Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.37K
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
93.4%
Resolved (30d)
228
Trades (30d)
1,228
14,942 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$84.2K
$1.09M lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$2.20K
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 11-05 00:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 133 days
Categories
Other
99% 84% +$2,923
Crypto
1% 57% -$127
Politics
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1095 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +652 $492 78¢ $505 +$13 11-04 16:06
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? No +256 $209 70¢ $178 -$31 11-04 17:43
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +259 $135 58¢ $152 +$17 11-03 13:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +184 $134 82¢ $150 +$16 11-04 02:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +652 $158 22¢ $147 -$12 11-04 16:13
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +173 $135 78¢ $134 -$1 11-04 16:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +226 $141 57¢ $128 -$13 11-03 07:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? Yes +221 $86 51¢ $113 +$27 11-03 09:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? No +221 $135 49¢ $108 -$27 11-03 08:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +259 $124 42¢ $107 -$17 11-03 14:57
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +226 $90 43¢ $98 +$8 11-03 07:26
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +124 $93 76¢ $95 +$2 11-02 18:22
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +256 $67 30¢ $78 +$11 11-05 00:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +106 $74 72¢ $76 +$2 11-03 23:31
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +173 $43 22¢ $39 -$4 11-04 23:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +184 $50 18¢ $34 -$16 11-04 03:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +106 $31 29¢ $30 -$1 11-03 23:31
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +124 $31 24¢ $29 -$2 11-02 19:25