Wee-Bend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$142

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-16 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$6

Politics

43% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	-112	$-106	95¢	$-106	$-0	06-15 18:42
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	-146	$-39	20¢	$-30	+$9	06-16 20:41
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	-32	$-5	16¢	$-5	$-0	06-16 20:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$700	371	371	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 09:29
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$444	244	244	+0	open	—	04-02 17:13
cs2 vit 9z 2026 03 19	1	$350	368	0	+368	open	—	03-19 19:06
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$341	252	252	+0	open	—	04-03 12:14
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$336	254	254	+0	open	—	05-14 12:45
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$216	230	0	+230	open	—	05-13 17:19
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	2	$201	245	0	+245	open	—	06-15 17:04
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	5	$144	200	0	+200	open	—	04-03 16:08
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	1	$106	0	112	-112	open	—	06-15 18:42
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	2	$105	59	59	+0	open	—	04-19 07:34
Will either Tate brother be arrested by March 31?	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	04-01 09:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$100	204	0	+204	open	—	03-19 19:37
trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	03-19 21:38
bitcoin above 72k on march 20	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	03-19 19:09
another us bank failure by march 31	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	03-19 22:14
will trump say fight fight fight during trophy presentation	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	03-20 13:07
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-19 21:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	4	$83	50	50	+0	No	+$5	04-15 20:02
will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	4	$72	78	0	+78	open	—	04-01 22:20
will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top us netflix movie this week	1	$50	63	0	+63	open	—	03-19 21:57
us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	1	$50	64	0	+64	open	—	03-20 13:11
cs2 faze tyloo 2026 03 20	1	$50	77	0	+77	open	—	03-20 13:03
cs2 gl1 9ine 2026 04 01	1	$50	65	0	+65	open	—	04-01 15:37
will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	1	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	03-20 17:36
cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	1	$45	81	0	+81	open	—	04-15 20:03
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	1	$43	57	0	+57	open	—	06-16 20:41
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$39	0	146	-146	open	—	06-16 20:41
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	04-10 10:27
cs2 fal2 navi 2026 03 20	1	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	03-20 17:39
nba lal mia 2026 03 19	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	03-19 22:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 20:41:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	57	76¢	$43	0xe0f73f…
06-16 20:41:11	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	146	27¢	$39	0x6b5f1e…
06-16 20:41:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	16¢	$5	0x80086e…
06-15 18:42:33	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	112	95¢	$106	0x5bb608…
06-15 17:04:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	222	82¢	$182	0x6412a9…
06-15 17:02:16	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x9902e3…
05-14 12:45:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	254	43¢	$109	0x8d7050…
05-13 17:36:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	254	89¢	$226	0xff19d1…
05-13 17:19:48	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xc97f74…
05-13 17:19:34	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	140	94¢	$132	0xe1392f…
05-13 17:17:24	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xb5770b…
05-13 17:16:53	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xfcf7a5…
05-13 17:15:30	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x55c33f…
04-19 07:34:56	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x28fd44…
04-15 20:03:12	cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15	Vitality	BUY	81	55¢	$45	0x04c77e…
04-15 20:02:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xdcaf26…
04-14 09:29:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	371	94¢	$350	0x0c1ac5…
04-10 10:27:53	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xe097c1…
04-03 16:08:15	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	82	72¢	$59	0x317d9b…
04-03 12:14:05	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	252	69¢	$174	0xa031e1…
04-02 23:25:09	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xd4aa66…
04-02 19:54:23	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0xf85033…
04-02 19:38:19	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x9ed58a…
04-02 18:59:45	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xcb0ce8…
04-02 17:47:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2a06b7…
04-02 17:39:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xecda73…
04-02 17:20:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xc0333c…
04-02 17:13:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0x4870ec…
04-01 22:26:51	btc updown 5m 1775082300	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x2b408d…
04-01 22:20:43	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x9d15ee…
04-01 22:19:55	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xfb01fa…
04-01 21:07:35	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x542808…
04-01 21:06:39	will artemis ii launch by april 30 584 422 878 853 499	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x6891f0…
04-01 20:54:27	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xbfe288…
04-01 15:37:29	cs2 gl1 9ine 2026 04 01	GamerLegion	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x8bfd48…
04-01 09:06:49	Will either Tate brother be arrested by March 31?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xa90d14…
03-29 18:09:56	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x21510c…
03-20 17:52:43	btc updown 5m 1774029000	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xc0e492…
03-20 17:39:17	cs2 fal2 navi 2026 03 20	Team Falcons	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0x3d046b…
03-20 17:36:53	will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0xbadcaf…
03-20 13:11:57	us forces seize another oil tanker by march 31	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x994126…
03-20 13:08:03	will trump say iran during trophy presentation	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x8782b5…
03-20 13:07:43	will trump say fight fight fight during trophy presentation	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5d7a1d…
03-20 13:03:39	cs2 faze tyloo 2026 03 20	FaZe	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x76bc7d…
03-19 22:14:17	another us bank failure by march 31	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x3bd32c…
03-19 22:06:39	nba lal mia 2026 03 19	Heat	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x9b1460…
03-19 22:06:19	nba orl cha 2026 03 19	Hornets	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xb8763a…
03-19 22:02:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	265	94¢	$250	0xfeb94f…
03-19 21:57:55	will peaky blinders the immortal man be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x83932e…
03-19 21:38:23	trump declassifies new ufo files by march 31	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x5e9c42…
03-19 21:36:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xba7691…
03-19 21:33:11	Will either Tate brother be arrested by March 31?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa16689…
03-19 19:37:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x3d3b2f…
03-19 19:37:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xa3281e…
03-19 19:19:33	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x19c9a0…
03-19 19:15:15	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xde3c22…
03-19 19:12:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x95d05c…
03-19 19:09:13	bitcoin above 72k on march 20	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x8a41b3…
03-19 19:06:51	cs2 vit 9z 2026 03 19	Vitality	BUY	368	95¢	$350	0xa2a2c6…