6036c5…
11-02 13:38:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	227	58¢	$133	0xde3aab…
11-01 22:08:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	465	28¢	$130	0x3bb414…
11-01 16:08:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	465	29¢	$135	0x3d3da1…
10-31 08:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe49456…
10-31 08:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 31?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x631f84…
10-31 08:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	505	100¢	$504	0x455fd7…
10-31 08:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd869f1…
10-31 06:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x44666c…
10-31 05:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x7c7c1f…
10-31 05:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 31?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$112	0x177690…
10-31 05:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	187	98¢	$183	0xcd32e2…
10-31 05:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xc17ea0…
10-31 05:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	126	96¢	$120	0x2fa107…
10-31 05:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x80a169…
10-31 05:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0x9fd9f4…
10-31 05:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf3578b…
10-31 05:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xe6345d…
10-31 05:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x026a88…
10-31 05:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x87d474…
10-30 13:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	111	98¢	$108	0xa31a7b…
10-30 13:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x3278c8…
10-30 13:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x1b5c0c…
10-30 13:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x66d2df…
10-30 13:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf3f04f…
10-30 13:28:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb9918d…
10-30 13:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xb08781…
10-30 13:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x223dab…
10-30 13:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa1908d…
10-30 08:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0xd6b5c9…
10-30 07:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x24caca…
10-30 06:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x2ac234…
10-30 05:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xea412e…
10-30 05:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xc28945…
10-30 05:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x9a2105…
10-30 05:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xcd0c12…
10-30 05:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0x24f16d…
10-30 04:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xea56f9…
10-30 04:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x052929…
10-30 04:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	3,127	100¢	$3,123	0xef4993…
10-30 04:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xa01a91…
10-30 04:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0xcb6389…
10-30 04:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x0c050b…
10-30 04:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0xda0f2e…
10-30 04:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x0e4804…
10-30 04:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x45d0b9…